The Houthi rebels' lifeline to the global Swift banking system has been restored after the internationally recognised Yemeni government reversed sanctions against the group.
Earlier this month, the government-controlled Central Bank of Yemen revoked the licences of six banks for not relocating from the Houthi-controlled capital Sanaa to Aden, cutting them off from the international banking system.
But under a deal signed between the Yemeni government and the Iran-backed Houthi on Tuesday, UN special envoy Hans Grundberg said, the warring sides agreed to cancel “all recent decisions and procedures against banks by both sides and refrain in the future from any similar decisions or procedures”.
"Swift is sovereign property that belongs to the internationally recognised government and given that the banks traditionally based their headquarters in Sanaa, the Houthis controlled the banking sector, while the government controls the license to operate internationally," senior researcher at the Sanaa Centre for Strategic Studies Abdulghani Al Iryani told The National.
"As in everything else, the Houthis have instruments of power and the government has the legitimacy."
The Yemeni government had earlier ordered banks in Sanaa to move their headquarters to Aden but some banks refused.
"The Houthis told them, 'if you transfer to Aden, we'll arrest your staff and confiscate your assets'. The government then sent letters blocking the banks that refused to transfer and basically revoking their access to the Swift system, which means that they turned them into local money changers," Mr Al Iryani said.
In June, the UN warned of the "potentially catastrophic ramifications" in Yemen if the Houthi-controlled areas were cut off from Swift as it would further weaken an already struggling economy in the country that has been mired in conflict for years.
Importance of Swift
The return of Swift banking services in all parts of Yemen is “significant for the country’s economy,” as it enables international transactions and remittances “which are crucial for Yemen’s economic stability,” Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB Mena, told The National.
“With Swift, Yemeni banks can process cross-border transactions more efficiently, potentially stabilising the Yemeni rial and reducing economic disparities between regions. Importantly, Swift provides better access to global markets, which is vital, given Yemen’s severe shortages of essential goods.”
Based in Belgium since its founding in 1973, the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, better known as Swift, is a member-owned co-operative that serves as an intermediary and executor of financial transactions between thousands of banks in more than 200 countries.
It is governed by a 25-member board and the organisation is overseen by G10 central banks, as well as the European Central Bank.
Swift processes transactions worth trillions of dollars everyday. It acts as a messaging system for banks, processing payment requests and keeping a record of them in secure servers in Europe and the US.
More than 11,000 institutions sent an average of 44.8 million messages a day through the Swift network in 2022, up 6.6 per cent compared to the previous year, according to its website.
"Without Swift access, Yemeni banks would have trouble handling international transactions, leading to liquidity problems and financial instability that would have worsened humanitarian situation in the country," Mr Abuagla added.
Trade would be impeded, causing shortages and rising prices for essential goods such as food and medical supplies, she said. Humanitarian aid would struggle to reach those in need, exacerbating food insecurity and limiting other services.
"If banks in Sanaa and other areas controlled by the Houthi de facto authorities are cut off from international financial institutions and networks, we will lose the ability to transfer the funds required to sustain humanitarian lifesaving operations," UN aid operations director Edem Wosornu told the Security Council in June.
The UN has warned that more than half of Yemen's population of about 18 million requires humanitarian assistance while more than two million children could face acute malnutrition.
Yemen’s economy continues to suffer amid regional tensions and the ongoing conflict in the country.
Yemen's gross domestic product is projected to shrink by 1 per cent in 2024, following a 2 per cent contraction in 2023 and a modest growth of 1.5 per cent in 2022, according to a recent World Bank report.
The economic outlook for the beleaguered country remains uncertain amid the continued regional conflict as well as fiscal pressures facing its economy.
“The recent monetary de-escalation will partially roll-back the short-term worsening of business and humanitarian conditions in Yemen, reviving internal trade and restoring remittance flows,” Pat Thaker, editorial director for the Middle East and Africa at the Economist Intelligence Unit, told The National.
“However, continued monetary bifurcation resulting from entrenched economic hostilities stretching back throughout the course of the civil conflict, including a fundamental split within the Central Bank of Yemen, will ensure economic performance remains extremely poor in the medium-term.”
The Houthis took over Sanaa in 2014, and the Yemeni government called on Saudi Arabia and its allies to form a joint coalition to help it reclaim power.
Although fighting had largely subsided in April 2022 through a UN-brokered ceasefire, several major outstanding issues remained preventing a comprehensive deal from being signed by the warring parties.
As part of the agreement, flights would resume between Sanaa and Amman in Jordan on Thursday after they had been suspended in September.
Daily flights to Egypt and India will also begin, per the agreement.
MATCH INFO
England 2
Cahill (3'), Kane (39')
Nigeria 1
Iwobi (47')
BRAZIL SQUAD
Alisson (Liverpool), Daniel Fuzato (Roma), Ederson (Man City); Alex Sandro (Juventus), Danilo (Juventus), Eder Militao (Real Madrid), Emerson (Real Betis), Felipe (Atletico Madrid), Marquinhos (PSG), Renan Lodi (Atletico Madrid), Thiago Silva (PSG); Arthur (Barcelona), Casemiro (Real Madrid), Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa), Fabinho (Liverpool), Lucas Paqueta (AC Milan), Philippe Coutinho (Bayern Munich); David Neres (Ajax), Gabriel Jesus (Man City), Richarlison (Everton), Roberto Firmino (Liverpool), Rodrygo (Real Madrid), Willian (Chelsea).
Strait of Hormuz
Fujairah is a crucial hub for fuel storage and is just outside the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route linking Middle East oil producers to markets in Asia, Europe, North America and beyond.
The strait is 33 km wide at its narrowest point, but the shipping lane is just three km wide in either direction. Almost a fifth of oil consumed across the world passes through the strait.
Iran has repeatedly threatened to close the strait, a move that would risk inviting geopolitical and economic turmoil.
Last month, Iran issued a new warning that it would block the strait, if it was prevented from using the waterway following a US decision to end exemptions from sanctions for major Iranian oil importers.
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COMPANY PROFILE
Name: N2 Technology
Founded: 2018
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Startups
Size: 14
Funding: $1.7m from HNIs
Springtime in a Broken Mirror,
Mario Benedetti, Penguin Modern Classics
'Worse than a prison sentence'
Marie Byrne, a counsellor who volunteers at the UAE government's mental health crisis helpline, said the ordeal the crew had been through would take time to overcome.
“It was worse than a prison sentence, where at least someone can deal with a set amount of time incarcerated," she said.
“They were living in perpetual mystery as to how their futures would pan out, and what that would be.
“Because of coronavirus, the world is very different now to the one they left, that will also have an impact.
“It will not fully register until they are on dry land. Some have not seen their young children grow up while others will have to rebuild relationships.
“It will be a challenge mentally, and to find other work to support their families as they have been out of circulation for so long. Hopefully they will get the care they need when they get home.”
Women%E2%80%99s%20T20%20World%20Cup%20Qualifier
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Brief scores:
Toss: Nepal, chose to field
UAE 153-6: Shaiman (59), Usman (30); Regmi 2-23
Nepal 132-7: Jora 53 not out; Zahoor 2-17
Result: UAE won by 21 runs
Series: UAE lead 1-0
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