John McCain, left, and Barack Obama are using 'Cold War co-ordinates' to navigate their way through foreign policy.
John McCain, left, and Barack Obama are using 'Cold War co-ordinates' to navigate their way through foreign policy.
John McCain, left, and Barack Obama are using 'Cold War co-ordinates' to navigate their way through foreign policy.
John McCain, left, and Barack Obama are using 'Cold War co-ordinates' to navigate their way through foreign policy.

Candidates have lost the plot of the crisis


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According to article two, section one of the US constitution, any native-born citizen 35 years or older and a resident of the country for 14 years is eligible to run for president. What the constitution doesn't say - but which is crucial to an understanding of how US foreign policy is made - is that only those willing to abandon reality for fantasy, or who can't distinguish one from the other, need apply. How else does one explain the stunning disconnect between the world as it was intellectualised in last week's presidential debate, which focused on foreign policy, and the world as it actually is? Neither Barack Obama nor his rival, John McCain, would acknowledge what pretty much everyone outside the debating hall at the University of Mississippi understands all too well: America's unipolar moment is over. The challenge for the next president is how to repair the damage done to Washington's image abroad, while unwinding its costly entanglements overseas. It needs to demilitarise its foreign policy and rebuild its diplomatic resources in response to a geopolitical landscape vastly altered since President Wrecking Ball turned himself loose on it eight years ago. And yet there was John McCain, lecturing Mr Obama for wanting to engage Iran directly and on a senior level, as if shrouding the regime under a flimsy embargo has done anything but heightened its oppression and intensified its craving for the bomb. Mr McCain spoke of victory in Iraq and said Baghdad will one day be a close US ally, though he didn't explain how a country so anti-Zionist could reconcile itself with Washington's unconditional support of Israel. He praised Iraqi leaders for passing a voting law, but failed to mention how they left the divisive issue of Kirkuk for future negotiations, rendering the legislation a dead letter. He repeated his vow to extend Nato membership to Georgia and Ukraine, omitting the fact that Moscow would consider such a move an act of war at a time when the US needs Russia's help in curbing Iran's nuclear ambitions. He repeated his call for a League of Democracies, presumably a cocktail circuit that would parallel Nato and subvert the UN in order to keep countries like Russia and Venezuela on the defensive. As if in fidelity with Mr McCain's script, the Russian president Dmitry Medvedev popped up in Caracas on Thursday to help Hugo Chavez, his Venezuelan counterpart, buy US$1 billion (Dh3.67bn) worth of new military equipment. Queue the "Axis of Autocracy". By now, Mr McCain should be aware that the US financial system is on the verge of collapse and the country is sliding towards recession. Prior to the debate, he made a brief stop in Washington to assist negotiators seeking an end to the crisis despite his self-confessed ignorance of economics and his remark only 10 days earlier that the US economy was fundamentally sound - thus confirming his earlier assertion. In fact, he only emboldened a Republican insurgency against President Bush's bailout package. With a fellow party leader like that, who needs an opposition? No matter. In his case for expanded military commitments abroad, Mr McCain gave no hint that his proposed tax cuts should be pared back, nor did he suggest that America's $600bn defence budget, nearly half the entire world's military outlays, should be trimmed. Apparently, global hegemony is its own reward. And where was Mr Obama in all this? In the tank with Mr McCain, believe it or not. However different the two men's temperaments and personal narratives, they both labour under the same potentially lethal delusions. Like Mr McCain, Mr Obama would increase defence spending beyond its galactic levels while cutting taxes, handing out energy rebates and spending $50bn to jump-start the economy. He supports enlarging Nato and wants to increase the number of US forces in Afghanistan to battle what the Pentagon calls an "insurgent syndicate", though even the defence secretary Robert Gates is said to be queasy about extending the "surge" conceit beyond Iraq. Even worse, Mr Obama would have the US twist itself deeper in the mire of Pakistan's tribal areas in search of Taliban units, despite an escalation of tensions between American and Pakistani troops in the area that has erupted into exchanges of fire. The gulf between the chaos on Wall Street and the pompous rhetoric at the University of Mississippi was vast, even by the mind-altering standards of presidential politicking. If there was a yardstick of how reality-deficient last Friday's display was, it was the lack of any reference to America's most urgent foreign policy imperative, the Arab-Israeli peace process, or of its most significant long-term challenge, the rise of China. In plotting their signature foreign policies, both Messrs McCain and Obama seem to be using Cold War-era co-ordinates. They are analogue innocents in a complex, digital world. To the extent that a nearly bankrupted America matters at all, this should be of concern to all of us. sglain@thenational.ae

If you go

Flights

Emirates flies from Dubai to Phnom Penh with a stop in Yangon from Dh3,075, and Etihad flies from Abu Dhabi to Phnom Penh with its partner Bangkok Airlines from Dh2,763. These trips take about nine hours each and both include taxes. From there, a road transfer takes at least four hours; airlines including KC Airlines (www.kcairlines.com) offer quick connecting flights from Phnom Penh to Sihanoukville from about $100 (Dh367) return including taxes. Air Asia, Malindo Air and Malaysian Airlines fly direct from Kuala Lumpur to Sihanoukville from $54 each way. Next year, direct flights are due to launch between Bangkok and Sihanoukville, which will cut the journey time by a third.

The stay

Rooms at Alila Villas Koh Russey (www.alilahotels.com/ kohrussey) cost from $385 per night including taxes.

The specs: 2018 Chevrolet Equinox

Price, base / as tested: Dh76,900 / Dh110,900

Engine: 2.0L, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder

Gearbox: Nine-speed automatic

Power: 252hp @ 5,500rpm

Torque: Torque: 352Nm @ 2,500rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 8.5L / 100km

MATCH INFO

UAE Division 1

Abu Dhabi Harlequins 12-24 Abu Dhabi Saracens

Ad Astra

Director: James Gray

Stars: Brad Pitt, Tommy Lee Jones

Five out of five stars 

Wicked: For Good

Director: Jon M Chu

Starring: Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Jonathan Bailey, Jeff Goldblum, Michelle Yeoh, Ethan Slater

Rating: 4/5

MATCH INFO

South Africa 66 (Tries: De Allende, Nkosi, Reinach (3), Gelant, Steyn, Brits, Willemse; Cons: Jantjies 8) 

Canada 7 (Tries: Heaton; Cons: Nelson)

Studying addiction

This month, Dubai Medical College launched the Middle East’s first master's programme in addiction science.

Together with the Erada Centre for Treatment and Rehabilitation, the college offers a two-year master’s course as well as a one-year diploma in the same subject.

The move was announced earlier this year and is part of a new drive to combat drug abuse and increase the region’s capacity for treating drug addiction.

Start times

5.55am: Wheelchair Marathon Elites

6am: Marathon Elites

7am: Marathon Masses

9am: 10Km Road Race

11am: 4Km Fun Run

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

The details

Heard It in a Past Life

Maggie Rogers

(Capital Records)

3/5

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Director: James Cameron

Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana

Rating: 4.5/5

The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo

Power: 201hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 320Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm

Transmission: 6-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 8.7L/100km

Price: Dh133,900

On sale: now 

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million