Beverage prices rose 5 per cent in the UAE during April last year. Jeffrey E. Biteng / The National
Beverage prices rose 5 per cent in the UAE during April last year. Jeffrey E. Biteng / The National
Beverage prices rose 5 per cent in the UAE during April last year. Jeffrey E. Biteng / The National
Beverage prices rose 5 per cent in the UAE during April last year. Jeffrey E. Biteng / The National

Pressure starts to bite over subsidies


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Surging prices of oil and food are putting Middle East governments in a fix.

For decades, they have used subsidies and price controls to help to keep inflation in check and protect citizens from volatility in global markets.

So tightly woven into the fabric of society have the measures become that nobody questioned the approach for many years. Instead, many consumers enjoyed the benefits of cheap electricity in their homes and offices, petrol in their cars and bread on their tables.

But now, as oil and food prices nudge close to record peaks, pressure is growing on the finances of governments and market retailers who have to absorb the costs.

The potential scale of the problem was illustrated in the UAE in recent weeks by petrol shortages in the Northern Emirates.

Fixed prices for petrol but insufficient compensation to fuel suppliers for higher global prices were believed to be behind the queues snaking out of petrol station forecourts. The stations' owners were simply unwilling to pay market prices any more for a product they could only sell at much lower government-set rates.

Across the region, governments are coming under fire from the IMF and other global bodies that argue subsidies are not the best way of appeasing their populations or helping society's poorest.

But the backdrop of social unrest raging across parts of the Arab world has made the idea of exposing consumers to higher prices unappetising.

Concern about instability means subsidised fuel and food should remain part of the region's landscape in the immediate future, say economists.

"Subsidies have to do with the way governments perceive themselves, and it's difficult for them to know what to do after the Arab Spring," says John Sfakianakis, the chief economist at Banque Saudi Fransi. "Subsidies can distort prices and can create capital inefficiencies, but when you put them in, it's difficult to take them out."

Anger at the rising cost of living helped to fuel the social disorder in Egypt and Tunisia, which led to the overthrow of the presidents in those countries.

Prices of many commodities - from corn to oil and wheat - have surged this year. Corn prices have risen more than 10 per cent so far compared with last year, according to the Standard & Poor's GSCI index. Prices of North Sea Brent crude are up by more than 20 per cent during the same period.

Supply pressures caused by the combination of bad harvests in the case of food and production capacity worries in the case of oil have contributed to market volatility.

In response, many governments have shown a willingness to help consumers. Egypt's temporary government has promised to keep existing subsidies, while Bahrain in February ordered an increase in food subsidies. Kuwait's rulers agreed this year to the distribution of US$4 billion (Dh14.6bn) of free food to citizens. Morocco, Yemen, Syria and Jordan have also taken similar action.

Of those nations, it is the non-oil exporters that are most vulnerable to higher prices. While GCC countries can use oil windfalls to pay for their expenditure rises, the financial positions of other nations is more precarious. Egypt's budget deficit is expected to widen to 10.9 per cent of GDP this year as official spending rises.

"Subsidies are more of a problem for oil-importing governments where the pressure on budgets is greater," says Marios Maratheftis, a research executive at Standard Chartered.

In the UAE, the Government has also been spurred to respond. Although inflation in April slowed to 1.1 per cent, food and beverage costs rose 5 per cent during the month compared with April last year.

Last month, the Ministry of Economy agreed with food retailers to fix the price of 400 commodities at 70 retail outlets across the country.

Officials also appear to have stalled plans to gradually liberalise fixed petrol prices. In an effort to reduce pressure on retailers and to slow rapid consumption growth, the Government lifted prices at the pump twice last year.

Despite the double rise - a total of up to 27 per cent, depending on the grade of fuel - petrol retailers say they are still losing money.

'Midnights'
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The story in numbers

18

This is how many recognised sects Lebanon is home to, along with about four million citizens

450,000

More than this many Palestinian refugees are registered with UNRWA in Lebanon, with about 45 per cent of them living in the country’s 12 refugee camps

1.5 million

There are just under 1 million Syrian refugees registered with the UN, although the government puts the figure upwards of 1.5m

73

The percentage of stateless people in Lebanon, who are not of Palestinian origin, born to a Lebanese mother, according to a 2012-2013 study by human rights organisation Frontiers Ruwad Association

18,000

The number of marriages recorded between Lebanese women and foreigners between the years 1995 and 2008, according to a 2009 study backed by the UN Development Programme

77,400

The number of people believed to be affected by the current nationality law, according to the 2009 UN study

4,926

This is how many Lebanese-Palestinian households there were in Lebanon in 2016, according to a census by the Lebanese-Palestinian dialogue committee

Start times

5.55am: Wheelchair Marathon Elites

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7am: Marathon Masses

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Biog

Mr Kandhari is legally authorised to conduct marriages in the gurdwara

He has officiated weddings of Sikhs and people of different faiths from Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Russia, the US and Canada

Father of two sons, grandfather of six

Plays golf once a week

Enjoys trying new holiday destinations with his wife and family

Walks for an hour every morning

Completed a Bachelor of Commerce degree in Loyola College, Chennai, India

2019 is a milestone because he completes 50 years in business

 

UAE'S%20YOUNG%20GUNS
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MATCH INFO

Chelsea 0

Liverpool 2 (Mane 50', 54')

Red card: Andreas Christensen (Chelsea)

Man of the match: Sadio Mane (Liverpool)

How to wear a kandura

Dos

  • Wear the right fabric for the right season and occasion 
  • Always ask for the dress code if you don’t know
  • Wear a white kandura, white ghutra / shemagh (headwear) and black shoes for work 
  • Wear 100 per cent cotton under the kandura as most fabrics are polyester

Don’ts 

  • Wear hamdania for work, always wear a ghutra and agal 
  • Buy a kandura only based on how it feels; ask questions about the fabric and understand what you are buying
Herc's Adventures

Developer: Big Ape Productions
Publisher: LucasArts
Console: PlayStation 1 & 5, Sega Saturn
Rating: 4/5

Pakistan World Cup squad

Sarfraz Ahmed (c), Fakhar Zaman, Imam-ul-Haq, Abid Ali, Babar Azam, Haris Sohail, Shoaib Malik, Mohammad Hafeez(subject to fitness), Imad Wasim, Shadab Khan, Hasan Ali, Faheem Ashraf, Junaid Khan, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Mohammad Hasnain      

Two additions for England ODIs: Mohammad Amir and Asif Ali

The%20Killer
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