The first-ever bankruptcy law in Egypt is credit positive for banks and will encourage local and foreign investment in the country, Moody’s Investors Service says. Amr Abdallah / Reuters
The first-ever bankruptcy law in Egypt is credit positive for banks and will encourage local and foreign investment in the country, Moody’s Investors Service says. Amr Abdallah / Reuters

Egypt's bankruptcy law is credit positive for banks



The first-ever bankruptcy law in Egypt is credit positive for banks and will encourage local and foreign investment in the country, according to Moody’s Investors Service.

The law, passed by the parliament, will provide lenders in the most populous Arab country with more options to deal with viable troubled companies, making loan workouts more flexible and faster, the rating agency said in a statement. The legislation will also speed up the liquidation of non-viable companies, which will increase recovery amounts, it added.

Bankruptcy procedures, in the past, were not governed by specific laws and courts handled the maters on a case-by-case basis with debtors facing possible jail terms, Moody’s noted.

“The process was lengthy and bureaucratic, lacked the ability to effect a restructuring or reorganisation of a viable businesses, and was without sufficient out-of-court options for debtors and creditors,” Melina Skouridou, an assistant vice president and Marina Hadjitsangari an associate analyst at Moody’s said in the note released on Thursday.

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The new law will help in increasing recovery amounts and improving banks’ ability to deal with problem loans. The weak insolvency framework in Egypt has been a drag on asset quality of the lenders in the country. The two biggest Egyptian banks -- National Bank of Egypt and Banque Misr -- have taken more than 10 years to recover from legacy problem loans and reducing their aggregate ratio of nonperforming loans to gross loans to around 2 per cent as of June 2017 from more than 25 per cent a decade ago, according to the rating agency.

The new legislation tackles the inefficiencies of the previous system. It allows for out-of-court company restructurings, permits standstill on creditors which enables a viable company to reorganise, and provides safety nets for creditors similar to US Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

Under the new rules, restructuring plan must be completed within 60 days of filing for a standstill, although, a judge has the right to extend that period. The bankruptcy law also reduces the liquidation period for a non-viable company to nine months, instead of the current average of more than two years. Courts also have the right to enforce a restructuring plan if a consensual solution is not reached.

Egypt ranked 115th among 190 countries in the World Bank’s Resolving Insolvency Index in its 2018 Doing Business Report. Creditors in Egypt recover an average of 26 cents for every dollar lent, compared with 71.2 cents in countries that are members of the OECD. Bankruptcy proceedings can take an average of 2.5 years, although, anecdotal evidence points to longer actual time periods. By comparison, the bankruptcy duration is 1.7 years on average in OECD countries, Moody’s noted.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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UK's plans to cut net migration

Under the UK government’s proposals, migrants will have to spend 10 years in the UK before being able to apply for citizenship.

Skilled worker visas will require a university degree, and there will be tighter restrictions on recruitment for jobs with skills shortages.

But what are described as "high-contributing" individuals such as doctors and nurses could be fast-tracked through the system.

Language requirements will be increased for all immigration routes to ensure a higher level of English.

Rules will also be laid out for adult dependants, meaning they will have to demonstrate a basic understanding of the language.

The plans also call for stricter tests for colleges and universities offering places to foreign students and a reduction in the time graduates can remain in the UK after their studies from two years to 18 months.

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At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

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