Khaled Brigade, a part of Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, holding a military parade in Damascus in December. Reuters
Khaled Brigade, a part of Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, holding a military parade in Damascus in December. Reuters
Khaled Brigade, a part of Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, holding a military parade in Damascus in December. Reuters
Khaled Brigade, a part of Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, holding a military parade in Damascus in December. Reuters


What will post-Assad Syria do about foreign fighters?


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January 14, 2025

Syria faces plenty of uncertainty about its future: the future of its economy, the future role of women, the role of minorities and the multitude of rebel factions that will eventually need to be dissolved. Yet one group that seems to be on surprisingly stable ground includes the thousands of Islamist foreign fighters still living in the country.

Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, the formally dissolved organisation that runs Syria’s new government, has integrated many of these fighters into the country’s Ministry of Defence. This has sparked outrage among rival groups, notably the Syrian National Army, whose members had hoped their experience and loyalty as early defectors from Bashar Al Assad’s forces would earn them senior military roles.

Members of the SNA have also argued that Ahmad Al Shara, the head of HTS and Syria’s de facto leader, does not have constitutional power to grant military ranks – which is solely reserved for the president – to non-Syrians. Meanwhile, American, French and German envoys have reportedly told the new government that these appointments are a security concern.

Syria expert Aymenn Al-Tamimi told me how difficult it is to get accurate figures on the number of foreign fighters currently in Syria. But he estimates figures vary between 5,000 and 10,000.

Their presence has created unease among some Syrians. A friend of mine in Damascus expressed mixed feelings. “On one hand, they fought side by side with the rebels to free us of Assad,” she said. “But on the other hand, we know some of them are extremists, and some might even have been part of [ISIS].”

Feeling perhaps like fish out of water in Damascus, quite a few foreign fighters have reportedly returned to Idlib and other northern provinces, where the way of life is more suited to their conservative values and where they have families.

Foreign fighters began heading to Syria in late 2012, driven by two primary motivations. The first was a visceral reaction to the carnage inflicted by the Assad forces. The second was a potent mix of religious zeal and apocalyptic beliefs.

Foreign fighters, suspected of being part of ISIS, lie in a prison cell in Hasaka, Syria. Reuters
Foreign fighters, suspected of being part of ISIS, lie in a prison cell in Hasaka, Syria. Reuters
When the fervour subsides, what will become of the fighters who have called Syria home for more than a decade?

Radical preachers in Europe, Central Asia and beyond fanned the flames, proclaiming that the Syrian conflict was the precursor to the Day of Judgment, supposedly foretold in Islamic eschatology. The prophecy that the final battle would begin in Dabiq, a small town in the north, spurred waves of radicalised young men to seek glory in Bilad Al Sham, or Greater Syria.

Many of these fighters, some arriving as adolescents, were radicalised at home through social media and social networking platforms such as Telegram. Once they reached Turkey, networks operating along the Turkish-Syrian border arranged their journey into the rebel heartland.

By 2014, about 12,000 foreign fighters from more than 80 countries joined the battlefield.

Today, many of them are basking in the success of toppling a half-century-old government, feeling justified in their “struggle”. Social media footage shows how many of the first fighters to enter Aleppo and Damascus visited the historic Grand Mosque of Aleppo and the Umayyad Mosque – sites that served as pivotal battlegrounds during the Crusades and other periods in history.

But when the fervour subsides, what will become of these fighters who have called Syria home for more than a decade? Will Syrians remain broadly welcoming to extremists driven by the idea of building an Islamic state?

Between 2013 and 2015, I interviewed a handful of fighters who left the UK for Syria. Within months, some of those young men joined ISIS. But they did not see themselves as extremists.

In 2014, I asked a British man, Abdel-Majed Abdel Bary, if he felt Syrians were turning against them. He said: “Come to Syria and ask the civilians who helps them, and they will say the mujahids with the black flags – we clean streets and put up electricity [lines].” But Mr Bary’s radicalisation was just in its infancy at the time; he later became one of the most extreme and terrifying western fighters to be associated with ISIS, responsible for abhorrent crimes.

Not all foreign fighters joined ISIS. Many aligned themselves with other Islamist factions, and some with the mostly secular Free Syrian Army, while others – mainly British and American former military personnel – fought alongside Kurdish groups. By late 2014, most fighters entering Syria knew they would probably never return home. Crimes committed by these fighters, often justified in their minds as necessary for their cause, have caused much heartache in Syria.

Ahmad Al Shara, the leader of Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, is welcomed by supporters before addressing a crowd at Umayyad Mosque in Damascus in December. AFP
Ahmad Al Shara, the leader of Hayat Tahrir Al Sham, is welcomed by supporters before addressing a crowd at Umayyad Mosque in Damascus in December. AFP

“Jihad is a lifetime commitment,” a young British fighter who joined Jabhat Al Nusra, since rebranded as HTS, told me at the time. “When I went to Syria, I effectively accepted that my citizenship would be revoked. I had zero plans to return.”

Indeed, many fighters today are stateless, while many others fear prosecution if they attempt to return to their countries of origin. For some, the spoils of victory, the power, the prestige and the sense of purpose may be too tempting to leave behind.

One of HTS’s founding principles is that the group would not betray or surrender foreign fighters to their home countries. Mr Al Shara, who has upheld this principle, has been strategic in overlooking past crimes of these fighters. This policy has even extended to Assad loyalists and former members of the army. Evidently, Mr Al Shara’s amnesty serves a dual purpose in encouraging Syrians to overlook crimes committed by his own group, which was once affiliated with Al Qaeda.

Of course, foreign fighters are not the primary concern of most Syrians, who have far more pressing issues to tackle. Beyond those still detained in ISIS prison camps, most fighters don’t appear to pose an immediate threat. Mr Al Shara’s leadership has largely kept the various factions relatively stable across all fronts.

Now that some of them are in the inner circles of power in Damascus, they will be expected to become or, at the very least, appear as moderate as Mr Al Shara has shown himself to be. But the question is, for how long?

It’s too early to predict what the new constitution will look like, or whether the majority of citizens will vote for a secular state or one based on some interpretation of Sharia. What is clear is that the foreign fighters will stay put for now, and it will be up to them to rehabilitate themselves into a new Syria, whatever shape it takes.

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Tonight’s Chat host Ricardo Karam is a renowned author and broadcaster who has previously interviewed Bill Gates, Carlos Ghosn, Andre Agassi and the late Zaha Hadid, among others.

Intellectually curious and thought-provoking, Tonight’s Chat moves the conversation forward.

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Started: 2019
Co-founders: Ahmad Hammouda and Seif Amr
Sector: FinTech
Headquarters: Egypt
UAE base: Hub71, Abu Dhabi
Current number of staff: More than 150
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Thalassaemia is part of a family of genetic conditions affecting the blood known as haemoglobin disorders.

Haemoglobin is a substance in the red blood cells that carries oxygen and a lack of it triggers anemia, leaving patients very weak, short of breath and pale.

The most severe type of the condition is typically inherited when both parents are carriers. Those patients often require regular blood transfusions - about 450 of the UAE's 2,000 thalassaemia patients - though frequent transfusions can lead to too much iron in the body and heart and liver problems.

The condition mainly affects people of Mediterranean, South Asian, South-East Asian and Middle Eastern origin. Saudi Arabia recorded 45,892 cases of carriers between 2004 and 2014.

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Updated: January 15, 2025, 3:37 PM