(FILES) A police officer patrols in front of the Israeli embassy in Berlin, on October 20, 2024. Israeli embassies in the United States and the United Kingdom were among several to close around the globe on June 13, 2025 following deadly Israeli strikes in Iran. "In light of recent developments, Israeli missions around the world will be closed and consular services will not be provided," read a message posted by the country's embassies in the United States, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Norway, Germany, Nigeria, Russia, Ukraine and France. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)
(FILES) A police officer patrols in front of the Israeli embassy in Berlin, on October 20, 2024. Israeli embassies in the United States and the United Kingdom were among several to close around the globe on June 13, 2025 following deadly Israeli strikes in Iran. "In light of recent developments, Israeli missions around the world will be closed and consular services will not be provided," read a message posted by the country's embassies in the United States, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Norway, Germany, Nigeria, Russia, Ukraine and France. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)
(FILES) A police officer patrols in front of the Israeli embassy in Berlin, on October 20, 2024. Israeli embassies in the United States and the United Kingdom were among several to close around the globe on June 13, 2025 following deadly Israeli strikes in Iran. "In light of recent developments, Israeli missions around the world will be closed and consular services will not be provided," read a message posted by the country's embassies in the United States, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Norway, Germany, Nigeria, Russia, Ukraine and France. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP)
(FILES) A police officer patrols in front of the Israeli embassy in Berlin, on October 20, 2024. Israeli embassies in the United States and the United Kingdom were among several to close around the gl

How Iran's 'hybrid attack' network could retaliate against Israel in Europe


Tariq Tahir
  • English
  • Arabic

Iran can call on networks of criminals and even its own agents smuggled into Europe as migrants to carry out retaliatory attacks against Israeli and Jewish targets, following Friday's strikes by Israel.

Tehran has previously relied on regional allies Hezbollah, the Houthis and Hamas to attack Israel. However, with what Tehran called its “ring of fire” degraded, it has other avenues further afield, particularly in Europe, to hit back against Israel.

These include criminals networks, most notably two based in Sweden run by Kurdish gangsters Rawa Majid and Ismail Abdo, that have been accused of carrying out attacks on Israeli targets.

Majid, who is nicknamed the Kurdish Fox, and his Foxtrot network were placed under sanctions by the US and the UK this year for orchestrating an attack on the Israeli Embassy in Stockholm.

The Israeli embassy in Stockholm was targeted. Reuters
The Israeli embassy in Stockholm was targeted. Reuters

Three Iranian nationals were recently charged in the UK with a plot to attack an individual on behalf of Iran.

An official report released in Germany on Tuesday warned that the potential threat from Iran is growing. The findings, which summarised trends in 2024, said Iranian intelligence services can be assumed to be ready to “pursue the interests of the country's leadership by all means – including acts of violence and even assassinations”.

“The tense security situation in the Middle East and internal tensions within the Islamic Republic of Iran shape its intelligence activities,” the Ministry of Interior document said. “Activities directed against Germany continue to emanate primarily from the Ministry of Intelligence or MOIS. In addition to the MOIS, the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, which also operates as an intelligence agency, is also active in Germany.

“Intelligence services of the Islamic Republic of Iran also use state terrorist means to achieve their goals,” it added. “This primarily involves the intimidation and neutralisation of opposition members, but also the punishment of 'traitors' or 'defectors'.

“Iran's activities go well beyond spying on the opposition Iranian diaspora and that pro-Jewish and pro-Israeli interests and institutions in Germany are the focus of Iranian activities.”

Jason Brodsky, policy director of advocacy group United Against a Nuclear Iran, told The National that European nations need to be “extra vigilant and step up alerts” given that Iran “has long planned contingency plans for terror operations in the West”.

“That’s a risk that everyone should be alert for, especially Israel and the Jewish community, and Iran still retains that capability through the IRGC or its intelligence ministry,” Mr Brodsky said.

“They will also hire criminal networks to foment terror and undertake operations. And there are also Iranian dissidents that the regime targets. These are potential risks to look at and policymakers need to make it clear to Iran that any operations will be viewed as akin to an act of war.”

Police cordon off an area near the Israeli embassy in Stockhholm in a security alert in 2024. EPA
Police cordon off an area near the Israeli embassy in Stockhholm in a security alert in 2024. EPA

Speaking before Israel’s attack, the UK’s Foreign Secretary, David Lammy, announced the creation of a “counter-hybrid taskforce” aimed at combating the activities of states such as Iran.

Tehran has been developing hybrid warfare tactics including using cyberattacks, proxies and propaganda. Mr Lammy said Britain’s diplomats “will be ready for this murky new age of sabotage and subterfuge”.

Iranian actors and criminals working for them have been known to carry court surveillance and reconnaissance, with the intention of carrying out serious violence.

Announcing sanctions against Majid and his Foxtrot network, the US Treasury said Iran was “increasingly” using criminal networks as proxies so it could maintain plausible deniability for operations against its enemies.

“Iran’s brazen use of transnational criminal organisations and narcotics traffickers underscores the regime’s attempts to achieve its aims through any means, with no regard for the cost to communities across Europe,” said Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

The moment Magomed-Husejn Dovtaev was arrested by British counter-terrorism police officers. PA
The moment Magomed-Husejn Dovtaev was arrested by British counter-terrorism police officers. PA

Iran has sought to assassinate dissidents through other criminal networks, including that of Iranian drug trafficker Naji Ibrahim Sharifi-Zindashti, who had sanctions imposed on him by the US last January.

Known as “the Big Guy”, he allegedly organised the attempted murder for hire of two residents of the state of Maryland.

Tehran has also used foreign individuals, known in the spying trade as “disposable assets”, to harass opponents of the regime, including employees of Iran International, a London-based dissident television channel.

In December 2023, Magomed-Husejn Dovtaev, a Chechnya-born Austrian citizen was found guilty of spying on the broadcaster.

Iran International was forced to move to new high-security studios after being shut down following alleged threats from the Iranian state.

Two Romanian citizens were charged in December 2024 over the stabbing of Iran International journalist Pouria Zeraati.

Iran International spokesman Adam Baillie said: “We are watching developments closely and we remain as ever on high alert for the security implications.”

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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High profile Al Shabab attacks
  • 2010: A restaurant attack in Kampala Uganda kills 74 people watching a Fifa World Cup final football match.
  • 2013: The Westgate shopping mall attack, 62 civilians, five Kenyan soldiers and four gunmen are killed.
  • 2014: A series of bombings and shootings across Kenya sees scores of civilians killed.
  • 2015: Four gunmen attack Garissa University College in northeastern Kenya and take over 700 students hostage, killing those who identified as Christian; 148 die and 79 more are injured.
  • 2016: An attack on a Kenyan military base in El Adde Somalia kills 180 soldiers.
  • 2017: A suicide truck bombing outside the Safari Hotel in Mogadishu kills 587 people and destroys several city blocks, making it the deadliest attack by the group and the worst in Somalia’s history.
Updated: June 18, 2025, 11:41 AM