In 2022, the EV industry's top three players globally were BYD, Tesla and Saic-GM-Wuling. EPA
In 2022, the EV industry's top three players globally were BYD, Tesla and Saic-GM-Wuling. EPA
In 2022, the EV industry's top three players globally were BYD, Tesla and Saic-GM-Wuling. EPA
In 2022, the EV industry's top three players globally were BYD, Tesla and Saic-GM-Wuling. EPA

Electric vehicle makers to face intense competition, report warns


Alvin R Cabral
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Players in the global electric vehicle sector have to boost their investments in the world's most valuable markets in order to keep pace in the highly competitive industry, a report has said.

Premium brands such as Tesla should diversify product lines and offer cheaper alternatives to retain market share.

The most valuable markets include China, Europe and North America, regions where the industry worth about half-a-trillion dollars enjoys proactive support from governments and wide acceptance from consumers, the International Data Corporation said.

"In these markets, the competition will become more intense and products will become more segmented," Adela Guo, a consulting and research director at the IDC, wrote in the report.

Developing countries including India, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand, are also showing potential, the IDC said.

Strong investments would also enable EV makers to position themselves better in these markets, especially if their pitch is as being energy or technology companies, it said.

These are a bigger deal than being an automotive organisation and maximise the capabilities between different business portfolios, the report said.

EV manufacturers should also consider how to maximise their technology strategy by, for example, quickly bringing a high-quality but low-cost service to the market, the IDC said.

They can also benefit from a "high-tenacity" supply chain, supported by a more digital and intelligent management system to increase resilience and agility, and focus more on their employees, addressing skills shortages and building attractive systems to attract top talent and maintain their satisfaction.

"Overall, high-end brands are beginning to penetrate the low-end, and low-end brands are trying to break through to the high-end. Segmented markets and high-quality EV products have become competitive hotspots," Ms Guo said.

The global EV market continues to grow amid a government and societal shift towards energy conservation, with car makers' consumer and commercial divisions tapping into the technology's potential.

Several governments have offered incentives including subsidies and tax credits to convince people to buy EVs, but potential customers had to meet certain criteria to avail those benefits.

The global EV market is projected to grow more than threefold to about $1.6 trillion by 2030, from an estimated $500 billion in 2023, at a compound annual rate of nearly 18 per cent throughout the decade, latest data from Fortune Business Insights shows.

Unit sales, meanwhile, are expected to surge about 60 per cent and surpass 17 million in 2028, from an estimated 10.25 million in 2023, data from Statista shows. Of the projected 17 million vehicles, more than three quarters, or 10.64 million would be battery EVs, with the rest to be hybrids, it added.

The IDC has a more optimistic call, forecasting 14 million units in 2023, with a penetration rate of 18 per cent in the overall automobile market.

Electrification, connectivity, autonomous driving and ride sharing are the four key trends that are expected to drive the world's transition to EVs, it said.

That would result in the rapid growth of the global EV market. From a supply perspective, governments take EV as a country strategy, providing subsidies to promote players developing their business, it said.

"The automotive industry is facing the most important transition period in its history – the replacement of the traditional internal combustion engine with more sustainable, energy-saving and environmentally-friendly technologies. The traditional engine has dominated powertrains for more than a century," Ms Guo said.

"More investments in R&D and innovation have resulted in breakthroughs in core technologies ... as such, traditional OEMs [original equipment manufacturers], technology giants and emerging players are trying to seize the opportunities from the electric vehicle market.

In 2022, the EV industry's top three players globally were BYD, Tesla and Saic-GM-Wuling, with Tesla, the world's biggest EV manufacturer, falling behind China's BYD, data from the IDC shows.

This was the result of the emergence of more EVs from other companies, dragging Texas-based Tesla's market share down to 13 per cent in 2022 from 17 per cent in 2019, with expectations of stabilising to 10 per cent in the future, it said.

Tesla, which is led by the world's wealthiest person, Elon Musk, should diversify its product line and offer cheaper alternatives if it wants to regain the top spot, the IDC said.

"The industry transition will be fast, both opportunities and challenges exist. Only by establishing advantage in advance, can the players get ahead of their competitors and win the final victory," Ms Guo said.

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Updated: September 02, 2023, 12:39 PM