• Around $3.5 trillion is required between now and 2050 to meet targets for a 'sustainable path', according to the International Energy Agency. AP Photo
    Around $3.5 trillion is required between now and 2050 to meet targets for a 'sustainable path', according to the International Energy Agency. AP Photo
  • The makeshift Suweida camp for internally displaced people in Yemen’s Marib province. The effects of climate change have exacerbated the displacement of local populations during the country’s war. AFP
    The makeshift Suweida camp for internally displaced people in Yemen’s Marib province. The effects of climate change have exacerbated the displacement of local populations during the country’s war. AFP
  • A firefighter monitors a controlled burn, near Jolon, California.Frequent wildfires are an indication of climate change further getting out of control, say environmentalists. Bloomberg
    A firefighter monitors a controlled burn, near Jolon, California.Frequent wildfires are an indication of climate change further getting out of control, say environmentalists. Bloomberg
  • Wildfire burns through the Angeles National Forest in Los Angeles County, north of Azusa, California. AFP
    Wildfire burns through the Angeles National Forest in Los Angeles County, north of Azusa, California. AFP
  • Steam rises from a steel mill in Duisburg, Germany. Some countries are using the coronavirus pandemic to wind back climate change commitments, say environmentalists. Getty Images
    Steam rises from a steel mill in Duisburg, Germany. Some countries are using the coronavirus pandemic to wind back climate change commitments, say environmentalists. Getty Images
  • A deforested area close to Sinop, Mato Grosso State, Brazil. Deforestation in Brazil's Amazon rainforest rose by almost 22 percent from August 2020 to July 2021, compared with the same period the year before, reaching a 15-year high. AFP
    A deforested area close to Sinop, Mato Grosso State, Brazil. Deforestation in Brazil's Amazon rainforest rose by almost 22 percent from August 2020 to July 2021, compared with the same period the year before, reaching a 15-year high. AFP

How climate change is leading to more extreme weather events


Kelly Clarke
  • English
  • Arabic

In the past decade, scientists have published hundreds of studies looking at causes of extreme weather around the world.

From heatwaves in the Mediterranean to floods in Europe, and wildfires in Australia to hurricanes in the US, there is mounting evidence that human activity is compounding the risk, especially when it comes to heat.

Climate change is already having visible effects on the world. The Earth is warming, rainfall patterns are changing, and sea levels are rising.

And these changes can increase the risk of heatwaves, floods, droughts, and fires.

A recent analysis by the Met Office, the UK’s national weather agency, found a warming planet leads to other extreme changes.

Over the past few years, heatwaves have been the “deadliest global weather hazard”, it said.

Oceans absorb 90 per cent of the extra heat generated by human influence and, when the water heats up, it expands to take up more space, in turn leading to a rise in sea levels.

In future, the Met Office projects that the world will see “warmer and wetter winters, hotter and drier summers and more frequent and intense weather extremes”.

Here, The National looks at how climate change is linked to some of the world’s most extreme weather.

The weather is getting hotter

People cool down at a beach in Brighton, UK. Photo: Getty
People cool down at a beach in Brighton, UK. Photo: Getty

Around the globe, hot days are getting hotter and more frequent.

As cities develop and expand, vegetation is often lost to more roads and buildings.

This rapid development and loss of green spaces can lead to higher temperatures by creating 'urban heat islands'.

An urban heat island occurs when a city or metropolitan area experiences temperatures that are significantly warmer than its surrounding rural areas, usually due to human activities.

Green spaces are considered an appropriate way to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide comfort to residents.

In July 2019, western Europe experienced record temperatures.

In the UK the mercury rose to 38.7°C — the highest daily maximum temperature on record for the country.

A study published in the IOPscience journal looked at whether human activity was to blame for the heat in Europe.

“The heatwaves that struck western Europe were rather short-lived, [three to four days], yet very extreme as far as the highest temperatures are concerned,” it said.

“Many all-time records were broken in most countries of western Europe, including historical records exceeded by one to two degrees.

“Using an unprecedented number of climate model ensembles and statistical extreme value modelling, we demonstrate that these short and intense events would have had extremely small odds in the absence of human-induced climate change, and equivalently frequent events would have been 1.5°C to 3°C colder.”

More floods and droughts

Flooded houses in Guanacaste, Costa Rica, on August 25, 2021. Photo: AFP
Flooded houses in Guanacaste, Costa Rica, on August 25, 2021. Photo: AFP

The UN has said water is the primary medium through which we will feel the effects of climate change.

As higher temperatures set in and become more extreme and less predictable, conditions are projected to affect “availability and distribution of rainfall, snowmelt, river flows and groundwater, and further deteriorate water quality”.

Low income communities will likely be the worst-affected and more floods and severe droughts are predicted.

Right now, Madagascar is experiencing one of the worst droughts in its history, with many calling it the climate change famine.

After four years without rain, the lack of harvest has devastated farmers and left families hungry.

On the other side of the world, in western Europe, 2021 brought some of the most devastating floods to hit the region in decades.

In July, heavy rainfall associated with low-pressure system “Bernd” led to severe flooding, particularly in Germany and Belgium.

A study published by World Weather Attribution said climate change worsened the floods.

“Climate change increased the intensity of the maximum one-day rainfall event in the summer season in this large region by about three to 19 per cent compared to a global climate 1.2°C cooler than today,” the authors of the study said.

“These numbers are based on an assessment including observations, regional climate models and very high resolution climate models that directly simulate convection.

“In summary, our results highlight that at local scale detection of extreme precipitation trends is hindered by variability, but when considering such events occurring over the larger western Europe region, significant trends attributable to human-induced climate change are evident.”

Wildfires sparked by climate change

A volunteer holds a hosepipe during efforts to extinguish a fire in the village of Villa, Athens, on August 18. AFP
A volunteer holds a hosepipe during efforts to extinguish a fire in the village of Villa, Athens, on August 18. AFP

Fires that devastated large parts of Greece this month highlight the need for radical shifts in behaviour to combat climate change.

Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said the blazes were fuelled by an intense heatwave that struck much of southern Europe and was blamed on global warming.

There are several ways climate change can increase the risk of wildfires, drought being one of them.

When temperatures increase, it speeds up the rate of evaporation causing plants and land to lose moisture quickly.

When vegetation dries out and is exposed to direct, extreme heat – or a small spark – fires can ignite and spread rapidly.

Climate change activists protest at City of London's Guildhall - in pictures

  • Extinction Rebellion climate activists drape a banner from the Guildhall in London. The campaign group is gearing up for two weeks of demonstrations. Reuters
    Extinction Rebellion climate activists drape a banner from the Guildhall in London. The campaign group is gearing up for two weeks of demonstrations. Reuters
  • Activists climbed the outside of the headquarters of the City of London's government on Sunday as they launched a series of protests focusing on the capital's financial district. Reuters
    Activists climbed the outside of the headquarters of the City of London's government on Sunday as they launched a series of protests focusing on the capital's financial district. Reuters
  • A protester from Extinction Rebellion wears a facemask saying 'I know my rights' outside Guildhall. Getty Images
    A protester from Extinction Rebellion wears a facemask saying 'I know my rights' outside Guildhall. Getty Images
  • About 200 demonstrators from Extinction Rebellion targeted the Guildhall. Getty Images
    About 200 demonstrators from Extinction Rebellion targeted the Guildhall. Getty Images
  • Extinction Rebellion, which caused days of traffic chaos in London two years ago, said it was targeting the city's financial district, which it holds responsible for helping to fuel climate change. Getty Images
    Extinction Rebellion, which caused days of traffic chaos in London two years ago, said it was targeting the city's financial district, which it holds responsible for helping to fuel climate change. Getty Images
  • Police officers clash with Extinction Rebellion climate activists. Reuters
    Police officers clash with Extinction Rebellion climate activists. Reuters
  • Actor Jerome Flynn (C) takes part in the protest at Guildhall. Reuters
    Actor Jerome Flynn (C) takes part in the protest at Guildhall. Reuters
  • The group wants an emergency response from governments and a mass move away from polluting industries to avert the worst scenarios of devastation outlined by scientists. Reuters
    The group wants an emergency response from governments and a mass move away from polluting industries to avert the worst scenarios of devastation outlined by scientists. Reuters
  • A protester and a police officer confront each other outside the Guildhall. AP Photo
    A protester and a police officer confront each other outside the Guildhall. AP Photo
David Haye record

Total fights: 32
Wins: 28
Wins by KO: 26
Losses: 4

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Director: James Cameron

Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana

Rating: 4.5/5

Opening weekend Premier League fixtures

Weekend of August 10-13

Arsenal v Manchester City

Bournemouth v Cardiff City

Fulham v Crystal Palace

Huddersfield Town v Chelsea

Liverpool v West Ham United

Manchester United v Leicester City

Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur

Southampton v Burnley

Watford v Brighton & Hove Albion

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Everton

What is an ETF?

An exchange traded fund is a type of investment fund that can be traded quickly and easily, just like stocks and shares. They come with no upfront costs aside from your brokerage's dealing charges and annual fees, which are far lower than on traditional mutual investment funds. Charges are as low as 0.03 per cent on one of the very cheapest (and most popular), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, with the maximum around 0.75 per cent.

There is no fund manager deciding which stocks and other assets to invest in, instead they passively track their chosen index, country, region or commodity, regardless of whether it goes up or down.

The first ETF was launched as recently as 1993, but the sector boasted $5.78 billion in assets under management at the end of September as inflows hit record highs, according to the latest figures from ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm.

There are thousands to choose from, with the five largest providers BlackRock’s iShares, Vanguard, State Street Global Advisers, Deutsche Bank X-trackers and Invesco PowerShares.

While the best-known track major indices such as MSCI World, the S&P 500 and FTSE 100, you can also invest in specific countries or regions, large, medium or small companies, government bonds, gold, crude oil, cocoa, water, carbon, cattle, corn futures, currency shifts or even a stock market crash. 

Updated: August 30, 2021, 2:00 AM