The digital coin's latest rally has been driven by optimism that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is leading to greater mainstream acceptance. AFP
The digital coin's latest rally has been driven by optimism that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is leading to greater mainstream acceptance. AFP
The digital coin's latest rally has been driven by optimism that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is leading to greater mainstream acceptance. AFP
The digital coin's latest rally has been driven by optimism that spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is leading to greater mainstream acceptance. AFP

Bitcoin touches key $50,000 level for first time in two years


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Bitcoin briefly hit the key level of $50,000 for the first time in over two years in overnight trading, marking a remarkable comeback from the crypto scandals and wipeouts that had cast doubt on the industry’s viability.

The largest digital asset was trading at $49,902 as of 9.00am UAE time on Tuesday, having earlier risen to as high as $50,379.

The token has tripled in value since the start of last year following a 64 per cent plunge in 2022. Bitcoin remains about $17,000 below its all-time high of $67,000, achieved in November 2021.

Bitcoin's wild price fluctuations since its introduction more than a decade ago have long been one of the main attractions to speculators.

While originally promoted as an alternative to the traditional financial system after the global financial crisis, the latest rally has been driven by optimism that last month’s US approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds is leading to greater mainstream acceptance.

“There is a lot of talk about inflow of money into this asset,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak.

“I’d also note that the momentum players are getting excited as well.”

The resurgence in crypto prices comes as expectations of looser monetary policy burnish the allure of riskier assets.

“The appetite for risk has trickled over into digital assets as well,” said Chris Newhouse, a DeFi analyst at Cumberland Labs.

Optimism about the quadrennial Bitcoin halving due in April is also filtering across crypto. Halving cuts the quantity of Bitcoin that miners receive for operating the powerful computers that verify transactions on the blockchain. The event is often viewed a support for prices based on historical precedent.

Shares of crypto-related companies also gained on Monday, with Bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy rising 11 per cent, trading platform Coinbase Global increasing 3.8 per cent and miner Marathon Digital Holdings jumping 14.2 per cent.

The positive sentiment spread to Asian stocks related to digital assets, including advances in companies such as Japan’s Monex Group and Woori Technology Investment in South Korea.

Bitcoin has recovered all its losses since the May 2022 implosion of so-called stablecoin TerraUSD, which set in motion a wave of failures that ultimately helped to bring down Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange in November 2022.

By the time FTX collapsed, the crypto market was already months into the "crypto winter, which also claimed hedge fund Three Arrows Capital and lender Celsius Network.

But the fall of FTX, once one of the top crypto exchanges by trading volume, was even more damaging, with token prices stagnating as liquidity dried up.

Now, with Mr Bankman-Fried convicted of fraud and Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao awaiting sentencing for US sanctions violations and failing to implement anti-money laundering policies, crypto prices have moved higher as analysts see fewer looming risks to the industry.

Nine US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds debuted on January 11, while the more than decade-old Grayscale Bitcoin Trust converted into an ETF on the same day.

The accessibility of ETFs promises to widen the investor base for the token. The new funds have attracted about $9 billion so far, while a more than $6 billion outflow from the Grayscale fund since its conversion seems to be losing steam.

“We are a little ways away from there being broader acceptance,” Susan Thompson, head of SPDR Americas Distribution at State Street Global Advisors, said. “Most advisers we talk with are taking a wait-and-see approach.”

Financial advisers need to examine an asset’s correlations over time to assess potential diversification benefits, whereas Bitcoin’s impact is hard to predict as the token is relatively short-lived, Ms Thompson said.

Aside from ETF inflows, sentiment towards Bitcoin is “typically positive” during the Lunar New Year holidays currently under way in Asia, Fundstrat Global Advisors wrote in a note.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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