People shelter in an underground station in Kharkiv, Ukraine, as the war enters its sixth week. Getty
People shelter in an underground station in Kharkiv, Ukraine, as the war enters its sixth week. Getty
People shelter in an underground station in Kharkiv, Ukraine, as the war enters its sixth week. Getty
People shelter in an underground station in Kharkiv, Ukraine, as the war enters its sixth week. Getty

Ukraine expects Russia to 'dig in' but rejects 'Afghanisation'


Tim Stickings
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Russian troops are likely to retreat to southern and eastern strongholds in Ukraine after partially withdrawing from around Kyiv, senior Ukrainian figures said on Saturday.

Mykhailo Podolyak, a senior adviser to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said Ukraine needed more weapons to drive out the Russian invaders after more than five weeks of war.

But he rejected suggestions that the war would develop into a drawn-out conflict like the one in Afghanistan, after Mr Zelenskyy suggested some western countries were quietly hoping Russia would remain bogged down.

Russia’s announcement this week that it was scaling back its operations around Kyiv was met with scepticism by western leaders, amid uncertainty over whether troops were really withdrawing or merely regrouping.

But British military intelligence said on Saturday that Ukrainian forces were advancing against withdrawing Russian troops near Kyiv and had retaken several villages.

Mr Zelenskyy meanwhile said the partial Russian withdrawal was “slow, but noticeable” and said some positions had been abandoned by the Kremlin’s forces.

Ukraine claimed on Saturday that almost 18,000 Russian troops had been killed and more than 600 tanks lost during an invasion that western officials say has failed to make the progress expected.

However, Mr Zelenskyy said bombing attacks continued and that Russia was leaving mines behind in the regions evacuated by its troops. “It is still impossible to return to normal life as it was,” he said.

Mr Podolyak predicted that Russian forces would leave all regions except the south and east and “try to dig in there, set air defence, drastically reduce losses and dictate terms”.

He said Russia was hoping to control a vast stretch of territory in the south and east, where Ukraine currently holds the port of Mariupol despite weeks of fighting that have triggered a humanitarian crisis in the city.

The Red Cross said a team trying to organise an evacuation had to turn back on Friday because “conditions made it impossible to succeed”. Ukraine has accused Russia of obstructing aid convoys.

Mr Zelenskyy described the situation in Mariupol as a “humanitarian catastrophe” and said European powers had “no right to react in silence”.

  • A Ukrainian soldier inspects a burnt Russian tank in Dmytrivka, Kyiv region. Getty Images
    A Ukrainian soldier inspects a burnt Russian tank in Dmytrivka, Kyiv region. Getty Images
  • Ukrainians who fled to Mexico amid Russia's invasion of their homeland arrive at a shelter near the US border, in Tijuana, Mexico. Reuters
    Ukrainians who fled to Mexico amid Russia's invasion of their homeland arrive at a shelter near the US border, in Tijuana, Mexico. Reuters
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks from Kyiv. AP
    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy speaks from Kyiv. AP
  • A woman hugs a Ukrainian soldier after a convoy of military and aid vehicles arrived in the formerly Russian-occupied Kyiv suburb of Bucha. AP
    A woman hugs a Ukrainian soldier after a convoy of military and aid vehicles arrived in the formerly Russian-occupied Kyiv suburb of Bucha. AP
  • Shrapnel marks are seen on the statue of a child after shelling that hit the Gorky amusement park, in Kharkiv. Reuters
    Shrapnel marks are seen on the statue of a child after shelling that hit the Gorky amusement park, in Kharkiv. Reuters
  • A Ukrainian soldier walks next to a military vehicle, outside Kyiv. AP
    A Ukrainian soldier walks next to a military vehicle, outside Kyiv. AP
  • A man distributes toilet paper rolls as people wait for medicine and sanitary supply handouts in the formerly Russian-occupied Kyiv suburb of Bucha, Ukraine. AP
    A man distributes toilet paper rolls as people wait for medicine and sanitary supply handouts in the formerly Russian-occupied Kyiv suburb of Bucha, Ukraine. AP
  • A woman cooks on an open fire outside an apartment building, in Bucha. AP
    A woman cooks on an open fire outside an apartment building, in Bucha. AP
  • A Ukrainian soldier check streets for booby traps after Russian troops withdrew from Bucha. AP
    A Ukrainian soldier check streets for booby traps after Russian troops withdrew from Bucha. AP
  • Graves of residents who died during the Russian invasion, in front of residential buildings in the areas recaptured by the Ukrainian army, in Kyiv. EPA
    Graves of residents who died during the Russian invasion, in front of residential buildings in the areas recaptured by the Ukrainian army, in Kyiv. EPA
  • Destroyed Russian military vehicles on a street in Kyiv. EPA
    Destroyed Russian military vehicles on a street in Kyiv. EPA
  • A Ukrainian soldier walks by the wreckage of the Antonov An-225 Mriya aircraft , the world's largest cargo airplane and relic of the Soviet space programme, which was destroyed during fighting in Hostomel, Ukraine. AP
    A Ukrainian soldier walks by the wreckage of the Antonov An-225 Mriya aircraft , the world's largest cargo airplane and relic of the Soviet space programme, which was destroyed during fighting in Hostomel, Ukraine. AP
  • Ukrainian soldiers shout patriotic slogans with the Antonov An-225 in the background. AP
    Ukrainian soldiers shout patriotic slogans with the Antonov An-225 in the background. AP
  • Yulia Dyrda, who sustained arm injuries from Russian shelling, recovers at a hospital in Chuhuiv, Ukraine. Getty Images
    Yulia Dyrda, who sustained arm injuries from Russian shelling, recovers at a hospital in Chuhuiv, Ukraine. Getty Images
  • Residents stand next to a stuck Russian tank, in Nova Basan. Reuters
    Residents stand next to a stuck Russian tank, in Nova Basan. Reuters
  • The mother of Lt Oliynyk Dmytro, 40, mourns his death during his funeral ceremony, after the soldier was killed in action, in Lviv, western Ukraine. AP
    The mother of Lt Oliynyk Dmytro, 40, mourns his death during his funeral ceremony, after the soldier was killed in action, in Lviv, western Ukraine. AP
  • Ukrainian refugees rest in the ticket hall at Przemysl Glowny train station, Poland. Reuters
    Ukrainian refugees rest in the ticket hall at Przemysl Glowny train station, Poland. Reuters
  • A dog walks past the wreckage of a Russian armored personnel carrier, in Dmytrivka, Kyiv region. Getty Images
    A dog walks past the wreckage of a Russian armored personnel carrier, in Dmytrivka, Kyiv region. Getty Images
  • Ukrainians ride bicycles past destroyed cars in the town of Bucha, north-west of the capital Kyiv. Reuters
    Ukrainians ride bicycles past destroyed cars in the town of Bucha, north-west of the capital Kyiv. Reuters
  • Buildings damaged by shelling in the town of Makariv, in Kyiv region. Reuters
    Buildings damaged by shelling in the town of Makariv, in Kyiv region. Reuters
  • A woman carries her dog during an evacuation in the town of Irpin outside Kyiv. Reuters
    A woman carries her dog during an evacuation in the town of Irpin outside Kyiv. Reuters
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy gives a video update in which he said the situation in east of the country remained extremely difficult. Reuters
    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy gives a video update in which he said the situation in east of the country remained extremely difficult. Reuters
  • The Drax Power Station in North Yorkshire, England, illuminated in the colours of the Ukrainian flag. Reuters
    The Drax Power Station in North Yorkshire, England, illuminated in the colours of the Ukrainian flag. Reuters
  • Russian soldiers destroyed this bridge as they withdrew from a village on the outskirts of Kyiv. AP Photo
    Russian soldiers destroyed this bridge as they withdrew from a village on the outskirts of Kyiv. AP Photo
  • A child wrapped in a rescue emergency blanket crosses the border into Medyka, south-eastern Poland. AP Photo
    A child wrapped in a rescue emergency blanket crosses the border into Medyka, south-eastern Poland. AP Photo
  • Flowers lay on a Ukrainian armoured vehicle destroyed during fighting between Russian and Ukrainian forces on the outskirts of Kyiv. AP Photo
    Flowers lay on a Ukrainian armoured vehicle destroyed during fighting between Russian and Ukrainian forces on the outskirts of Kyiv. AP Photo
  • Damaged houses and a burnt-out Russian armoured vehicle on the outskirts of Kyiv. AFP
    Damaged houses and a burnt-out Russian armoured vehicle on the outskirts of Kyiv. AFP
  • Ukrainian soldier Dasha, 22, checks her phone after a military sweep to search for Russian troops after their withdrawal from villages in the outskirts of Kyiv. AP Photo
    Ukrainian soldier Dasha, 22, checks her phone after a military sweep to search for Russian troops after their withdrawal from villages in the outskirts of Kyiv. AP Photo
  • Ammunition scattered on the ground next to a Ukrainian armoured car destroyed in fighting outside Kyiv. AP Photo
    Ammunition scattered on the ground next to a Ukrainian armoured car destroyed in fighting outside Kyiv. AP Photo

Russia has said it would focus on the eastern Donbas region where it supports pro-Kremlin separatists in the self-declared republics of Donetsk and Luhansk.

“Without heavy weapons we won’t be able to drive [Russia] out,” Mr Podolyak said in the latest appeal for western countries to provide more armaments.

But “there’ll be no Afghanisation and no long conflict”, he said, after the prospect of a drawn-out war led to comparisons with the long Soviet and Nato interventions in Afghanistan.

Germany, Australia and Lithuania have all approved extra weapons transfers to Ukraine, with Berlin approving the export of PbV-501 infantry fighting vehicles.

The 56 vehicles originally belonged to communist East Germany and were sold to Sweden and then a Czech company after the end of the Cold War, but the government of the reunified Germany retains a veto over such transfers.

Lithuania’s Defence Minister Arvydas Anusauskas said the Baltic country was transferring another 10 million euros’ ($11m) worth of military support to Ukraine.

Australia announced it would send armoured Bushmaster vehicles to Ukraine after Mr Zelenskyy specifically asked for them in a speech to the country’s Parliament, the latest in a series of such addresses.

The vehicles will be flown over on Boeing C-17 Globemaster transport aircraft, said Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison.

“We’re not just sending our prayers, we are sending our guns, we’re sending our munitions,” said Mr Morrison.

Peace talks were described as making some progress this week but the future of the disputed Donbas and Crimea remain up in the air.

Ukraine offered at the talks in Turkey to adopt a form of neutrality in which several named countries would guarantee to protect it from aggression as a substitute for a Nato membership bid which Russia wants dropped.

Updated: April 02, 2022, 12:08 PM