Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said in a tweet on Saturday that an upgrade of the country's sovereign debt rating by S&P Global "proves that our economy is growing ever stronger". AFP
Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said in a tweet on Saturday that an upgrade of the country's sovereign debt rating by S&P Global "proves that our economy is growing ever stronger". AFP
Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said in a tweet on Saturday that an upgrade of the country's sovereign debt rating by S&P Global "proves that our economy is growing ever stronger". AFP
Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said in a tweet on Saturday that an upgrade of the country's sovereign debt rating by S&P Global "proves that our economy is growing ever stronger". AFP

Greece hails S&P upgrade as sign of growth


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Greece on Saturday welcomed its foreign debt rating upgrade by S&P Global as proof of further growth after a nearly decade-long debt crisis.

Emerging from its third straight bailout last year, Greece has a public debt of more than 180 per cent of gross domestic product and remains under strict supervision by its creditors.

S&P, citing an improved budget outlook and solid growth prospects, raised its grade for Greece's foreign debt a notch to BB- on Friday.

"Greece's sovereign debt rating upgrade by Standard & Poor's proves that our economy is growing ever stronger," Greece's Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said in a tweet.

"Our reform agenda aims to attract investment, create jobs, accelerate growth and further restore trust in our economy. And we are fully committed to it," he added.

Athens expects its economy to grow 2.8 per cent in 2020 while respecting fiscal pledges to the country's creditors, according to a draft budget released earlier this month.

"We project economic growth in Greece will average 2.5 per cent in 2019-2022, fuelled mainly by a recovery in domestic demand," S&P Global said in its statement.

The agency pointed to a decision on public pensions — which will not be recalculated retroactively — and eliminating bonuses for civil servants, which together "significantly reduce budgetary risks for the Greek government".

And despite removing restrictions on the flow of cash out of the country, there have not been "unusual deposit outflows", the statement said.

"We believe the removal of restrictions will improve confidence in the economy, while reducing related financial costs, which is particularly relevant for the private-sector business environment," S&P said.

The outlook for the debt remains positive, which means it could be upgraded again in the coming year.

Greece tabled a request to repay part of its IMF loans before the maturity date in September.

Finance Minister Christos Staikouras said early repayment would immediately save Greece around 70 million euros ($77.5 million).

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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