Old guard paves way for Obama transition


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Jo Biddle Washington // Senior politicians, former ambassadors, top business leaders and lawyers will lead special teams into US government departments and agencies to prepare the ground for Barack Obama's presidency, his office said. An army of specialists - including senior members of the Democratic former president Bill Clinton's 1993-2001 administration - is set to fan out across the treasury, state department and Pentagon.

Even the White House will be assessed as the 450-strong transition team examines more than 100 departments and agencies. The aim is to provide Mr Obama and his vice president, Joe Biden, "with information needed to make strategic policy, budgetary and personnel decisions prior to the inauguration". Facing two wars and the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, Mr Obama wants to be able to implement policy changes as soon as he becomes president on Jan 20. He has made it clear that the faltering economy will be his top priority.

So far Mr Obama has only named his White House chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, but there has been fierce speculation as to who might fill other key posts. Names floated include John Kerry, a Massachusetts senator who was the Democrats' presidential candidate in 2004, and the New Mexico Governor, Bill Richardson, for state; Chuck Hagel, the retiring Republican senator, Jack Reed, a Democratic senator, and retired general Colin Powell, all Vietnam War veterans, for defence; and Larry Summers, the treasury secretary between 1999-2001, and Timothy Geithner, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York chief, for treasury.

Heading the treasury agency review will be the former treasury staffer Josh Gotbaum, who is an an adviser to investment funds focusing on restructurings. At the Pentagon, John White, the former deputy secretary of defence from 1995 to 1997, will lead the transition investigation. Trey Obering, the Pentagon's missile defence chief, said he was looking forward to reporting to Mr Obama that the US anti-missile system was "workable", and to setting the president-elect's mind at ease.

"Our testing has shown not only can we hit a bullet with a bullet, we can hit a spot on a bullet with a bullet," he said. * Agence France-Presse

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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