An aerial view shows the skyline of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. BNY Mellon expects markets including Saudi Arabia to boost its Middle East business. Andre Pain / EPA-EFE
An aerial view shows the skyline of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. BNY Mellon expects markets including Saudi Arabia to boost its Middle East business. Andre Pain / EPA-EFE
An aerial view shows the skyline of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. BNY Mellon expects markets including Saudi Arabia to boost its Middle East business. Andre Pain / EPA-EFE
An aerial view shows the skyline of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. BNY Mellon expects markets including Saudi Arabia to boost its Middle East business. Andre Pain / EPA-EFE

BNY Mellon sees Middle East outpacing growth of global business over next five years


Sarmad Khan
  • English
  • Arabic

BNY Mellon, the US bank which manages more than $2.3 trillion of assets, expects its Middle East business to outpace its global growth levels over the next five years, driven by a boost in the Arab world's two-largest economies.

The bank last year recorded “healthy, single-digit” year-on-year organic growth across markets including the Middle East and Africa, which was driven by new businesses.

However, it expects the region to outperform its global business growth over the next five years on the back of growth in Saudi Arabia and the UAE., Hani Kablawi, chairman of BNY Mellon’s international operations, told The National in Riyadh.

“[The business] grows faster here in the region,” he said on the sidelines of the fifth Future Investment Initiative forum. “There are outsize growth opportunities in the region.”

Vision 2030 in Saudi Arabia, Opec’s largest oil exporter, has “real, measurable plans underneath it”, which will lead to significant investments — both from within the region and globally, Mr Kablawi said.

“You have a vision in Abu Dhabi, which is being executed” and there is “action happening in Kuwait” and there is work happening in Oman that “we are close to and that we believe in,” he said.

“I think it is true for the region but … nowhere truer than in the UAE and Saudi [Arabia].”

Sovereigns in the six-member economic bloc of the GCC are transforming their economies to cut their dependence on oil revenue. The opening up of the financial sector and attracting foreign direct investment are among the central planks of regional economic overhaul agendas.

Foreign capital flows to the regional capital markets, some of the best-performing bourses in the world, and have risen amid continued reforms over the past few years. GCC government and corporate issuers have also tapped debt capital markets amid historically low global interest rates that have created more business opportunities for banks such as BNY Mellon.

Interest in investing in the region is on the rise, especially in Saudi Arabia, as the country’s Capital Markets Authority is “driving the right conversation with the private sector globally to make sure that the market here is attractive for foreign investment,” Mr Kablawi said.

It is “clearing away any obstacles” and “I believe there is more money coming to the region in the next five years, both into private and public markets”.

The broader Middle East is “a very important part” of the bank’s global operations, said Mr Kablawi, who has been associated with BNY Mellon’s Middle East business since 1997.

“It was significant in 1997 and it only got more significant since then and that is year after year of growth,” he said. “We haven’t had a single year of decline in our business.”

“It is a holistic statement” across everything that the bank does, including trade finance, payment flows, custody operations, investment and asset management services as well as helping regional issuers of debt and equity access global markets, he added.

The bank’s client base includes sovereign wealth funds, regional central banks, commercial lenders, insurance companies and regional pension funds as well as corporate issuers.

In terms of investment management business, BNY Mellon’s clientele, “without exception”, is interested in due diligence on environment, government and social standards and “understanding the dynamics of underlying investments in companies at the individual security level and in portfolios or funds at the aggregate level,” Mr Kablawi said.

Hani Kablawi, chairman of BNY Mellon’s international operation. Photo: BNY Mellon
Hani Kablawi, chairman of BNY Mellon’s international operation. Photo: BNY Mellon

In August, the bank, which has $45tn of assets under custody or administration globally, announced a deal with SNB Capital, a unit of Saudi National Bank, the biggest lender in the kingdom, to provide global securities services to institutional and large asset owners in Saudi Arabia.

The deal allows BNY Mellon’s clients a single point of contact and data source for their investment portfolios within and outside the kingdom, Mr Kablawi said.

The bank is also looking to forge similar alliances in other Middle East and African markets, he said, declining to give further details.

BNY Mellon, which set up its representative office in Abu Dhabi Global Market in 2019, has conducted business in the region for more than a 100 years. It opened its first regional representative office in Lebanon in 1963 and was also granted a branch licence in 2008 by the Dubai Financial Services Authority.

Over the next five years, the bank plans to invest in serving its institutional clientele through increased digital and data capabilities, which is a “very important pillar for us,” Mr Kablawi said.

“We are pleased but not satisfied and complacent with the progress that we have made and are always looking to grow our platform more in order to serve our clients better,” he added.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Sole survivors
  • Cecelia Crocker was on board Northwest Airlines Flight 255 in 1987 when it crashed in Detroit, killing 154 people, including her parents and brother. The plane had hit a light pole on take off
  • George Lamson Jr, from Minnesota, was on a Galaxy Airlines flight that crashed in Reno in 1985, killing 68 people. His entire seat was launched out of the plane
  • Bahia Bakari, then 12, survived when a Yemenia Airways flight crashed near the Comoros in 2009, killing 152. She was found clinging to wreckage after floating in the ocean for 13 hours.
  • Jim Polehinke was the co-pilot and sole survivor of a 2006 Comair flight that crashed in Lexington, Kentucky, killing 49.
From Zero

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Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

THE SPECS

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Price: Dh633,435

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Wins: 28
Wins by KO: 26
Losses: 4

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Director: James Cameron

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Winners

Best Men's Player of the Year: Kylian Mbappe (PSG)

Maradona Award for Best Goal Scorer of the Year: Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich)

TikTok Fans’ Player of the Year: Robert Lewandowski

Top Goal Scorer of All Time: Cristiano Ronaldo (Manchester United)

Best Women's Player of the Year: Alexia Putellas (Barcelona)

Best Men's Club of the Year: Chelsea

Best Women's Club of the Year: Barcelona

Best Defender of the Year: Leonardo Bonucci (Juventus/Italy)

Best Goalkeeper of the Year: Gianluigi Donnarumma (PSG/Italy)

Best Coach of the Year: Roberto Mancini (Italy)

Best National Team of the Year: Italy 

Best Agent of the Year: Federico Pastorello

Best Sporting Director of the Year: Txiki Begiristain (Manchester City)

Player Career Award: Ronaldinho

Panipat

Director Ashutosh Gowariker

Produced Ashutosh Gowariker, Rohit Shelatkar, Reliance Entertainment

Cast Arjun Kapoor, Sanjay Dutt, Kriti Sanon, Mohnish Behl, Padmini Kolhapure, Zeenat Aman

Rating 3 /stars

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Updated: October 30, 2021, 8:07 AM