LONDON // Trade between the Middle East and United Kingdom is half of what it should be, an Arab League official says, amid claims British firms are too hesitant in doing business with the region.
Goods worth £36.9 billion (Dh218.07bn) were exchanged between Britain and the Arab states last year, more than 28 per cent increase on 2012, according to UK government figures.
The UAE is one of UK’s biggest regional business partners, with bilateral trade hitting £10.6bn in 2012, and targeted to grow to £12bn by next year.
Yet despite such growth Britain is still falling behind in trade with the region, the Arab-British Economic Forum heard last week.
Thamer Al Anni of the Arab League told the high-profile London gathering that trade was “extremely low” compared to that with other countries.
“Despite the old historical ties and short distance between the Arab world and the United Kingdom, the size of trade exchanged was rather small in 2013,” said Mr Al Anni, who specialises in economic relations.
He cited Arab trade with countries such as China, which was worth $224bn in 2012, and the United States, where exports to the Middle East and North Africa were worth $70.85bn, with billions more in imports.
Mr Al Anni said trade between the UK and Arab world had the potential to be worth more than $100bn now, and to reach $120bn by 2020 – double last year’s figure.
Afnan Al Shuaiby, the head of the Arab British Chamber of Commerce (ABCC), which organised the London forum, said the trade figures were not as high as she would like to see.
The ABCC’s role is to boost trade between the UK and Arab world. Ms Al Shuaiby said British firms were missing out because they were too hesitant to enter the region.
"The British business approach towards the Arab world is a little bit slow. They take more than enough time to decide if they want to go in, or if they don't. And by that time, other countries have gone in, signed the contract," she told The National.
“With the relationship the Arab world has with the United Kingdom, we would like to see them being number one, rather than others taking their place.”
Baroness Symons of Vernham Dean, the chairwoman of the ABCC, said it was unfair to call the level of trade between the UK and the Arab world “low”.
“A whole range of different organisations … are interested in investments in the Middle East, and also trading with the Middle East,” she said. “That’s not to say that I don’t think there is a lot of work to do.”
Baroness Symons said British companies were still investing despite the continuing turmoil in the Arab world. But she acknowledged that there was concern among some UK firms about the current unrest in countries such as Iraq and Syria.
“ISIS is a worry – more than a worry, a real issue for a lot of people … It affects all parts of the community. It is part of what we are all having to deal with, those of us who work with the Middle East,” she said.
But the issue of Palestine and the UK government’s support of Israel is the “main obstacle” in building better trade ties between Britain and the Arab world, said Mr Al Anni. He urged the formation of a government-level forum to promote Arab-British trade.
The Arab League’s plan to create a customs union by next year and Arab common market by 2020 would also make access to the market easier, Mr Al Anni added. The plan for the common market is on track for 2020, although it might launch with fewer countries initially, the official said.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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