Michael Young

Countries and territories in which the Axis of Resistance is present are vulnerable in the event of Israeli retaliation

The Israelis know that the group is fighting with one hand behind its back

With the country at a crossroads, a recent speech by one of its most powerful Christian leaders is intriguing

There is little benefit in seeing the US maintain its dominance in the region

Lebanon's Christian electorate is a house divided, leaving it open to political exploitation

There is no military solution likely to bring Israel a better outcome than a negotiated agreement

Relying simply on military force to achieve your objectives, while your adversaries are also focused on politics, is a losing strategy

The tensions with Israel may not result in another war but if they do, reconstituting the current state would be near impossible

The behaviour of some Lebanese senior leaders is destroying what remains of the Taif Accord

A full-blown conflict inside Lebanon that involves Israel, Hezbollah and Iran is unlikely to break out

There are parallel calculations by both men, involving facing a backlash and accepting defeat

In an election year in the US, important constituencies in the Democratic Party would turn against Biden if he opposed Israel

Its deterrence equation with Tehran's proxies relies on brinkmanship, and stamina on the other side is waning

As French and British imperialists found out, no colonial model can ever work in the face of strong local nationalism

If there were political aims, we can only guess what they were. Last week, Hamas reportedly sought a return to the status quo before October 7