There are questions whether the euro could survive another decade after a difficult year in Europe. AFP
There are questions whether the euro could survive another decade after a difficult year in Europe. AFP
There are questions whether the euro could survive another decade after a difficult year in Europe. AFP
There are questions whether the euro could survive another decade after a difficult year in Europe. AFP

Unifying currency or just costly eurotrash?


  • English
  • Arabic

Few births have been as prolonged or as painful as that of the euro, Europe's single currency. It was a twinkle in the eye of Europeans beginning in the 1960s, who enviously coveted the advantages that the dollar bestowed on America.

Could something similar be made to work in Europe? Its birth was announced on December 1995 and introduced to financial markets on January 1999, struggling along as a shadow currency known as an European Currency Unit (Ecu).

Finally on January 1 2001, after a long gestation, Europeans finally got their hands on the currency. Launched at par to the dollar, first it shrank in value then zoomed up and up.

Now nearly 350 million Europeans use the currency on a daily basis, while another 175 million have currencies pegged to the euro, including more than 150 million in Africa.

But can the euro last or will it bring down the EU in a crash? The jury may still be out on that, but in a week as tumultuous as any in its short, chequered career, with turmoil in the banking sector and strikes in Italy over planned austerity measures, we managed to track down the single currency, bronzed and shiny after its long summer holiday on the French Riviera, and asked it a few questions such as: is it the original eurotrash, who are its parents, and what would happen if it ceased to exist?

Your accent puzzles me. Where are you from?

Well of course, you know I am European, so I speak English with an accent that is part Portuguese, slightly French, definitely Germanic, a little bit of Italian and Spanish and with hardly a trace of Greek at all.

Who are your parents?

Jean-Claude Trichet at the European Central Bank is looking after me at the moment. He's a Frenchman who thinks like a German, thank goodness. I'm getting a bit nervous because my next custodian is going to be an Italian called Mario Monti. I'm worried I might become worthless.

But unlike most other currencies, you don't "promise to pay the bearer". Why not?

That's a bit tricky. Nobody has actually accepted responsibility for me and there is no fiscal framework to repay the notes. I can't draw any of my inheritance down, which I think is one of the problems at the moment. I think the Greeks have spent it all.

So who named you?

They say it was a Belgian.

That explains everything?

Germain Pirlot, a former teacher of French and history who is an Esperanto speaker, wrote a letter to Jacques Santer, then-president of the European Commission, suggesting the name.

You like it?

It's short and catchy, although I think the Germans would prefer it if I were called Deutschmark.

And the squiggle? Who came up with that?

Do you mean the elegant symbol? I've no idea, but it's rather stylish, non?

I think it's nothing more but a copy of the dollar.

How dare you!

Talking of which, how do you get on with your peers? You know the dollar, the pound, the yuan, the yen etc.

I have a good relationship with most of them. The dollar used to be quite aggressive, but now it seems to have lost some of its bite. The yuan I hardly see at all, although people tell me that one day it will be as powerful as me, we'll see. The pound makes a lot of noise and had a good run, but I think soon it will worth even less than I am. The one that does annoy me is gold. Shiny and pointless, people are willing to give me away in ever greater quantities just to get their hands on the stuff.

Do you have any nicknames? You know like the dollar is called the greenback, buck, Americano etc.

Back in 2006 Prague TV launched a nickname competition for me. About the best was 'Teuro'. As you can imagine, it hasn't caught on. I've been called a Yo-Yo in Ireland, but everyone gets called things in Ireland, then they forget in the morning.

Maybe it is because nobody likes you. They say the loved child has many names. Your looks have also been criticised. What's with the bridges?

How dare you! The bridges were all quite beautiful and Robert Kalina, the Austrian who designed them, was much maligned. My looks have changed since then anyway.

Could we ever get rid of you?

I hope not. As far as I'm aware, there are no provisions in place to replace me. Sometimes I feel like a hotel room in a high-storey building without a fire exit. There is no escape and a lot of the inhabitants are complaining, particularly the Portuguese, Greeks, Irish, Italians and Spanish.

What about the Europeans that refuse to accept you? Do you feel rejected?

Ach, that was mainly the British. That lovely Tony Blair and Gordon Brown. They told me secretly that they wanted me, but told everyone in Britain that it would depend on a few conditions being met, including are business cycles and economic structures compatible so that we and others could live comfortably with euro interest rates on a permanent basis, is there sufficient flexibility, would joining EMU create better conditions for jobs and investment and what would it do for the City? In short, it's so ambiguous that you'd think it had been written by a Brussels' bureaucrat.

People say you're nothing better than eurotrash. How do you answer that?

I won't deign to dignify such a question with a response. Au revoir, mein Herr.

'Worse than a prison sentence'

Marie Byrne, a counsellor who volunteers at the UAE government's mental health crisis helpline, said the ordeal the crew had been through would take time to overcome.

“It was worse than a prison sentence, where at least someone can deal with a set amount of time incarcerated," she said.

“They were living in perpetual mystery as to how their futures would pan out, and what that would be.

“Because of coronavirus, the world is very different now to the one they left, that will also have an impact.

“It will not fully register until they are on dry land. Some have not seen their young children grow up while others will have to rebuild relationships.

“It will be a challenge mentally, and to find other work to support their families as they have been out of circulation for so long. Hopefully they will get the care they need when they get home.”

RESULT

Manchester City 1 Sheffield United 0
Man City:
Jesus (9')

Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?

The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.

Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.

New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.

“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.

The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.

The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.

Bloomberg

Business Insights
  • As per the document, there are six filing options, including choosing to report on a realisation basis and transitional rules for pre-tax period gains or losses. 
  • SMEs with revenue below Dh3 million per annum can opt for transitional relief until 2026, treating them as having no taxable income. 
  • Larger entities have specific provisions for asset and liability movements, business restructuring, and handling foreign permanent establishments.
ORDER OF PLAY ON SHOW COURTS

Centre Court - 4pm (UAE)
Gael Monfils (15) v Kyle Edmund
Karolina Pliskova (3) v Magdalena Rybarikova
Dusan Lajovic v Roger Federer (3)

Court 1 - 4pm
Adam Pavlasek v Novak Djokovic (2)
Dominic Thiem (8) v Gilles Simon
Angelique Kerber (1) v Kirsten Flipkens

Court 2 - 2.30pm
Grigor Dimitrov (13) v Marcos Baghdatis
Agnieszka Radwanska (9) v Christina McHale
Milos Raonic (6) v Mikhail Youzhny
Tsvetana Pironkova v Caroline Wozniacki (5)

What is a robo-adviser?

Robo-advisers use an online sign-up process to gauge an investor’s risk tolerance by feeding information such as their age, income, saving goals and investment history into an algorithm, which then assigns them an investment portfolio, ranging from more conservative to higher risk ones.

These portfolios are made up of exchange traded funds (ETFs) with exposure to indices such as US and global equities, fixed-income products like bonds, though exposure to real estate, commodity ETFs or gold is also possible.

Investing in ETFs allows robo-advisers to offer fees far lower than traditional investments, such as actively managed mutual funds bought through a bank or broker. Investors can buy ETFs directly via a brokerage, but with robo-advisers they benefit from investment portfolios matched to their risk tolerance as well as being user friendly.

Many robo-advisers charge what are called wrap fees, meaning there are no additional fees such as subscription or withdrawal fees, success fees or fees for rebalancing.

Our legal consultants

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

$1,000 award for 1,000 days on madrasa portal

Daily cash awards of $1,000 dollars will sweeten the Madrasa e-learning project by tempting more pupils to an education portal to deepen their understanding of math and sciences.

School children are required to watch an educational video each day and answer a question related to it. They then enter into a raffle draw for the $1,000 prize.

“We are targeting everyone who wants to learn. This will be $1,000 for 1,000 days so there will be a winner every day for 1,000 days,” said Sara Al Nuaimi, project manager of the Madrasa e-learning platform that was launched on Tuesday by the Vice President and Ruler of Dubai, to reach Arab pupils from kindergarten to grade 12 with educational videos.  

“The objective of the Madrasa is to become the number one reference for all Arab students in the world. The 5,000 videos we have online is just the beginning, we have big ambitions. Today in the Arab world there are 50 million students. We want to reach everyone who is willing to learn.”

Silent Hill f

Publisher: Konami

Platforms: PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X/S, PC

Rating: 4.5/5

MATCH INFO

Manchester United v Manchester City, Wednesday, 11pm (UAE)

Match is on BeIN Sports

HUNGARIAN GRAND PRIX RESULT

1. Sebastian Vettel, Ferrari 1:39:46.713
2. Kimi Raikkonen, Ferrari 00:00.908
3. Valtteri Bottas, Mercedes-GP 00:12.462
4. Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes-GP 00:12.885
5. Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing 00:13.276
6. Fernando Alonso, McLaren 01:11.223
7. Carlos Sainz Jr, Toro Rosso 1 lap
8. Sergio Perez, Force India 1 lap
9. Esteban Ocon, Force India  1 lap
10. Stoffel Vandoorne, McLaren 1 lap
11. Daniil Kvyat, Toro Rosso 1 lap
12. Jolyon Palmer, Renault 1 lap
13. Kevin Magnussen, Haas 1 lap
14. Lance Stroll, Williams 1 lap
15. Pascal Wehrlein, Sauber 2 laps
16. Marcus Ericsson, Sauber 2 laps
17r. Nico Huelkenberg, Renault 3 laps
r. Paul Di Resta, Williams 10 laps
r. Romain Grosjean, Haas 50 laps
r. Daniel Ricciardo, Red Bull Racing 70 laps

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Drishyam 2

Directed by: Jeethu Joseph

Starring: Mohanlal, Meena, Ansiba, Murali Gopy

Rating: 4 stars