When Ben Bradlee was editor of The Washington Post, he went out of his way to encourage young journalists. I was fortunate to be one of them.
Early in my career living in Washington, I benefitted from listening to this great hero – during whose tenure the newspaper exposed the Watergate scandal. He would make suggestions and offer guidance and advice. Today, I can only imagine what Bradlee would think of the decision by the current editorial board of The Washington Post to not recommend either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris to readers and voters in the US presidential election.
The result has been a row within the tight circle of American political journalism – but it’s just another twist in this extraordinary election campaign, one of the longest and strangest ever.
The 2024 campaign actually began the moment Mr Trump lost his re-election bid in 2020. He immediately wanted a rematch. Then, President Joe Biden – the man who defeated him four years ago – dropped out of the race. It became just another one of this year’s astonishing news-making moments.
The highlights and lowlights include the attempted assassination of Mr Trump, followed by the conspiracy theories that the shooting was somehow “staged”. Then there were the endorsements for Ms Harris from Beyonce, Taylor Swift, Bruce Springsteen and a number of Hollywood stars. We’ve met JD Vance and Tim Walz, two extraordinary and very different men.
We’ve had an incumbent president, Mr Biden, too infirm for the fight and claims that Mr Trump is a fascist, plus lurid stories about plots and foreign interference. Several others, ranging from the Russian leadership to Elon Musk, are all allegedly pulling the strings and turning the election into variations of Dante’s Inferno.
And so, in the spirit, I hope, of my journalistic hero Bradlee, can we all calm down? Can we focus on where the US should be headed, why, and what it means for the rest of us? Could we begin by agreeing that the best for America, and the world, would be an election that produces a clear, incontrovertible victory for one of the candidates?
A thumping win for Ms Harris or Mr Trump might end the more lurid conspiracy theories about another supposedly “stolen” election. But unfortunately, such a clear result may not be likely. Under the American system, it is possible that the candidate who wins the presidency may not be the one to win most votes across the country. That’s just the way the US electoral college system works.
The Republican pollster Frank Luntz, examining recent polls, suggested that “if Trump wins the national popular vote, he’ll be only the second Republican to do so in 20 years and the third in 36 years”. And if Ms Harris wins the national popular vote, she still might not win the presidency, depending on how half a dozen or so “swing” states finally tally up.
The concern would be – as in the 2000 electoral contest between Al Gore and George W Bush – if one key state is locked in arguments about the validity of the results. This happened in Florida.
That controversy was eventually settled in favour of Mr Bush by the US Supreme Court. Mr Gore, who was vice president at the time, generously conceded. Such generosity and statesmanship may be lacking this time.
In the 2020 contest, there were bitter arguments over the Georgia vote that continue to this day. They have resulted in the indictment and ultimately the possible conviction of Mr Trump and his allies. That’s why a clear 2024 result, for Ms Harris or Mr Trump, would be the best for political tranquillity. The catch is that the polls suggest such clarity is the least likely outcome of all. A poll for The National has found that while Ms Harris leads Mr Trump slightly nationally, the former president has the slimmest of edges in key swing states.
Bluntly, the state of the union is not as strong as those of us who admire America would hope it to be. Beyond deep divisions between the candidates, the divisions between some of their supporters and voters form an enormous gulf. There are two disparate visions of politics, morality and life.
That gulf in society tells us that the winner next week needs to be the healer-in-chief, yet we also know – and here I hope I am wrong – that next month’s election winner may prefer to deepen wounds rather than heal them. The gulf between Ms Harris and Mr Trump and the animosity between some of their supporters are so pronounced that it may be optimistic to expect either candidate to be capable of bringing this divided country together.
On CNN, Ms Harris suggested that Mr Trump would be “a president of the United States who admires dictators and is a fascist”. Mr Trump wrote that those who “cheated” in the election would face “long-term prison sentences” and would “be sought out, caught and prosecuted at levels, unfortunately, never seen before in our country”. He also threatened to use military force against “liberal” politicians and activists he called “the enemy within”.
What would the estimable Bradlee make of all this? He was a journalist, yes, and a brilliant editor but most importantly he was also a great American patriot. If he were alive today, he might see the current election as an extraordinary newspaper story and a great moment in history.
But as a scholar of American history, he would also remind readers of Abraham Lincoln’s observation that “a house divided against itself, cannot stand”.
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Some of Darwish's last words
"They see their tomorrows slipping out of their reach. And though it seems to them that everything outside this reality is heaven, yet they do not want to go to that heaven. They stay, because they are afflicted with hope." - Mahmoud Darwish, to attendees of the Palestine Festival of Literature, 2008
His life in brief: Born in a village near Galilee, he lived in exile for most of his life and started writing poetry after high school. He was arrested several times by Israel for what were deemed to be inciteful poems. Most of his work focused on the love and yearning for his homeland, and he was regarded the Palestinian poet of resistance. Over the course of his life, he published more than 30 poetry collections and books of prose, with his work translated into more than 20 languages. Many of his poems were set to music by Arab composers, most significantly Marcel Khalife. Darwish died on August 9, 2008 after undergoing heart surgery in the United States. He was later buried in Ramallah where a shrine was erected in his honour.
Company: Instabug
Founded: 2013
Based: Egypt, Cairo
Sector: IT
Employees: 100
Stage: Series A
Investors: Flat6Labs, Accel, Y Combinator and angel investors
Indoor cricket World Cup:
Insportz, Dubai, September 16-23
UAE fixtures:
Men
Saturday, September 16 – 1.45pm, v New Zealand
Sunday, September 17 – 10.30am, v Australia; 3.45pm, v South Africa
Monday, September 18 – 2pm, v England; 7.15pm, v India
Tuesday, September 19 – 12.15pm, v Singapore; 5.30pm, v Sri Lanka
Thursday, September 21 – 2pm v Malaysia
Friday, September 22 – 3.30pm, semi-final
Saturday, September 23 – 3pm, grand final
Women
Saturday, September 16 – 5.15pm, v Australia
Sunday, September 17 – 2pm, v South Africa; 7.15pm, v New Zealand
Monday, September 18 – 5.30pm, v England
Tuesday, September 19 – 10.30am, v New Zealand; 3.45pm, v South Africa
Thursday, September 21 – 12.15pm, v Australia
Friday, September 22 – 1.30pm, semi-final
Saturday, September 23 – 1pm, grand final
Roll of honour 2019-2020
Dubai Rugby Sevens
Winners: Dubai Hurricanes
Runners up: Bahrain
West Asia Premiership
Winners: Bahrain
Runners up: UAE Premiership
UAE Premiership
Winners: Dubai Exiles
Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes
UAE Division One
Winners: Abu Dhabi Saracens
Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes II
UAE Division Two
Winners: Barrelhouse
Runners up: RAK Rugby
Need to know
Unlike other mobile wallets and payment apps, a unique feature of eWallet is that there is no need to have a bank account, credit or debit card to do digital payments.
Customers only need a valid Emirates ID and a working UAE mobile number to register for eWallet account.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
THE BIO
Favourite holiday destination: Whenever I have any free time I always go back to see my family in Caltra, Galway, it’s the only place I can properly relax.
Favourite film: The Way, starring Martin Sheen. It’s about the Camino de Santiago walk from France to Spain.
Personal motto: If something’s meant for you it won’t pass you by.
Last-16 Europa League fixtures
Wednesday (Kick-offs UAE)
FC Copenhagen (0) v Istanbul Basaksehir (1) 8.55pm
Shakhtar Donetsk (2) v Wolfsburg (1) 8.55pm
Inter Milan v Getafe (one leg only) 11pm
Manchester United (5) v LASK (0) 11pm
Thursday
Bayer Leverkusen (3) v Rangers (1) 8.55pm
Sevilla v Roma (one leg only) 8.55pm
FC Basel (3) v Eintracht Frankfurt (0) 11pm
Wolves (1) Olympiakos (1) 11pm
OPENING FIXTURES
Saturday September 12
Crystal Palace v Southampton
Fulham v Arsenal
Liverpool v Leeds United
Tottenham v Everton
West Brom v Leicester
West Ham v Newcastle
Monday September 14
Brighton v Chelsea
Sheffield United v Wolves
To be rescheduled
Burnley v Manchester United
Manchester City v Aston Villa
The Word for Woman is Wilderness
Abi Andrews, Serpent’s Tail
SERIE A FIXTURES
Saturday Spezia v Lazio (6pm), Juventus v Torino (9pm), Inter Milan v Bologna (7.45pm)
Sunday Verona v Cagliari (3.30pm), Parma v Benevento, AS Roma v Sassuolo, Udinese v Atalanta (all 6pm), Crotone v Napoli (9pm), Sampdoria v AC Milan (11.45pm)
Monday Fiorentina v Genoa (11.45pm)
RESULTS
2pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (Dirt) 1,200m
Winner: Najem Al Rwasi, Fabrice Veron (jockey), Ahmed Al Shemaili (trainer)
2.30pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Fandim, Fernando Jara, Majed Al Jahouri
3pm: Maiden (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: Harbh, Pat Cosgrave, Ahmed Al Mehairbi
3.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: Wakeel W’Rsan, Richard Mullen, Jaci Wickham
4pm: Crown Prince of Sharjah Cup Prestige (PA) Dh200,000 (D) 1,200m
Winner: Jawaal, Fernando Jara, Majed Al Jahouri
4.30pm: Sheikh Ahmed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Cup (TB) Dh200,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Tailor’s Row, Royston Ffrench, Salem bin Ghadayer
Groom and Two Brides
Director: Elie Semaan
Starring: Abdullah Boushehri, Laila Abdallah, Lulwa Almulla
Rating: 3/5