Chancellor Rachel Reeves, pictured on Remembrance Sunday in central London. Her recent budget was no more than a patching-up financial statement. AFP
Chancellor Rachel Reeves, pictured on Remembrance Sunday in central London. Her recent budget was no more than a patching-up financial statement. AFP
Chancellor Rachel Reeves, pictured on Remembrance Sunday in central London. Her recent budget was no more than a patching-up financial statement. AFP
Chancellor Rachel Reeves, pictured on Remembrance Sunday in central London. Her recent budget was no more than a patching-up financial statement. AFP


Britain forgets how to be inspiring as Labour offers a pipeline of nothing


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November 12, 2024

Anyone looking for something imaginative and exciting when Rachel Reeves addresses the City on Thursday need not bother. The recent UK budget was a patching-up financial statement, raising relatively small amounts of revenue from here, to spend on urgent needs there. In terms of long-term economic vision, there was nothing.

Particularly lacking were large-scale infrastructure developments. France has les grands projets; in Britain there is a plan to spend £100 million on the creation of a tunnel to protect bats on the new, much-reduced HS2 rail line. At Mansion House to mark the installation of a new lord mayor of London, Ms Reeves will change the rules on investing pensions but not say much about the purpose of her shake-up.

The bat controversy is a tad unfair but it says much about the paucity of plans for substantial building schemes that the bats have attracted more comment and coverage since Reeves’ address than any other construction proposal.

Put simply, Britain has stopped doing. While that is bad enough for a country once renowned for ambition, design and innovation, it fails to realise two things: major projects are an excellent, proven way of galvanising the economy, providing jobs across the supply chain as well as long-term improvement; and the UK is in grave danger of slipping behind the facilities provided by its peers, and in an increasingly competitive market for international investment such a backward step is deeply troubling.

Britain led the world with its railways. Not any more. Heathrow was the globe’s leading airport. No longer. The nation’s motorway network is reduced to using computer technology to reduce traffic speed to keep vehicles flowing. There is only one major road from West to East across the North of England, home to a swathe of manufacturing industry. As for the East coast, from London to Scotland, there is no continuous fast motorway. Instead, in places it is a two-lane carriageway, interspersed with roundabouts.

Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson understood the need to 'level up' Britain's peripheral regions. AFP
Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson understood the need to 'level up' Britain's peripheral regions. AFP

There was no talk either from Reeves of world-beating, large-scale digital, medical and science centres. No power plants either. Little in the way of creating.

Nothing inspiring is in the pipeline. To think, it was not that long ago that Margaret Thatcher was agreeing with Francois Mitterrand to build a tunnel under the English Channel. A Conservative prime minister was prepared to share with a socialist president. That took courage on her part but so determined was she, so convinced of the benefits, that she went ahead.

Boris Johnson also got it. At various times, he envisaged a bridge or tunnel from Scotland to Northern Ireland, an airport on an artificial island in the Thames Estuary, a second fixed link to France. His problem was that while he talked the talk he had no means of execution. Still, he managed to aspire and to lift.

It was not that long ago that Margaret Thatcher was agreeing with Francois Mitterrand to build a tunnel under the English Channel

Johnson was the first politician to speak of ‘levelling up’, ending the perennial, socially and economically ruinous North-South divide. The detail and the cost typically did not detain him. Again, though, he made people believe that a problem hitherto thought to be unsolvable could be resolved.

His wasn’t just a signal to Britain, it was a message to the world. Today, Keir Starmer likes to say ‘we’re open for business’ without apparently realising that other nations are also ‘open’ and they’re busy, constantly boosting their offering.

Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer has failed to raise spending on infrastructure projects. AFP
Britain's Prime Minister Keir Starmer has failed to raise spending on infrastructure projects. AFP

Britain is mired on two counts. First, there is a genuine lack of cash. Decades of neglect mean that the bill to correct existing weaknesses is considerable. Schools are crumbling, hospitals are not equipped to cope, transport is creaking, energy security is flawed, there is a desperate shortage of affordable quality housing stock. Just putting that right demands many billions. Meanwhile, the appetite of the NHS and welfare state is never sated.

That’s before attention turns to additions and improvements, extras if you will, that bear reasonable comparison to those in France and elsewhere. Here, we’ve allowed ourselves to become terrified.

There’s a reluctance in government to explore shared private-public funding, which leads to the total outlay, and the risk, being borne by the taxpayer.

This engenders an ultra-cautious approach that slows and, ironically, only adds to the final spend. HS2 is a case in point. Originally conceived as a super-quick train service connecting London with Birmingham and the North-West, akin to France’s TGV, it’s taken decades and is still nowhere near being built. More and more consultants were hired, planning permissions were blocked or took forever to gain approval, estimates as to the level of public investment required and the time taken to completion kept on climbing. This fuelled rows that only added to the delays.

Traffic queues up on the M25 near in Surrey, one of Britain's busiest stretches of road. PA
Traffic queues up on the M25 near in Surrey, one of Britain's busiest stretches of road. PA

It’s now a drastically pared back route, going only as far north as Birmingham. Yet the controversy and stalling rumbles on. Safeguarding the bats is one of 8,276 separate ‘consents’ required from public bodies, even for this truncated scheme to go ahead. At one stage, when it was heading to the cities of Manchester, Liverpool and Leeds, HS2’s estimated cost was extending beyond £130 billion. That’s come down as the project has been cutback, but it’s still put at £66 billion. Most of that will go on legal and planning expenses, poor forecasting and inflation – as the timeframe has lengthened so it’s been hit by a worldwide rise in the cost of materials such as concrete and steel.

An insight into the fear that grips decision-making came this week with new Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch’s evidence to the Post Office Horizon inquiry (now – incredibly, but perhaps not – in its fourth year). Compensation rightfully due for the sub-postmasters caught up in the scandal was held back, said Badenoch, previously trade secretary, by civil servants refusing to say anything blunt in a document. This was because they were scared in case the memo was ever made public and they were accused of being too direct. They were also, she said, afraid of the thought of having it flashed up on screen at inquiries like the very one she was addressing.

That meant ministers did not see highlighted, simply understood issues – they were hidden and obscured, never to feature, as the officials wished.

Badenoch was defending her corner. Nevertheless, the picture she painted was depressing. Far from well-oiled and humming, the state machine is rusting and stalled.

Put what she said alongside Reeves’s budget and you can see why Britain is no longer attempting to forge ahead. We must raise our game.

Results

Female 49kg: Mayssa Bastos (BRA) bt Thamires Aquino (BRA); points 0-0 (advantage points points 1-0).

Female 55kg: Bianca Basilio (BRA) bt Amal Amjahid (BEL); points 4-2.

Female 62kg: Beatriz Mesquita (BRA) v Ffion Davies (GBR); 10-2.

Female 70kg: Thamara Silva (BRA) bt Alessandra Moss (AUS); submission.

Female 90kg: Gabreili Passanha (BRA) bt Claire-France Thevenon (FRA); submission.

Male 56kg: Hiago George (BRA) bt Carlos Alberto da Silva (BRA); 2-2 (2-0)

Male 62kg: Gabriel de Sousa (BRA) bt Joao Miyao (BRA); 2-2 (2-1)

Male 69kg: Paulo Miyao (BRA) bt Isaac Doederlein (USA); 2-2 (2-2) Ref decision.

Male 77kg: Tommy Langarkar (NOR) by Oliver Lovell (GBR); submission.

Male 85kg: Rudson Mateus Teles (BRA) bt Faisal Al Ketbi (UAE); 2-2 (1-1) Ref decision.

Male 94kg: Kaynan Duarte (BRA) bt Adam Wardzinski (POL); submission.

Male 110kg: Joao Rocha (BRA) bt Yahia Mansoor Al Hammadi (UAE); submission.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

The advice provided in our columns does not constitute legal advice and is provided for information only. Readers are encouraged to seek independent legal advice. 

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Updated: November 13, 2024, 8:22 AM