Italians cannot afford to vote down reforms


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Like a man turning off an alarm clock and pulling up the covers, Italian voters tried this week to deny reality. They said a loud "no" to Mario Monti, the reformist prime minister who has been steering the country through the roiling waters of the euro crisis.

What they said "yes" to, however, is much less clear. The biggest party in parliament's lower house will be the Five Star Movement (M5S), a party not yet four years old led by Beppe Grillo, a blogging comedian.

Despite the success of M5S, the lower house will be controlled by a centre-left coalition, while a rival group of centre-right parties has barely won the upper house. Legislative deadlock looms.

Overall M5S won a quarter of votes cast, on a platform focused mainly on disgust with corruption and the old order. The party's views on finance and economics are alarming, if sketchy: Mr Grillo wants a freeze on interest payments on the national debt, for example.

Voters preferred that kind of thinking to Mr Monti's sober austerity. His party won barely 10 per cent of the vote, a blunt rejection of his work towards balancing the budget and reassuring the markets.

What comes next? Some speak of a "grand coalition" of left and right, but that is highly improbable while Silvio Berlusconi, the polarising 76-year-old former prime minister, continues his comeback on the right. New elections, already being discussed, would not necessarily improve anything, so prolonged uncertainty seems inevitable. No wonder the euro and most stock markets slumped, as interest rates on Italian bonds began to rise. Nobody can have wanted this costly confusion.

In a way, the voters' rejection of Mr Monti can be understood: with no electoral mandate of his own, he has raised taxes and cut services. Accustomed to getting something for nothing from government, voters have not enjoyed the new era of responsible budgeting.

Mr Monti's cabinet of capable administrators was approved by parliament, but such a government always lacks a degree of democratic legitimacy; ministers should normally be members of parliament.

Voter sentiment, however, is a poor compass for economic policy. Without the Monti reforms of the last three months, Italy's borrowing costs might well have buried the country under an economic landslide by now, with unmeasurable effects for the EU and in turn for the world economy.

For all their storied corruption and self-interest, Italy's established parties have a duty to avoid that. They must now heed the alarm clock, rouse themselves and find a way to protect their economy. Reforms may be unpalatable but the alternative would be far worse.

How the UAE gratuity payment is calculated now

Employees leaving an organisation are entitled to an end-of-service gratuity after completing at least one year of service.

The tenure is calculated on the number of days worked and does not include lengthy leave periods, such as a sabbatical. If you have worked for a company between one and five years, you are paid 21 days of pay based on your final basic salary. After five years, however, you are entitled to 30 days of pay. The total lump sum you receive is based on the duration of your employment.

1. For those who have worked between one and five years, on a basic salary of Dh10,000 (calculation based on 30 days):

a. Dh10,000 ÷ 30 = Dh333.33. Your daily wage is Dh333.33

b. Dh333.33 x 21 = Dh7,000. So 21 days salary equates to Dh7,000 in gratuity entitlement for each year of service. Multiply this figure for every year of service up to five years.

2. For those who have worked more than five years

c. 333.33 x 30 = Dh10,000. So 30 days’ salary is Dh10,000 in gratuity entitlement for each year of service.

Note: The maximum figure cannot exceed two years total salary figure.

How Tesla’s price correction has hit fund managers

Investing in disruptive technology can be a bumpy ride, as investors in Tesla were reminded on Friday, when its stock dropped 7.5 per cent in early trading to $575.

It recovered slightly but still ended the week 15 per cent lower and is down a third from its all-time high of $883 on January 26. The electric car maker’s market cap fell from $834 billion to about $567bn in that time, a drop of an astonishing $267bn, and a blow for those who bought Tesla stock late.

The collapse also hit fund managers that have gone big on Tesla, notably the UK-based Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF.

Tesla is the top holding in both funds, making up a hefty 10 per cent of total assets under management. Both funds have fallen by a quarter in the past month.

Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital, recently warned that Tesla founder Elon Musk had “flown a bit too close to the sun”, after getting carried away by investing $1.5bn of the company’s money in Bitcoin.

He also predicted Tesla’s sales could struggle as traditional auto manufacturers ramp up electric car production, destroying its first mover advantage.

AJ Bell’s Russ Mould warns that many investors buy tech stocks when earnings forecasts are rising, almost regardless of valuation. “When it works, it really works. But when it goes wrong, elevated valuations leave little or no downside protection.”

A Tesla correction was probably baked in after last year’s astonishing share price surge, and many investors will see this as an opportunity to load up at a reduced price.

Dramatic swings are to be expected when investing in disruptive technology, as Ms Wood at ARK makes clear.

Every week, she sends subscribers a commentary listing “stocks in our strategies that have appreciated or dropped more than 15 per cent in a day” during the week.

Her latest commentary, issued on Friday, showed seven stocks displaying extreme volatility, led by ExOne, a leader in binder jetting 3D printing technology. It jumped 24 per cent, boosted by news that fellow 3D printing specialist Stratasys had beaten fourth-quarter revenues and earnings expectations, seen as good news for the sector.

By contrast, computational drug and material discovery company Schrödinger fell 27 per cent after quarterly and full-year results showed its core software sales and drug development pipeline slowing.

Despite that setback, Ms Wood remains positive, arguing that its “medicinal chemistry platform offers a powerful and unique view into chemical space”.

In her weekly video view, she remains bullish, stating that: “We are on the right side of change, and disruptive innovation is going to deliver exponential growth trajectories for many of our companies, in fact, most of them.”

Ms Wood remains committed to Tesla as she expects global electric car sales to compound at an average annual rate of 82 per cent for the next five years.

She said these are so “enormous that some people find them unbelievable”, and argues that this scepticism, especially among institutional investors, “festers” and creates a great opportunity for ARK.

Only you can decide whether you are a believer or a festering sceptic. If it’s the former, then buckle up.

Ordinary Virtues: Moral Order in a Divided World by Michael Ignatieff
Harvard University Press

Points tally

1. Australia 52; 2. New Zealand 44; 3. South Africa 36; 4. Sri Lanka 35; 5. UAE 27; 6. India 27; 7. England 26; 8. Singapore 8; 9. Malaysia 3