France's credit rating falls to AA+


Colin Randall
  • English
  • Arabic

PARIS // The euro zone was plunged into deeper crisis last night as France was  among a number of member countries  to have their credit ratings downgraded in the latest setback for the single currency.

Speaking on France-2 television, the French finance minister François Baroin confirmed that France had been lowered by one notch from Triple-A. That would mean a rating of AA+, the same rating the United States has had since the Standard & Poor’s (S&P) ratings agency downgraded it last August.

Financial markets slumped after a series of reports described an announcement from S&P as imminent.

Austria and Slovakia were also included in the list of nations facing downgrades, while Germany and the Netherlands were said to have escaped the threat.

On a bleak day not only for the euro and hopes of solving the zone's crippling debt crisis, but for the global economy, talks in Athens on a possible debt swap to prevent Greece falling into default failed to produce agreement.

For Nicolas Sarkozy, the president of France, the loss of one notch, reducing the country's Triple-A rating to AA+, is a particularly severe blow with elections looming.

France goes to the polls in April and May to decide whether Mr Sarkozy should be granted a second five-year term. Even without the euro crisis, he was struggling to show himself capable of winning over a demoralised and deeply unimpressed electorate.

The two other Triple-A eurozone states, Finland and Luxembourg, kept their rating.

Doubts about the state of the French economy had already led to speculation that despite acting with Germany as a would-be doctor for eurozone woes, it was in danger of joining those in need of a cure.

Fears of a downgrade prompted Mr Baroin to claim last month that the British economy was in an even worse state than France's. In comments that angered London, he said that if the French credit rating was cut, then the UK should face similar action.

But Mr Sarkozy seemed to become increasingly resigned to France being affected. Having previously pledged to fight to keep the Triple-A rating, he told the daily newspaper Le Monde in an interview that the possibility of a downgrade was possible after all: "It would be one more difficulty, but not insurmountable."

Mr Sarkozy held crisis talks with key ministers ahead of the anticipated downgrade, AFP reported. The prime minister, Francois Fillon, Mr Baroin and the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse, went into the talks at the Elysee after EU government sources said France was to lose its prized AAA rating.

There was no immediate official comment in Paris on the reports, although Ms Pécresse had earlier insisted on BFM television that France was a safe country in which to invest. "It can repay its debt and the news concerning our deficit is better than expected," she said.

Even so, the news was greeted with gloom internationally, with the euro falling on currency markets and stocks falling around the world.

The euro fell by more than a cent to $1.2650 while improved performance by European stocks came to an abrupt end. Interest on 10-year bonds, a crucial barometer of international confidence or lack of it, rose in a number of countries, including Germany, generally seen as the most resilient of eurozone economies.

S&P had warned in December it was reviewing the ratings of 15 of the 17 eurozone members. France and Austria were seen as vulnerable because both country's banks had heavy exposure to sovereign debt.

Meanwhile, hopes of persuading banks and insurance houses to accept voluntary losses of 50 per cent on the value of Greek bond holdings were dashed in the stalled Athens talks, though more discussions will take place next week. Reuters quoted negotiators who had previously talked up the prospects of agreement as accepting that they were now less hopeful, threatening "catastrophic consequences" for Greece and Europe unless the resumed talks break the impasse.

A statement from the Institute for International Finance, negotiating on behalf of creditor banks, said: "Under the circumstances, discussions with Greece and the official sector are paused for reflection on the benefits of a voluntary approach."

* With additional reporting by Reuters

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Why are asylum seekers being housed in hotels?

The number of asylum applications in the UK has reached a new record high, driven by those illegally entering the country in small boats crossing the English Channel.

A total of 111,084 people applied for asylum in the UK in the year to June 2025, the highest number for any 12-month period since current records began in 2001.

Asylum seekers and their families can be housed in temporary accommodation while their claim is assessed.

The Home Office provides the accommodation, meaning asylum seekers cannot choose where they live.

When there is not enough housing, the Home Office can move people to hotels or large sites like former military bases.

THE BIO

Born: Mukalla, Yemen, 1979

Education: UAE University, Al Ain

Family: Married with two daughters: Asayel, 7, and Sara, 6

Favourite piece of music: Horse Dance by Naseer Shamma

Favourite book: Science and geology

Favourite place to travel to: Washington DC

Best advice you’ve ever been given: If you have a dream, you have to believe it, then you will see it.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Ways to control drones

Countries have been coming up with ways to restrict and monitor the use of non-commercial drones to keep them from trespassing on controlled areas such as airports.

"Drones vary in size and some can be as big as a small city car - so imagine the impact of one hitting an airplane. It's a huge risk, especially when commercial airliners are not designed to make or take sudden evasive manoeuvres like drones can" says Saj Ahmed, chief analyst at London-based StrategicAero Research.

New measures have now been taken to monitor drone activity, Geo-fencing technology is one.

It's a method designed to prevent drones from drifting into banned areas. The technology uses GPS location signals to stop its machines flying close to airports and other restricted zones.

The European commission has recently announced a blueprint to make drone use in low-level airspace safe, secure and environmentally friendly. This process is called “U-Space” – it covers altitudes of up to 150 metres. It is also noteworthy that that UK Civil Aviation Authority recommends drones to be flown at no higher than 400ft. “U-Space” technology will be governed by a system similar to air traffic control management, which will be automated using tools like geo-fencing.

The UAE has drawn serious measures to ensure users register their devices under strict new laws. Authorities have urged that users must obtain approval in advance before flying the drones, non registered drone use in Dubai will result in a fine of up to twenty thousand dirhams under a new resolution approved by Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed, Crown Prince of Dubai.

Mr Ahmad suggest that "Hefty fines running into hundreds of thousands of dollars need to compensate for the cost of airport disruption and flight diversions to lengthy jail spells, confiscation of travel rights and use of drones for a lengthy period" must be enforced in order to reduce airport intrusion.

The Cockroach

 (Vintage)

Ian McEwan 
 

Key figures in the life of the fort

Sheikh Dhiyab bin Isa (ruled 1761-1793) Built Qasr Al Hosn as a watchtower to guard over the only freshwater well on Abu Dhabi island.

Sheikh Shakhbut bin Dhiyab (ruled 1793-1816) Expanded the tower into a small fort and transferred his ruling place of residence from Liwa Oasis to the fort on the island.

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Shakhbut (ruled 1818-1833) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further as Abu Dhabi grew from a small village of palm huts to a town of more than 5,000 inhabitants.

Sheikh Khalifa bin Shakhbut (ruled 1833-1845) Repaired and fortified the fort.

Sheikh Saeed bin Tahnoon (ruled 1845-1855) Turned Qasr Al Hosn into a strong two-storied structure.

Sheikh Zayed bin Khalifa (ruled 1855-1909) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further to reflect the emirate's increasing prominence.

Sheikh Shakhbut bin Sultan (ruled 1928-1966) Renovated and enlarged Qasr Al Hosn, adding a decorative arch and two new villas.

Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan (ruled 1966-2004) Moved the royal residence to Al Manhal palace and kept his diwan at Qasr Al Hosn.

Sources: Jayanti Maitra, www.adach.ae