The UN and Turkey first brokered the deal to enable the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea with Russia and Ukraine last year. Reuters
The UN and Turkey first brokered the deal to enable the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea with Russia and Ukraine last year. Reuters
The UN and Turkey first brokered the deal to enable the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea with Russia and Ukraine last year. Reuters
The UN and Turkey first brokered the deal to enable the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea with Russia and Ukraine last year. Reuters

UN chief Antonio Guterres visits Brussels to discuss grain deal with EU leaders


Sunniva Rose
  • English
  • Arabic

UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres was expected to meet EU leaders on Thursday in Brussels to discuss a crucial grain deal that enables the safe export of Ukrainian grain through the Black Sea, amid a continuing war.

The UN and Turkey first brokered the pact with Russia and Ukraine in July last year.

Turkey announced the renewal of the deal on Saturday, but Russia has refused to extend the pact for 120 days as expected, saying it would only allow it to continue for 60 days instead.

The UN is overseeing closed-door negotiations with Russia. Moscow's demands for allowing the deal to continue are in part directed towards Brussels.

“We aren’t in charge of these discussions with Russia but it [the agreement] will probably be discussed with the UN Secretary General,” an EU diplomat said. EU leaders, who are meeting for two days in Brussels on Thursday, are also expected to discuss the war in Ukraine among other topics with Mr Guterres.

Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Monday laid out its conditions for a further extension of the so-called Black Sea Grain Initiative. They include the restoration of access to the Swift financial messaging system for Russian state-owned agriculture-focused bank Rosselkhozbank, a resumption of farm machinery supplies, and the unblocking of foreign assets and accounts held by Russian agricultural companies.

Russia’s demands come despite the fact that the EU deliberately exempted its agriculture sector from sanctions. Brussels blames Russia for the spike in food insecurity in the world that followed Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine last year. Both Russia and Ukraine are major grain and fertiliser exporters.

Russia made similar requests when the grain deal was renewed in November, but ultimately approved the 120-day rollover, saying it had received reassurance that its concerns would be addressed. Neither the UN nor western countries made such promises publicly.

Russian exports of wheat and certain types of fertilisers increased last year, indicating that exports are not as affected as Moscow claims, analysts previously told The National. Moscow stopped releasing export data after the start of the war.

The EU, as well as the UN, Turkey and Ukraine, wanted the Black Sea Grain Initiative, which expired last Saturday, to be extended for 120 days as laid out in the initial agreement.

But Russia accuses the West of not collaborating with the UN in carrying out a separate agreement, signed on the same day as the grain deal, to enable the export of Russian food and fertilisers to world markets.

Questioned by The National, an EU official declined to disclose details of negotiations with Russia but said the UN was trying to find a compromise.

“Some delegations are very cautious with fertilisers,” they said.

Several countries including Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Poland opposed the EU’s exemption for fertilisers in the past, arguing that fertiliser companies are linked to Russian President Vladimir Putin and funding of the war in Ukraine.

The EU Commission has set up a system of checks to ensure that sanctioned Russian individuals do not benefit from the exports.

“Transit and payments are possible,” said the EU diplomat, referring to Russian agricultural exports via the EU.

“There might be issues regarding banks that were removed from Swift but that does not mean that payments cannot happen,” they added.

“We can always check if there are elements of friction in some places, but let’s not fall into promoting the narrative that sanctions caused food security issues.”

Blocking the deal would likely prove unpopular in Africa and the Middle East, which rely heavily on Russian and Ukrainian agricultural products.

Speaking at a Russia-Africa parliamentary conference in Moscow on Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said the renewal of the deal on Moscow's terms was in the continent's interests.

Mr Putin said that if the deal is not renewed, Moscow could supply free grain to “especially needy African countries”, without elaborating. So far, exports under the grain deal have been transported under commercial agreements.

The US on Tuesday pushed back against Russian demands. A US State Department representative said that Russian food and fertiliser exports are tracking with previous years and Ukraine's exports of food are down by more than a third.

“The only prohibitions on food and fertiliser exports from Russia are those imposed by the Government of the Russian Federation,” the representative said. “Russia is the one restricting its exports — it imposed export quotas on certain fertilisers, and recently extended them through the spring.”

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Rating: 3/5

World Cricket League Division 2

In Windhoek, Namibia - Top two teams qualify for the World Cup Qualifier in Zimbabwe, which starts on March 4.

UAE fixtures

Thursday February 8, v Kenya; Friday February 9, v Canada; Sunday February 11, v Nepal; Monday February 12, v Oman; Wednesday February 14, v Namibia; Thursday February 15, final

Honeymoonish
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Arabian Gulf League fixtures:

Friday:

  • Emirates v Hatta, 5.15pm
  • Al Wahda v Al Dhafra, 5.25pm
  • Al Ain v Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 8.15pm

Saturday:

  • Dibba v Ajman, 5.15pm
  • Sharjah v Al Wasl, 5.20pm
  • Al Jazira v Al Nasr, 8.15pm
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THREE
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: March 23, 2023, 7:28 AM