• A picture taken on February 21, 2020, shows a portrait of Arab Israeli member of the Joint List Ahmad Tibi on a campaign poster, with Arabic writing stating, "I am staying seated for you" in the northern Israeli City of Tayyiba. AFP
    A picture taken on February 21, 2020, shows a portrait of Arab Israeli member of the Joint List Ahmad Tibi on a campaign poster, with Arabic writing stating, "I am staying seated for you" in the northern Israeli City of Tayyiba. AFP
  • An Arab Israeli woman votes in the country's parliamentary elections at a polling station in the Arab city of Tamra in northern Israel on March 2, 2020. AFP
    An Arab Israeli woman votes in the country's parliamentary elections at a polling station in the Arab city of Tamra in northern Israel on March 2, 2020. AFP
  • An Arab-Israeli girl casts her mother's ballot in the parliamentary election at a poling station in the Bedouin town of Rahat near the southern Israeli city of Beersheba on March 2, 2020. AFP
    An Arab-Israeli girl casts her mother's ballot in the parliamentary election at a poling station in the Bedouin town of Rahat near the southern Israeli city of Beersheba on March 2, 2020. AFP
  • Ayman Odeh, the head of Israel's predominantly Arab Joint List coalition, talks to reporters in the northern Israeli city of Haifa, on March 3, 2020, a day after the Israeli general elections. AFP
    Ayman Odeh, the head of Israel's predominantly Arab Joint List coalition, talks to reporters in the northern Israeli city of Haifa, on March 3, 2020, a day after the Israeli general elections. AFP
  • A mosque is seen in the Arab-Israeli village of Baqa al-Gharbiyye on February 1, 2020. Reuters
    A mosque is seen in the Arab-Israeli village of Baqa al-Gharbiyye on February 1, 2020. Reuters
  • Iman Khatib Yasin, the first Muslim lawmaker in Israel's history to wear a head scarf, following results of her Arab Joint List party in Israel's election, participates in an interview in a radio show in Nazareth, Israel on March 5, 2020. Reuters
    Iman Khatib Yasin, the first Muslim lawmaker in Israel's history to wear a head scarf, following results of her Arab Joint List party in Israel's election, participates in an interview in a radio show in Nazareth, Israel on March 5, 2020. Reuters
  • An Arab-Israeli man arrives at a poling station, decorated with portraits of Israeli politicians, to cast his ballot for the parliamentary election in the Bedouin town of Rahat near the southern Israeli city of Beersheba on March 2, 2020. AFP
    An Arab-Israeli man arrives at a poling station, decorated with portraits of Israeli politicians, to cast his ballot for the parliamentary election in the Bedouin town of Rahat near the southern Israeli city of Beersheba on March 2, 2020. AFP
  • A Muslim Arab Israeli casts his vote in the country's parliamentary elections at a polling station in the Arab city of Tamra in northern Israel on March 2, 2020. AFP
    A Muslim Arab Israeli casts his vote in the country's parliamentary elections at a polling station in the Arab city of Tamra in northern Israel on March 2, 2020. AFP
  • Buildings in the Palestinian village of Nazlat Isa near Tulkarm in the Israeli-occupied West Bank are seen behind the Israeli barrier and from the Arab-Israeli village of Baqa al-Gharbiyye on February 1, 2020. Reuters
    Buildings in the Palestinian village of Nazlat Isa near Tulkarm in the Israeli-occupied West Bank are seen behind the Israeli barrier and from the Arab-Israeli village of Baqa al-Gharbiyye on February 1, 2020. Reuters

What Israel's rising divisions mean for its Arabs – both free and occupied


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Recently, the Israeli historian Tom Segev published a biography of Israel's first prime minister, David Ben Gurion. An underlying theme Mr Segev develops is Ben Gurion’s persistent contradictions on the subject of Arabs.

Ben Gurion fought Arabs as a settler in Palestine, yet was close to certain Arab individuals. He promised “full and equal citizenship” to Arab citizens of Israel in the country’s declaration of statehood, but also presided over their expulsion during the war in 1948, later placing them under military rule – a decision lifted only in 1966.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, seen here in a weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem on March 8, 2020, has denounced his country's Arab political parties as "terror supporters". EPA
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, seen here in a weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem on March 8, 2020, has denounced his country's Arab political parties as "terror supporters". EPA

The results of Israel’s recent elections showed that the ground is shifting when it comes to the country’s relationship with its Arab population. The Joint List of Arab parties emerged with fifteen seats, making it the third-largest party in the Knesset. Immediately, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, worried that his rival, Benny Gantz, would try to form an alliance with the Arabs, denounced him as seeking a deal with “terror supporters,” who were “not part of the equation” in the Knesset.

Mr Netanyahu has alienated the Arabs with many other measures that have underlined his evidently profound contempt for them. During the 2015 elections, he had galvanised his electoral base on election day by recording a video in which he declared, “Arab voters are heading to the polling stations in droves.” Using this scare tactic to mobilise Jewish voters against their Arab compatriots was disgraceful, but par for the course for the prime minister.

The prime minister’s strong support for a Basic Law declaring Israel to be “the nation state for the Jewish people,” pushed Arabs away even further. Effectively, the law created a two-tier citizenship, underlining that while Arabs might enjoy civil and political rights, this was only in the context of a state in which Jews alone had a right to self-determination. Many critics denounced the law as racist.

The undermining of a two-state solution means that Palestinians may seek common cause with their Israeli Arab counterparts.

Mr Netanyahu’s third blow against Israel’s Arabs came indirectly, in the form of US President Donald Trump's so-called peace plan, released in January. Though a US proposal, it was also very much Mr Netanyahu’s preferences relayed via the Americans drafting the plan. One of its most controversial elements was the transfer of some 350,000 Arab Israelis living in villages abutting the West Bank to a future Palestinian state.

Israeli Arabs, rightly, saw this as a demographic power play by the Americans, at Mr Netanyahu’s urging, to reduce their country's Arab population. Aymen Odeh, the leader of the Joint List denounced the move, stating, “No one will deprive us of citizenship in the homeland where we were born.”

  • Arab Israelis wave Palestinian flags as they take part in a rally to express their opposition to the US-brokered proposal for a settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian Middle East conflict, in the Arab-Israeli town of Baqa al-Gharbiya in northern Israel. AFP
    Arab Israelis wave Palestinian flags as they take part in a rally to express their opposition to the US-brokered proposal for a settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian Middle East conflict, in the Arab-Israeli town of Baqa al-Gharbiya in northern Israel. AFP
  • Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
    Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
  • Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
    Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
  • Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
    Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
  • Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
    Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
  • Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA
    Israelis and Israeli Arabs protest against US President Trump's peace plan as they march in Tel Aviv , Israel. EPA

It would be too easy to put this solely at the door of Mr Netanyahu and his Likud Party, who are the political heirs of Revisionist Zionism, a school of thought that has long advocated the security of Israel through an “iron wall” of overwhelming power that is “not amenable to any Arab pressure,” in the words of its founder, Ze’ev Jabotinsky.

Yet the Labour Party – Likud's historical rival – has hardly been better. Labour governments kept Israel’s Arabs under arbitrary military rule for almost two decades. It was Golda Meir, a Labour prime minister, who denied that there ever was a Palestinian people. And Labour has long pursued a similar policy in the occupied West Bank to right-wing parties, backing settlements and advocating for Israel’s annexation of the Jordan Valley.

Today, several factors are imposing upon Israel a re-evaluation of its relations with its Arab citizens and those under its occupation. The first is that the two-state solution no longer appears to be viable, meaning that Israel is already facing an Arab demographic majority between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean.

While Israel’s Arabs may have a different agenda than their brethren in the occupied territories, the undermining of a two-state solution means that Palestinians under occupation will increasingly begin to demand their rights in the framework of an Israeli state, perhaps seeking common cause with their Arab counterparts inside Israel.

This will be unacceptable to Israelis, who will regard such a situation as a threat to their state's Jewish identity. More than that, however, it will create a dilemma for the country's Jewish majority, which will find itself opposed to both a two-state and a one-state solution, while pursuing its repression and marginalisation of West Bank and Gaza Palestinians. The result will only be a further erosion of Israel’s international credibility.

The essential question is how Israeli Arabs and those under occupation can combine their efforts and act jointly to impose change upon Israel's Jewish majority. The success of the Joint List creates space to take such collaboration a step further, but the flip side of this is that it will exacerbate Jewish insecurities. That is not necessarily a bad thing if it forces Israeli leaders to realise that they can no longer have their cake and eat it, too, and that pursuing maximalist objectives also means having to deal with the consequences.

While Ben Gurion accepted the United Nations' original partition plan in 1947, he remained sensitive to demographic factors in the prospective Jewish state. But he was inconsistent on the matter, writes Mr Segev, ultimately welcoming Israel’s expansion after the 1967 war, regardless of its demographic implications. Israel today, even as it has affirmed its Jewish identity more forcefully, is facing more forceful Arabs in its midst. This has the potential to rewrite entirely the narrative of the two communities' relations in the future, surely for the better.

Michael Young is editor of Diwan, the blog of the Carnegie Middle East programme, in Beirut