CDC chief warns US of 'impending doom' as Covid-19 cases rise


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The head of the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) pleaded with people in the US to wear masks and stick with Covid-19 mitigation measures, warning of "impending doom" as cases, hospital admissions and deaths begin to rise again.

Dr Rochelle Walensky, speaking at a press briefing on Monday, fought back tears as she outlined a series of warning signs and said she was frightened about a looming fourth wave of Covid-19 cases.

As a wife, as a mother, as a daughter, to ask you to just, please, hold on a little while longer. I so badly want to be done, I know you all so badly want to be done, we are just almost there but not quite yet.

The seven-day average for new daily Covid-19 cases is now almost at 60,000, up 10 per cent from the previous week.

Hospital admissions are also up to about 4,800 a day from 4,600 a week earlier.

Deaths, a lagging indicator, have also started to rise again, she said.

“I’m going to reflect on the recurring feeling I have of impending doom. We have so much to look forward to, so much promise and potential of where we are and so much reason for hope, but right now I’m scared,” she said.

“What we’ve seen over the last week or so is a steady rise in cases. We’re now in the 60,000 to 70,000 range.

“When we see that uptick in cases, what we’ve seen before is that things really have a tendency to surge and surge big.”

She said the US trajectory looked similar to that in the EU a few weeks ago, before spikes in cases took hold. She asked elected officials, faith leaders and other influencers for help.

“I’m calling on every single one of you to sound the alarm, to carry these messages into your communities,” she said.

“We do not have the luxury of inaction. For the health of our country, we must work together now to prevent a fourth surge,” she said.

Many states are lifting restrictions at levels the agency would not recommend, Dr Walensky said.

She will speak to governors on Tuesday and warn them against reopening too quickly. She also cited an increase in travel as potentially fuelling a rise in cases.

Dr Walensky has regularly sounded the alarm as a decline in cases stalled from January highs. Her plea on Monday was her strongest yet.

The US is racing to vaccinate adults as new variants of the virus take hold and spread, hoping that inoculations will rise before a new wave kills tens of thousands more.

Dr Walensky said she was speaking “not only as your CDC director, but as a wife, as a mother, as a daughter, to ask you to just, please, hold on a little while longer".

"I so badly want to be done, I know you all so badly want to be done. We are just almost there but not quite yet,” she said.

“So, I’m asking you to just hold on a little longer, to get vaccinated when you can, so that all of those people that we all love will still be here when this pandemic ends.”

Cases steadily decreased from early January through mid-February before stalling, falling again, stalling again and then starting to rise.

About 51 million people in the US have received both doses of the vaccine. A person is considered fully vaccinated about two weeks after they receive their final dose.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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