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Britain is likely to end its “pause” of funding to UNRWA but only after the Palestinian refugee agency’s links to Hamas have been addressed, Whitehall sources have said.
The links were alleged by Israel, which has offered no supporting evidence.
The UK was one of 18 countries that in January halted financing for the UN Relief and Works Agency after Israel alleged 12 of its 30,000 staff had taken part in the Hamas-led attacks on October 7. Its contributions were at that time paid in advance, so London has not missed a funding round for the agency.
While Britain had made all its planned contributions of £35 million ($43.1 million) to UNRWA for the last financial year, the government said it would resume funding only after reforms proposed by a UN inquiry have been realised.
Stephane Dujarric, spokesman for UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, on Monday said: "He has agreed with Commissioner General Philippe Lazzarini that UNRWA, with the Secretary General’s support, will establish an action plan to implement the recommendations. Moving forward, the Secretary General appeals to all stakeholders to actively support UNRWA, as it is a lifeline for Palestine refugees in the region."
With the US halting all its aid, which accounts for almost half of the agency’s $880 million budget, until next March at the earliest, a significant funding shortfall remains, with much of Gaza’s population on the brink of famine.
Unpaused
Along with the EU and other nations, Britain suspended its aid after the October 7 links were revealed but while other countries have restored funding the UK has not, in part due to the rear-guard action by some members of the government benches, who do not accept the UN findings.
Whitehall sources have indicated there is a danger funding would be “unpaused” but not immediately reinstated, partly because there is a strong pro-Israeli Conservative MP group which has lobbied hard against the move.
It is understood a forthcoming UN report will feature a number of recommendations to make UNRWA more accountable and transparent.
The organisation has previously said it will provide a list of employees and ID card copies to donor countries.
Since then, the EU and eight countries have restored funding and Britain’s deputy foreign secretary Andrew Mitchell has accepted there is no other organisation in Gaza that can distribute aid.
'Need is great'
While the opposition Labour Party supported the investigation into UNRWA, it has demanded there is “no interruption” of UK funding during the current financial year that began this month.
Afzal Khan, a Labour MP who has argued in Parliament for aid to be restored, told The National UNRWA had “invaluable experience” in Gaza and it had “dealt appropriately” with the Hamas issue.
“Many of the other countries have restored aid, so what is the UK government doing when the need is so great that we're talking about an imminent famine?” he said. “There is no alternative, so the UK government should be getting on with it.”
Regional hub
A leading human rights lawyer has called for the relief agency to expand its remit to incorporate other refugees in the region, including Yazidis, Kurds and Syrians.
“We shouldn't be closing down UN agencies and we definitely want them on the ground,” Prof Rosa Freedman said.
“But UNRWA should look to become a hub for all regional refugees that falls under the mandate of the UN."
There is also the precedent of Britain continuing funding to Syria despite knowing “that in order to get humanitarian aid to the people on the ground, it would have to go through ISIS”, said the University of Reading academic.
Gaza vacuum
Israeli-based analysts said their government was likely to reluctantly accept UNRWA’S role as no other aid agency has the capacity to distribute food where it is urgently needed in Gaza.
“Because of the necessity of humanitarian aid in Gaza, UNRWA is needed as there may be no immediate replacement,” said Richard Pater of the Jerusalem-based Bicom think tank.
“As faulty and problematic as UNRWA is, you can't have a vacuum in Gaza, so until an adequate body is there to replace them, renewing aid might be the calculation of a British government.”
‘Terrible decision’
Human rights organisation Amnesty International told The National it was “really shocked” that Britain had put funding on hold in January.
“We called it a terrible decision at the time and we think, if anything, it is even more imperatively urgent that the funding is reinstated with the deteriorating situation in Gaza,” spokesman Neil Durkin said.
He added Israel’s “continued flouting” of the UN’s and International Criminal Court of Justice’s demand on providing aid since January meant that Britain should resume its funding.
Mr Lazzarini has previously warned dismantling the organisation would “have lasting repercussions” and “accelerate the onset of famine”.
“In the longer term, it will jeopardise the transition from ceasefire to ‘day after’ by depriving a traumatised population of essential services."
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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