• Of all the local amenity options offered in Dubai, parks (85 per cent) were an overwhelming favourite among high-net-worth individuals. EPA
    Of all the local amenity options offered in Dubai, parks (85 per cent) were an overwhelming favourite among high-net-worth individuals. EPA
  • The desire to be near a park was highest among East Asians, at 95 per cent, while Saudis considered it the most important factor. EPA
    The desire to be near a park was highest among East Asians, at 95 per cent, while Saudis considered it the most important factor. EPA
  • Jumeirah Bay Island is one of three prime residential neighbourhoods in Dubai
    Jumeirah Bay Island is one of three prime residential neighbourhoods in Dubai
  • Dubai's prime residential neighbourhoods – the Palm Jumeirah, Emirates Hills; and Jumeirah Bay Island – dominate luxury home sales. Reuters
    Dubai's prime residential neighbourhoods – the Palm Jumeirah, Emirates Hills; and Jumeirah Bay Island – dominate luxury home sales. Reuters
  • More neighbourhoods in Dubai are likely to be classed as prime if they continue to achieve multimillion-dollar sales figures. AP
    More neighbourhoods in Dubai are likely to be classed as prime if they continue to achieve multimillion-dollar sales figures. AP
  • Reports finds that the super-rich would rather buy a property they can take possession of immediately than a project that will be ready some time in the future. AFP
    Reports finds that the super-rich would rather buy a property they can take possession of immediately than a project that will be ready some time in the future. AFP

Dubai's property bubble far from bursting, real estate experts say


Patrick Ryan
  • English
  • Arabic

Dubai’s property boom is not going to slow down anytime soon, real estate experts have said.

A rising population, minimal taxes and the global economic climate are chief among the reasons for continued optimism when it comes to the emirate’s property sector.

Another major factor is that the price of property is still low compared to other major cities such as London and Hong Kong, despite the fact that costs continue to rise.

The rapid growth of the Dubai property sector had led many to speculate if the housing bubble would burst.

“Dubai's property boom is not due to slow down anytime soon,” Lewis Allsopp, chief executive of real estate firm Allsopp & Allsopp told The National.

Dubai's price is definitely affected by its population growth. It is the typical law of supply and demand
Lewis Allsopp,
chief executive of Allsopp & Allsopp

“This is due to Dubai’s rapid population growth, global economic factors and limited taxation.

“Income tax is non-existent and corporate tax has been only introduced this month, being one of the lowest in the world at only 9 per cent.”

'Surging prices still comparatively low'

The value of real estate transactions in Dubai grew by 87 per cent on an annual basis in May, said a report by real estate listings website Property Finder.

The aggregate value of deals in the emirate last month was Dh34 billion ($9.3 billion).

Part of the emirate’s appeal is how it compares to other global hubs for property prices, he added.

“The price to get a two-bedroom in a central location in London is around Dh10 million,” said Mr Allsopp.

“You can buy a two-bedroom in Business Bay for Dh1.5m and in prime areas like Downtown for around Dh2.5m and that is without considering the actual space, which goes without saying is way more generous here in Dubai.”

Lewis Allsopp, chief executive of Allsopp & Allsopp, said Dubai properties compare favourably to London. Reem Mohammed / The National
Lewis Allsopp, chief executive of Allsopp & Allsopp, said Dubai properties compare favourably to London. Reem Mohammed / The National

While it might seem obvious that a market as developed as London's would demand higher prices on premium properties, the comparison with Dubai was still a fair one, insisted Mr Allsopp.

"Dubai continues to establish itself as an international destination and a comparison with prices in other global centres like London is timely as many young professionals, families and businesses are moving themselves to Dubai," he said.

Increasing popularity

Dubai’s population surpassed the 3.5 million mark in April, powered by a rise in migration.

The emirate’s government plans to ensure the population rate continues to soar, with plans in place for 5.8 million to call Dubai home by 2040, necessitating a major expansion.

“The challenge is, the launches that are happening this year will not be complete for three years, but the influx of people coming into Dubai is happening at the present time,” said Mr Allsopp.

In recent years a trend has emerged with many Dubai residents looking to the suburbs for somewhere to call home, due to rising prices in more central areas.

This has led to many moving to areas such as Arabian Ranches 2, Jumeirah Village Circle, Town Square and Mira.

Going off-plan

The shortage of properties currently available has also led to a surge of interest in off-plan properties, another expert said.

“The (current) supply of housing falls short of meeting demand, which explains the surge in new off-plan property launches, including notable projects like Palm Jebel Ali and Expo City,” said Matthew Gregory, branch director at Betterhomes.

“Developers are keenly aware of the opportunities presented by this growth and are striving to offer competitively priced properties.”

Even with a new supply of properties, the market is unlikely to experience a crash, he added.

Matthew Gregory, branch director with Betterhomes, said the full impact of Chinese investors has yet to be realised. Photo: Betterhomes
Matthew Gregory, branch director with Betterhomes, said the full impact of Chinese investors has yet to be realised. Photo: Betterhomes

“However, as the population continues to expand and the housing supply becomes more abundant, we can expect prices to stabilise rather than experience a sudden crash,” said Mr Gregory.

In fact, he said prices could continue to rise with an influx from one market in particular.

“As China resumes international travel, there is the potential for them to exert their investment power, resulting in another wave of investments pouring into the city and further fuelling the market,” said Mr Gregory.

He also echoed sentiments around the comparatively cheap property available in Dubai when looking at other markets.

“Dubai’s prime real estates are seven times lower than those in Hong Kong and five and a half times lower than in London,” said Mr Gregory.

“Dubai offers one of the most favourable investment yields globally.

“These price differentials between it and the other two cities will continue to draw the attention of investors, individuals and families seeking a distinctive lifestyle that Dubai has to offer.”

'Better lifestyle'

The overall quality of life for residents of Dubai remains a key factor for the emirate’s continued popularity, said another real estate expert.

The UAE was named as the sixth-best country for expatriates to live and work in by a report released last year by global network InterNations – moving up 12 places from the previous year.

“Clients don’t just look at the price per square foot when making a decision – aspects such as safety, leadership, tax benefits and the general way of life can make a city feel ‘cheap’ or ‘expensive’,” said Charlie Bannan, sales director with Haus & Haus real estate.

“Now, more than ever, I speak with people from the UK who are taking the leap and relocating themselves and their families for a better lifestyle.”

Chinese investors buying Dubai properties – in pictures

  • Chinese investors, pictured inspecting models of properties in Dubai during a 2018 trip, look set to return in large numbers this year. Photo: Driven Properties
    Chinese investors, pictured inspecting models of properties in Dubai during a 2018 trip, look set to return in large numbers this year. Photo: Driven Properties
  • Driven Properties, a Dubai company with offices in Beijing and Shenzhen, says investments are starting to pick up. Photo: Driven Properties
    Driven Properties, a Dubai company with offices in Beijing and Shenzhen, says investments are starting to pick up. Photo: Driven Properties
  • The company says it will increase the number of seminars across China and tours to the UAE for prospective buyers. Photo: Driven Properties
    The company says it will increase the number of seminars across China and tours to the UAE for prospective buyers. Photo: Driven Properties
  • Abdullah Alajaji, centre right, chief executive of Driven Properties, in Shenzhen before the coronavirus pandemic. Photo: Driven Properties
    Abdullah Alajaji, centre right, chief executive of Driven Properties, in Shenzhen before the coronavirus pandemic. Photo: Driven Properties
  • In 2018, the Chinese were among the top four foreign nationalities who invested in Dubai property, alongside Indians, Britons and Pakistanis, according to Dubai Land Department data. Photo: Driven Properties
    In 2018, the Chinese were among the top four foreign nationalities who invested in Dubai property, alongside Indians, Britons and Pakistanis, according to Dubai Land Department data. Photo: Driven Properties
  • Buyers from China typically select studio apartments in areas such as City Walk, pictured. Antonie Robertson / The National
    Buyers from China typically select studio apartments in areas such as City Walk, pictured. Antonie Robertson / The National
  • Residences in Downtown Dubai are popular among Chinese investors. Sarah Dea / The National
    Residences in Downtown Dubai are popular among Chinese investors. Sarah Dea / The National
  • Residential projects in Business Bay are picked up by Chinese buyers. Photo: SRG Holding
    Residential projects in Business Bay are picked up by Chinese buyers. Photo: SRG Holding
  • Investors from China take a tour of City Walk in 2018 during a trip to Dubai. Chinese buyers are expected to re-engage with the UAE market after China’s strict travel regulations were revoked. Photo: Driven Properties
    Investors from China take a tour of City Walk in 2018 during a trip to Dubai. Chinese buyers are expected to re-engage with the UAE market after China’s strict travel regulations were revoked. Photo: Driven Properties
  • A presentation for visiting Chinese buyers in Dubai. Photo: Driven Properties
    A presentation for visiting Chinese buyers in Dubai. Photo: Driven Properties
  • A group from China takes a closer look at a Dubai property in 2018. The safety and connectivity of the emirate are key factors for investors. Photo: Driven Properties
    A group from China takes a closer look at a Dubai property in 2018. The safety and connectivity of the emirate are key factors for investors. Photo: Driven Properties
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Marathon results

Men:

 1. Titus Ekiru(KEN) 2:06:13 

2. Alphonce Simbu(TAN) 2:07:50 

3. Reuben Kipyego(KEN) 2:08:25 

4. Abel Kirui(KEN) 2:08:46 

5. Felix Kemutai(KEN) 2:10:48  

Women:

1. Judith Korir(KEN) 2:22:30 

2. Eunice Chumba(BHR) 2:26:01 

3. Immaculate Chemutai(UGA) 2:28:30 

4. Abebech Bekele(ETH) 2:29:43 

5. Aleksandra Morozova(RUS) 2:33:01  

BUNDESLIGA FIXTURES

Friday (UAE kick-off times)

Cologne v Hoffenheim (11.30pm)

Saturday

Hertha Berlin v RB Leipzig (6.30pm)

Schalke v Fortuna Dusseldof (6.30pm)

Mainz v Union Berlin (6.30pm)

Paderborn v Augsburg (6.30pm)

Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund (9.30pm)

Sunday

Borussia Monchengladbach v Werder Bremen (4.30pm)

Wolfsburg v Bayer Leverkusen (6.30pm)

SC Freiburg v Eintracht Frankfurt (9on)

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

if you go
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The 12 breakaway clubs

England

Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur

Italy
AC Milan, Inter Milan, Juventus

Spain
Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Real Madrid

Company Profile:

Name: The Protein Bakeshop

Date of start: 2013

Founders: Rashi Chowdhary and Saad Umerani

Based: Dubai

Size, number of employees: 12

Funding/investors:  $400,000 (2018) 

RIDE%20ON
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Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

MATCH INFO

What: 2006 World Cup quarter-final
When: July 1
Where: Gelsenkirchen Stadium, Gelsenkirchen, Germany

Result:
England 0 Portugal 0
(Portugal win 3-1 on penalties)

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League semi-finals, first leg
Liverpool v Roma

When: April 24, 10.45pm kick-off (UAE)
Where: Anfield, Liverpool
Live: BeIN Sports HD
Second leg: May 2, Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Living in...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.

Bullet%20Train
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The chef's advice

Troy Payne, head chef at Abu Dhabi’s newest healthy eatery Sanderson’s in Al Seef Resort & Spa, says singles need to change their mindset about how they approach the supermarket.

“They feel like they can’t buy one cucumber,” he says. “But I can walk into a shop – I feed two people at home – and I’ll walk into a shop and I buy one cucumber, I’ll buy one onion.”

Mr Payne asks for the sticker to be placed directly on each item, rather than face the temptation of filling one of the two-kilogram capacity plastic bags on offer.

The chef also advises singletons not get too hung up on “organic”, particularly high-priced varieties that have been flown in from far-flung locales. Local produce is often grown sustainably, and far cheaper, he says.

U19 WORLD CUP, WEST INDIES

UAE group fixtures (all in St Kitts)

  • Saturday 15 January: UAE beat Canada by 49 runs 
  • Thursday 20 January: v England 
  • Saturday 22 January: v Bangladesh 

UAE squad:

Alishan Sharafu (captain), Shival Bawa, Jash Giyanani, Sailles
Jaishankar, Nilansh Keswani, Aayan Khan, Punya Mehra, Ali Naseer, Ronak Panoly,
Dhruv Parashar, Vinayak Raghavan, Soorya Sathish, Aryansh Sharma, Adithya
Shetty, Kai Smith  

Updated: June 15, 2023, 10:52 AM