London's Heathrow Airport is demanding a complete “rethink” of the business rates system, under which it faces a substantially increased bill in the near future.
Changes to the way business rates are calculated mean Heathrow could be subjected to a bill of almost £1 billion ($1.26 billion) in the coming years, according to new research.
Rules brought in last year mean that from 2026, Heathrow could be charged more in line with its profitability in 2024, because the Valuation Office Agency is moving towards a “receipts and expenditure” model for calculating business rate charges.
With passenger numbers already breaking records so far this year, Heathrow faces being a victim of its own success in terms of business rates.
“Huge hikes in business rates simply increase costs for consumers without adding a single pound of investment to the services they are using,” a Heathrow official said.
“The whole sector wants to see more joined up thinking between government departments to avoid decisions like this, which only curb our ability to compete internationally and meet consumers’ demands for smooth, safe journeys and progress on sustainability.”
After crunching the numbers, The Sunday Times found that Europe's busiest airport is facing a £900m business rates bill – which could be passed on to passengers.
Business rates are distinct from corporation taxes and normally in the UK are charged on the properties used by companies from which they conduct their operations.
Heathrow is already the UK's largest business rates payer, but under the new rules it could see its bill rise from the current £200 million a year to £300 million a year between 2026 and 2029.
If passed on to passengers through the airlines, the £900 million bill could mean Heathrow's estimated 80 million annual passengers pay an additional charge of £3.75 each.
Heathrow's major client airlines – especially British Airways and Virgin Atlantic, which already have a tense relationship with the airport – would baulk at passing the business rates cost on to customers.
If Heathrow absorbs the cost itself, the airport's wide-ranging expansion plans could be affected.
However, there may be some hope on the radar for the west London airport. If the UK's opposition Labour Party wins the general election in three weeks – which it is widely expected to do – it has pledged to significantly reform the business rates system. That said, it's still unclear how this would affect airports.
Strong Q1 numbers
The business rates bill would be a potential headache for Heathrow's new investors as well.
Having struck a deal last week, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund and the French private equity fund Ardian will together now own 37.6 per cent of Heathrow as part of a £3.26 billion deal.
The two companies had previously planned to buy the 25 per cent stake that Spanish infrastructure firm Ferrovial put up for sale, but have ended up with larger slices after other shareholders exercise so-called “tag-along” rights.
Ferrovial will retain a 5.25 per cent stake in the airport.
Heathrow had a very strong start to 2024, with a record 18.5 million passengers travelling through its terminals in the first quarter.
The airport predicted a busy summer and recently increased its full-year passenger number outlook to 82.4 million for 2024.
Heathrow made an adjusted profit of £83 million in the first three months of this, compared with a loss of £139 million in the same period in 2023.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Company Profile
Founders: Tamara Hachem and Yazid Erman
Based: Dubai
Launched: September 2019
Sector: health technology
Stage: seed
Investors: Oman Technology Fund, angel investor and grants from Sharjah's Sheraa and Ma'an Abu Dhabi