London’s most expensive homes have lost a fifth of their value in the past 10 years, data shows.
The prices for properties sold at £4.75 million and above has fallen by 2.6 per cent over the past year, according to the estate agency Savills.
The average property price in the capital is 21 per cent cheaper than in June 2014, equating to a drop of £1.2 million.
The area that saw the biggest decline in prices was Marylebone, with a 4.6 per cent drop since last year, followed by Knightsbridge and Earl's Court at 4.3 per cent. With the exception of Notting Hill, where values remained the same, the lowest decrease was in Mayfair at 0.2 per cent, the Savills’ report shows.
The rise in stamp duty and millionaires leaving the capital after the decision to abolish the non-dom tax status from April 6 were contributing factors, according to Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills. “The abolition of the non-doms tax regime and imposition of an increased stamp duty surcharge on additional homes sits firmly behind a further easing in prices in central London,” he said.
Prices have declined at a similar level to the 2008 financial crisis, and are expected to drop further throughout the year. "Prices are in a similar position to those last seen in 2009 and 1992, when values had fallen by 25 per cent and 22 per cent, respectively," he said.
“But despite some owners becoming non-resident for tax purposes, we haven’t seen a lot of stock hit the market. Our clients are broadly keen to keep a base in London, especially given the backdrop of global geopolitical uncertainty. As such, our expectation that prices in prime central London will bottom out this year remains," Mr Cook said.
Sales in 2024 dropped by almost half a billion on the preceding year, with £857 million worth of properties sold, according to luxury estate agents Beauchamp Estates. “I haven’t seen a market like this in years. It’s the drop in volume, the number of sales has fallen,” said Paul Finch, a director at Beauchamp Estates.
London lost a net 10,800 millionaires to migration last year, a record number that marks a 157 per increase on 2023, according to Henley & Partners. The UAE was their second top destination after the European Union.
Sanctions imposed on Russian oligarchs after Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 were another contributing factor. “There are more reasons for the discretionary wealthy to sit on their hands and wait,” Mr Finch told The National.
Among the super-prime properties that failed to sell was a five-bedroom mansion in Belgravia, formerly the home of the Delevingne sisters, and the casino tycoon John Aspinall.
The property's price dropped from £23.5 million when it was put on the market in early 2024 to £21 million in 2025.
“Despite significant global publicity due to famous past owners the property failed to sell and while we had a few offers, all were below the asking price and not at values acceptable to the vendor,” Mr Finch said, although the new price had generated a “number of fresh viewings”.
Comparing the situation to the financial crash in 2008 – he said a key difference today was the “slow decline” of house prices over a long period. After sales “ground to a halt” in 2008, they were quickly kickstarted by “opportunists” jumping in to buy homes at lower prices.
But sales of luxury homes today have simply “slowed down and petered out”. “There is a lethargy in the market where buyers don’t have to buy and sellers don’t have to sell,” he said.
Another penthouse in Belgravia’s Eaton Place, formerly owned by Christine McVie of Fleetwood Mac, has been priced at £6.95 million, despite valuations going up to £12 million, owing to the “unsold comparable stock in the area”. It is expected to appeal to American or Asian buyers aged below 40.
A townhouse in Belgravia initially listed at £17 million in 2024 was eventually sold at £14.95 million to a European family relocating to London.
An end to the war in Ukraine could result in a lifting of UK sanctions, which would enable Russian buyers to return, Mr Finch said.
But with Russian buyers gone for now, sales to wealthy Americans rose from 18 per cent in 2023 to 25 per cent of all buyers of super-prime properties, according to Savills. Buyers from the Middle East account for 20 per cent of all sales, an increase of 2 per cent on the preceding year.
The price of a home per square metre in London had dropped by a third over the past decade, with $1 million buying 34 square metres (365 sq ft), whereas it only bought 23 square metres (248 sq ft) a decade ago, according to Knight Frank’s Wealth Report.
But the drop in value alone was not enough to lure buyers back in the amounts needed to lift the luxury property market out of its slump. “London is undervalued,” Mr Finch said. “But we need volumes of people coming back to London and bolstering the market. So many new bits of legislation and taxes have made London look unfriendly to investors.”
He is confident, though, that the super-rich will return. “London is still London. They’d rather be here than Dubai or Turkey,” he said.
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The smuggler
Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple.
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.
Khouli conviction
Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.
For sale
A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.
- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico
- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000
- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950
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What can victims do?
Always use only regulated platforms
Stop all transactions and communication on suspicion
Save all evidence (screenshots, chat logs, transaction IDs)
Report to local authorities
Warn others to prevent further harm
Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence
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Timeline
2012-2015
The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East
May 2017
The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts
September 2021
Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act
October 2021
Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence
December 2024
Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group
May 2025
The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan
July 2025
The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan
August 2025
Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision
October 2025
Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange
November 2025
180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
How to wear a kandura
Dos
- Wear the right fabric for the right season and occasion
- Always ask for the dress code if you don’t know
- Wear a white kandura, white ghutra / shemagh (headwear) and black shoes for work
- Wear 100 per cent cotton under the kandura as most fabrics are polyester
Don’ts
- Wear hamdania for work, always wear a ghutra and agal
- Buy a kandura only based on how it feels; ask questions about the fabric and understand what you are buying
What can you do?
Document everything immediately; including dates, times, locations and witnesses
Seek professional advice from a legal expert
You can report an incident to HR or an immediate supervisor
You can use the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation’s dedicated hotline
In criminal cases, you can contact the police for additional support
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