Palestine, Syria and Lebanon are the focus of the new co-ordination group established on Sunday by the IMF, World Bank, Arab Co-ordination Group, and regional countries, according to the International Monetary Fund’s Middle East director.
What defines the new committee is its “partnership with the region”, Jihad Azour told The National on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies in Saudi Arabia where the group was formed.
Mr Azour said Syria faces a similar lack of human infrastructure as former Soviet states did after the fall of the Soviet Union. Syria's new Foreign Minister Asaad Al Shibani, who was appointed in December, attended the high-level meeting.
To ensure aid isn't being given without seeing development, Mr Azour said, “you need to train a large group of civil servants at the Central Bank, Ministry of Finance … in statistics and other core functions of the state. And most of them speak Arabic”.
“We are adapting, what we know, to the needs of those countries,” he added, saying that the informal group is partnering with Arab institutions on the ground to tailor to these specific needs. “We have a centre in Kuwait that is in charge of capacity development. We provide technical assistance through our Middle East Technical Assistance Centre based in Beirut,” he said.
Core members
Through such partnerships, this informal mechanism will create "a capacity to co-ordinate faster and more efficiently ... [and] we can serve those countries better and faster," he said of the group, which plans to expand its partners at the upcoming 2025 Spring Meetings of the World Bank and IMF in late April in Washington.
The informal coalition is already in talks with prospective members. These consist of bilateral groups, mostly in the Gulf, and also with UN agencies from the international side.
Mr Azour said the the current members of the group are global multinational development banks including the IMF and World Bank, in addition to regional institutions such as the Islamic Development Bank and the Arab Monetary Fund among others.
The Gulf countries and the intergovernmental political and economic Group of Seven (G7) including Japan "are [also] very much involved".
"The purpose of this core group is to create a platform for co-ordination between the different stakeholders," he said.
The coalition is formed at a time where finding funding partners has become difficult, as the US, the world's largest donor – accounting for 41.8 per cent of global aid last year, according to the UN Office for the Co-ordination of Humanitarian Affairs – is changing its aid policies.
Gaza and West Bank
The IMF has provided more than $37 billion of financing over the last four years to aid in the development of economies in fragility as a result of crisis. This is in addition to technical assistance to help countries implement reforms and trainings, said Mr Azour.
With its new regional office in Riyadh established in April of last year, the multilateral institution has been able to better serve the region by having discussions with regional partners, providing co-ordination on the ground, and developing yesterday's informal group to support fragile economies in the Middle East.
In the case of Gaza, UN estimates more than $53 billion will be needed to reconstruct the war-torn enclave after 15 months of being assaulted. The IMF, now with the Riyadh office and the coalition, is able to help both Gaza and the West Bank more directly.
"As an institution [we are] in regular consultation with the Palestinian Authority, [and] we provide technical assistance. Also, we help them in their policy settings," he said.
"We are helping also the central bank in improving its capacity ... the Palestinian monetary authorities, to provide the needed support now for the post conflict," said Mr Azour adding that these are the capacities which do not exist at the moment.
The IMF and the coalition will also work beyond the dimension of economic recovery and infrastructure, and will co-ordinate with UN agencies on the humanitarian side.
The informal group of regional leaders and multilateral institutions also hope to expand its reach to Yemen as well to Sudan “sometime soon” when conditions allow, said Mr Azour.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Favorite place to go in the UAE: A quiet beach.
GAC GS8 Specs
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