Dr Anwar Gargash, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, speaks at the Arab Media Forum in Dubai on May 13, 2015. Kamran Jebreili/AFP Photo
Dr Anwar Gargash, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, speaks at the Arab Media Forum in Dubai on May 13, 2015. Kamran Jebreili/AFP Photo
Dr Anwar Gargash, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, speaks at the Arab Media Forum in Dubai on May 13, 2015. Kamran Jebreili/AFP Photo
Dr Anwar Gargash, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, speaks at the Arab Media Forum in Dubai on May 13, 2015. Kamran Jebreili/AFP Photo

UAE voices cautious optimism over GCC’s meeting with Obama


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DUBAI // The UAE voiced cautious optimism ahead of a two-day meeting between Gulf leaders and US president Barack Obama, aimed at dispelling concerns about a nuclear deal with Tehran.

Dr Anwar Gargash, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, said on Wednesday that the summit – which started later that day – would lead to progress on this issue.

“Those who think this meeting will be 10 steps forward, I think this will be an exaggeration in expectations,” he said during a speech at the annual Arab Media Forum in Dubai.

“I think the meeting will for sure be two steps forward in bolstering this cooperation, and sending positive messages to Iran that dealing with the Arab region and the Gulf region should not be with the same recklessness in the coming period.”

However, he said the summit would be “overshadowed by big worries”.

Gulf nations are alarmed by Iran’s rising influence in the region, particularly in Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. Gulf officials are also sceptical of a nuclear deal between Iran and six major world powers, who have a June 30 deadline for a final agreement under which Tehran could see sanctions gradually lifted in return for curbing its nuclear programme.

Tensions have heightened over the Yemen conflict, in which Iran has been accused of backing Shiite Houthi rebels who drove the government into exile.

Dr Gargash emphasised the need to find a political solution in Yemen, which should be followed by economic and reconstruction efforts.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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