Sudanese Gen Mohamed Dagalo, the commander of the country’s powerful Rapid Support Forces militia, was in Moscow on Thursday on a visit that has fuelled concerns he could be planning a power grab.
Local media reports in Sudan this week warned that Gen Dagalo, better known by his nickname Hemedti, might be positioning himself to facilitate a military takeover that would make him the source of ultimate, behind-the-scenes power.
With Russian forces now engaged in a major military assault on Ukraine and with Sudan still paralysed by political crisis after a military coup last year, Gen Dagalo’s visit to Moscow appears curiously timed.
Sudanese analysts and experts say the stop-off in the Russian capital, which followed visits to South Sudan, Ethiopia and the Gulf, was intended to shore up the general’s position in Sudan.
“Hemedti wants to secure his position in Sudan’s current balance of power. He’s looking for powerful backers at home and abroad, perhaps for his own coup,” said Rasha Awad, editor of the online news service Al Taghyeer.
“He is acting like someone who is laying the foundation for something down the road. He is definitely not making these visits for the benefit of the state.”
The RSF said Gen Dagalo was in Moscow at the invitation of the Russian government and that he would meet senior officials there.
On Thursday, he met Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, according to a Facebook post by the Sudanese general. The pair discussed bilateral issues and ways to implement “existing” agreements between the two countries.
“Sudanese-Russian relations are deep and entrenched. We look forward to making them even stronger and taking them to wider horizons," he said.
But analysts say the Kremlin wants a naval base on Sudan’s Red Sea coast and that this was likely to be on the agenda. Gen Dagalo, they said, also wanted to buy Russian arms and secure training for his officers in Russia.
The establishment of a Russian naval base in Sudan was agreed in 2017 by Al Bashir and Russian President Vladimir Putin, but that agreement was never introduced.
Russia is known to have been pressing Khartoum on the issue as part of its efforts to maintain a significant military presence in the Red Sea.
“The file of the naval base in Sudan is the most vital item in relations with Moscow now. The Sudanese military had some reservations about the size and role of the base. Russia did not like that and wants the process to be sped up,” said Sudanese analyst Omar Abdel Aziz.
The RSF’s genesis are rooted in the Darfur conflict in the 2000s when Al Bashir enlisted the militia to fight alongside government troops against mostly ethnic African rebels. It is widely blamed for atrocities against civilians in Darfur.
More recently, it has used revenues from gold mines it controls to broaden its vast economic interests.
Gen Dagalo owes his military rank and the formalisation of his militia to Al Bashir, who relied on the RSF to counter the power of the military, which has a track record of seizing power in coups since Sudan gained independence in 1956.
Gen Dagalo, however, sided with the army generals who removed Al Bashir in 2019.
Now, the RSF’s battled-hardened and heavily armed fighters are menacingly deployed on the streets of Khartoum and maintain a presence across the vast Afro-Arab nation.
Gen Dagalo has presented himself as a reliable Russian ally since his arrival in Moscow, where he told a television interviewer he supported the Kremlin in its dispute with Ukraine.
“Russia has the right to defend its citizens. That right is enshrined in constitutions and international law,” he said.
His visit to Moscow comes at a time when Sudan is deeply mired in political and economic crises sparked when army chief Gen Abdel Fattah Al Burhan seized power on October 25.
That coup, which was zealously supported by the RSF commander, derailed Sudan’s democratic transition after Al Bashir’s removal in a popular uprising.
The power seizure has met a wave of mass street protests that killed more than 80 people and injured thousands. It was also met with strong international condemnation led by the US, which froze hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of aid to Sudan.
Washington has since been a vocal critic of the Sudanese military, calling for a return to civilian rule and decrying the use of deadly force against peaceful protesters.
“The visit is clearly related to the American-Russian rivalry in the Red Sea and Africa,” said Sudanese analyst Mohammed Sheneidy.
“I see closer co-operation with Moscow as we move forward with Sudan helping in the promotion of Russian interests in Africa.”
Mr Abdel Aziz, the Sudanese analyst, said Gen Dagalo may be seeing an opportunity in winning over Russia as Sudan’s political crisis shows no sign of easing any time soon.
“Hemedti may be viewing the exclusion of civilians from power after the coup as an opportune moment to strike a deal with Moscow on the Red Sea base in return for its support,” he said.
“Russia is a superpower whose support will be vastly useful to him.”
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Our legal columnist
Name: Yousef Al Bahar
Advocate at Al Bahar & Associate Advocates and Legal Consultants, established in 1994
Education: Mr Al Bahar was born in 1979 and graduated in 2008 from the Judicial Institute. He took after his father, who was one of the first Emirati lawyers
Zayed Sustainability Prize
WORLD RECORD FEES FOR GOALKEEPERS
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2) Alisson, Roma to Liverpool (£67m)
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4) Gianluigi Buffon, Parma to Juventus (£33m)
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The 12 Syrian entities delisted by UK
Ministry of Interior
Ministry of Defence
General Intelligence Directorate
Air Force Intelligence Agency
Political Security Directorate
Syrian National Security Bureau
Military Intelligence Directorate
Army Supply Bureau
General Organisation of Radio and TV
Al Watan newspaper
Cham Press TV
Sama TV
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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The President's Cake
Director: Hasan Hadi
Starring: Baneen Ahmad Nayyef, Waheed Thabet Khreibat, Sajad Mohamad Qasem
Rating: 4/5
Labour dispute
The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.
- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law
POWERWASH%20SIMULATOR
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Zodi%20%26%20Tehu%3A%20Princes%20Of%20The%20Desert
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EEric%20Barbier%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EYoussef%20Hajdi%2C%20Nadia%20Benzakour%2C%20Yasser%20Drief%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
MATCH INFO
Manchester City 1 Chelsea 0
De Bruyne (70')
Man of the Match: Kevin de Bruyne (Manchester City)
The Sand Castle
Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
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Mainz 0
RB Leipzig 5 (Werner 11', 48', 75', Poulsen 23', Sabitzer 36')
Man of the Match: Timo Werner (RB Leipzig)
The End of Loneliness
Benedict Wells
Translated from the German by Charlotte Collins
Sceptre
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
PREMIER LEAGUE TABLE
1 Man City 26 20 3 3 63 17 63
2 Liverpool 25 17 6 2 64 20 57
3 Chelsea 25 14 8 3 49 18 50
4 Man Utd 26 13 7 6 44 34 46
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5 West Ham 26 12 6 8 45 34 42
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6 Arsenal 23 13 3 7 36 26 42
7 Wolves 24 12 4 8 23 18 40
8 Tottenham 23 12 4 8 31 31 39
The rules on fostering in the UAE
A foster couple or family must:
- be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
- not be younger than 25 years old
- not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
- be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
- have the ability to support its members and the foster child financially
- undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
- A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially