Gen Sergei Surovikin is leading Russia's military successes in the east of Ukraine, western intelligence says. Photo: Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation
Gen Sergei Surovikin is leading Russia's military successes in the east of Ukraine, western intelligence says. Photo: Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation
Gen Sergei Surovikin is leading Russia's military successes in the east of Ukraine, western intelligence says. Photo: Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation
Gen Sergei Surovikin is leading Russia's military successes in the east of Ukraine, western intelligence says. Photo: Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Russia's Gen Surovikin makes 'headway' in the battle for Donbas


Thomas Harding
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A general who commanded forces in Syria is responsible for recent Russian Army advances in Ukraine, western officials said.

Gen Sergei Surovikin is believed to be the strategist responsible for Russian forces “making genuine headway” against two recently captured Donbas cities.

Gen Surovikin, 55, is said by western sources to have used “controversial” tactics against Syrian rebels in his time as the longest-serving Russian commander there.

A few weeks ago, he replaced Gen Alexander Dvornikov, who appeared to have lost the trust of President Vladimir Putin after slow advances and heavy losses in Ukraine.

“Russia has made some significant command changes in recent weeks, notably General of the Army Sergei Surovikin, who has taken over command of the Southern Group of Forces, which is overseeing occupation of southern Ukraine and advances on the Donbas from the south,” a western official said.

“He is a controversial figure, even by the standards of Russian general officers.

“It is unclear whether it’s his influence that has led recent successes around Lysychansk, but certainly there’s been better co-operation among the groups of forces on the Russian side than we saw in the earlier phases of the war.”

Mr Putin on Monday congratulated troops for “liberating” Lysychansk and told them to rest.

The appointment of Gen Surovikin in Syria was a turning point in the conflict, and the government of Bashar Al Assad regained control of more than 50 per cent of the country.

Military analysts attributed advances by Syrian government forces and their allies to the refined but harsh tactics of Gen Surovikin, who became a Hero of the Russian Federation for his leadership.

The official told The National Gen Surovkin's experience as an army officer and a commander of the Russia Air Force made him a significant threat to Ukrainian forces.

“He has run the air service for a period of time, which is unusual for an army general,” the official said.

“It's all about combined arms integration and using the different services in totality to create the effect, and you'd expect from his experience in Syria and across the services this would bring some benefits in that regard. He has a long pedigree.”

On Wednesday, Britain’s Ministry of Defence said that the general’s 30-year career was “dogged with allegations of corruption and brutality”.

The official said the Russians had “regained some momentum in the last few weeks” and “consolidated beyond the defendable line of the Donets River”.

But Ukraine had been fighting a “rear-guard action within a 25-mile [40-kilometre] wide bulge, or salient. Ukrainian forces have now fallen back and it's created a straightened front”.

The fight to hold that line “would likely be particularly influential for the eventual fate of Donetsk oblast”, he said.

“We're paying particular attention to the potential for Sloviansk to become the site of a next major battle.”

But Ukraine’s military had made withdrawal in “relatively good order”, thereby “preserving some of its more capable troops to fight another day”.

Long-range weapons supplied by western powers were having an effect on the Russians but had not yet proved decisive in halting their advance, the official said.

Ukraine war in pictures

Four reasons global stock markets are falling right now

There are many factors worrying investors right now and triggering a rush out of stock markets. Here are four of the biggest:

1. Rising US interest rates

The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates three times this year in a bid to prevent its buoyant economy from overheating. They now stand at between 2 and 2.25 per cent and markets are pencilling in three more rises next year.

Kim Catechis, manager of the Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Emerging Markets Fund, says US inflation is rising and the Fed will continue to raise rates in 2019. “With inflationary pressures growing, an increasing number of corporates are guiding profitability expectations downwards for 2018 and 2019, citing the negative impact of rising costs.”

At the same time as rates are rising, central bankers in the US and Europe have been ending quantitative easing, bringing the era of cheap money to an end.

2. Stronger dollar

High US rates have driven up the value of the dollar and bond yields, and this is putting pressure on emerging market countries that took advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions in dollar-denominated debt. They have also suffered capital outflows as international investors have switched to the US, driving markets lower. Omar Negyal, portfolio manager of the JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust, says this looks like a buying opportunity. “Despite short-term volatility we remain positive about long-term prospects and profitability for emerging markets.” 

3. Global trade war

Ritu Vohora, investment director at fund manager M&G, says markets fear that US President Donald Trump’s spat with China will escalate into a full-blown global trade war, with both sides suffering. “The US economy is robust enough to absorb higher input costs now, but this may not be the case as tariffs escalate. However, with a host of factors hitting investor sentiment, this is becoming a stock picker’s market.”

4. Eurozone uncertainty

Europe faces two challenges right now in the shape of Brexit and the new populist government in eurozone member Italy.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, which has offices in Dubai, says the stand-off between between Rome and Brussels threatens to become much more serious. "As with Brexit, neither side appears willing to step back from the edge, threatening more trouble down the line.”

The European economy may also be slowing, Mr Beauchamp warns. “A four-year low in eurozone manufacturing confidence highlights the fact that producers see a bumpy road ahead, with US-EU trade talks remaining a major question-mark for exporters.”

Temple numbers

Expected completion: 2022

Height: 24 meters

Ground floor banquet hall: 370 square metres to accommodate about 750 people

Ground floor multipurpose hall: 92 square metres for up to 200 people

First floor main Prayer Hall: 465 square metres to hold 1,500 people at a time

First floor terrace areas: 2,30 square metres  

Temple will be spread over 6,900 square metres

Structure includes two basements, ground and first floor 

Updated: July 06, 2022, 8:57 PM