Caterpillar expects 2020 profit of $8.50 to $10 per share, compared with the average analyst estimate of $10.63 per share. Bloomberg
Caterpillar expects 2020 profit of $8.50 to $10 per share, compared with the average analyst estimate of $10.63 per share. Bloomberg
Caterpillar expects 2020 profit of $8.50 to $10 per share, compared with the average analyst estimate of $10.63 per share. Bloomberg
Caterpillar expects 2020 profit of $8.50 to $10 per share, compared with the average analyst estimate of $10.63 per share. Bloomberg

Caterpillar sees 2020 profit below expectations


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Caterpillar on Friday forecast full-year earnings below analysts' expectations as it struggles with sluggish global industrial activity.

The world's biggest construction and mining equipment maker said it expects 2020 profit of $8.50 (Dh31.2) per share to $10 per share, compared with the average analyst estimate of $10.63 per share.

"We expect continued global economic uncertainty to pressure sales to users in 2020 and cause dealers to further reduce inventories," chief executive Jim Umpleby said.

The Illinois-based company, considered a bellwether for economic activity, has been hit hard as its customers held off on big purchases due to uncertainty sparked by a prolonged US-China trade war.

Caterpillar's forecast comes a day after the world's largest package delivery company United Parcel Service forecast 2020 profit below estimates, citing global trade weakness and a slump in domestic industrial production.

While a trade truce between the US and China has eased trade tensions, the outbreak of coronavirus has clouded the economic outlook.

The outbreak has killed more than 200 people in China and has spread to 18 countries, from Japan to the US.

Chief financial officer Andrew Bonfield said the 2020 earnings outlook factors in the information the company has, thus far, about the coronavirus' impact.

He, however, said the situation in China is "very fluid", which could impact the outlook.

Caterpillar expects as much as an annual 9 per cent decline in retail sales this year, resulting in a reduction of up to $1.5 billion in dealer inventories.

In the face of weak demand, the company plans to keep a lid on its costs. It expects lower material and freight costs to cushion the hit on its profits.

Sales in North America, its biggest market, fell 13 per cent to $5.83bn in the fourth quarter. Total sales fell to 8.4 per cent to $13.14bn.