Visitors try on donated used clothes at a humanitarian aid hub for internally displaced people in Odesa, southern Ukraine. Bloomberg
Visitors try on donated used clothes at a humanitarian aid hub for internally displaced people in Odesa, southern Ukraine. Bloomberg
Visitors try on donated used clothes at a humanitarian aid hub for internally displaced people in Odesa, southern Ukraine. Bloomberg
Visitors try on donated used clothes at a humanitarian aid hub for internally displaced people in Odesa, southern Ukraine. Bloomberg

Ukraine refugees to cost Europe $36bn in short term, IMF expert says


Willy Lowry
  • English
  • Arabic

The Ukrainian refugee crisis will probably cost European countries $36 billion in the short term, an International Monetary Fund expert has said.

This comes as the war in Ukraine enters a dangerous and fast-escalating new phase that could quickly create further refugee flows.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 sparked one of the worst refugee crises in European since the Second World War, with more than 14.5 million people displaced. Just over half stayed in Ukraine, while seven million people fled abroad — mostly to other European countries.

Poland has taken in 1.4 million refugees, followed by Germany, which has taken in 1 million. The Czech Republic is currently accommodating nearly 400,000 Ukrainians.

“The response by European countries showed that a more co-ordinated and effective revenue policy is possible when there is political will,” Nicolo Bird, an IMF technical assistance adviser, said at a fund event in Washington on Tuesday

Mr Bird estimated that the short-term cost would be $36bn.

“Given the growing refugee crisis across the world, important lessons can be drawn from the treatment and management of the Ukraine refugee crisis in Europe.”

The influx of refugees to European countries has already placed an economic burden on those housing them.

Mr Bird urged European countries to plan for the short and long term, as the conflict in Ukraine appears to have no immediate end in sight.

When it does conclude, he expects a long reconstruction process.

Europe has embraced Ukrainian refugees in a way not afforded to those fleeing other conflicts and disasters.

Mr Bird said he hoped this united front will serve as a template for how the international community handles future refugee crises.

The Lost Letters of William Woolf
Helen Cullen, Graydon House 

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Our legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants

Our legal advisor

Ahmad El Sayed is Senior Associate at Charles Russell Speechlys, a law firm headquartered in London with offices in the UK, Europe, the Middle East and Hong Kong.

Experience: Commercial litigator who has assisted clients with overseas judgments before UAE courts. His specialties are cases related to banking, real estate, shareholder disputes, company liquidations and criminal matters as well as employment related litigation. 

Education: Sagesse University, Beirut, Lebanon, in 2005.

Biog:

Age: 34

Favourite superhero: Batman

Favourite sport: anything extreme

Favourite person: Muhammad Ali 

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%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EJames%20Gunn%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Chris%20Pratt%2C%20Zoe%20Saldana%2C%20Dave%20Bautista%2C%20Vin%20Diesel%2C%20Bradley%20Cooper%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
FINAL LEADERBOARD

1. Jordan Spieth (USA) 65 69 65 69 - 12-under-par
2. Matt Kuchar (USA) 65 71 66 69 - 9-under
3. Li Haotong (CHN) 69 73 69 63 - 6-under
T4. Rory McIlroy (NIR) 71 68 69 67 - 5-under
T4. Rafael Cabrera-Bello (ESP) 67 73 67 68 - 5-under
T6. Marc Leishman (AUS) 69 76 66 65 - 4-under
T6. Matthew Southgate (ENG) 72 72 67 65 - 4-under
T6. Brooks Koepka (USA) 65 72 68 71 - 4-under
T6. Branden Grace (RSA) 70 74 62 70 - 4-under
T6. Alexander Noren (SWE)  68 72 69 67 - 4-under

THE SPECS

2020 Toyota Corolla Hybrid LE

Engine: 1.8 litre combined with 16-volt electric motors

Transmission: Automatic with manual shifting mode

Power: 121hp

Torque: 142Nm

Price: Dh95,900

Florence and the Machine – High as Hope
Three stars

Updated: October 12, 2022, 8:02 PM