A steady tightening of global sanctions aimed at pressing Iran over its nuclear programme has hit the country's trade with the UAE hard.
Financial sanctions by the United States and European Union are designed to restrict trade with Iran.
Many banks, exchange houses and other institutions have responded by sharply curtailing dealings with Iran.
As a result, life has been made harder for the thousands of UAE traders who re-export a wide variety of goods across the Gulf.
Many are struggling to obtain letters of credit or other financing to pay for shipments. Under pressure from the UAE Central Bank and the West, many banks are stopping their dealings with Iran.
In the latest development, the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (Swift), based in Belgium, last week said it was complying with an EU ban on conducting business with Iranian institutions including the country's central bank.
Swift had been a popular option for UAE traders looking to finance business.
"Any bilateral talk between the two countries is positive," said Ardelan Zamin Peyma, a brand manager at a wholesaler of toys and other goods in Deira which ships some goods to Iran.
"We hope for the best and hope things improve as the two countries have been together geographically for so long, and it gets difficult when there's a gap in relations."
The flow of goods between the two countries - much of it Iran-bound - accounts for 7 per cent of the UAE's GDP.
For Iran, the relationship is equally valuable.
The estimated US$20 billion (Dh73.46bn) of goods moving from the UAE across the Gulf accounts for about one third of Iran's imports.
The UAE has stated its commitment to comply with global sanctions.
But it has strived to ensure the continued trade of goods such as medicine and food, which are not banned.
"I would imagine the UAE wants to take a more nuanced approach as they are mindful of their commercial relationship with Iran," said Edward Bell, an economist specialising in Iran at the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).
But officials are also worried that the flow of goods is beginning to wane. Hamad Buamim, the director general of the Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said last month that exports from Dubai to Iran were falling "day by day". He appealed to the Government for guidelines about business dealings with Iran.
With the list of Iran's global trading partners dwindling, the country's partnership with the UAE is as important as ever. The UAE accounts for about 87 per cent of Iran's trade with the GCC.
"Iran is not in a position to cut off ties with the UAE," said Ayesha Sabavala, a Middle East analyst at the EIU.
"With its economic situation and the depreciating of the Iranian currency, it has less room for manoeuvre."
Reduced revenue from oil exports and rising inflation are making life difficult for the country's people and government.
The economy is likely this year to enter its first recession since 1993, the EIU has forecast.
tarnold@thenational.ae
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UPI facts
More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions
EA Sports FC 26
Publisher: EA Sports
Consoles: PC, PlayStation 4/5, Xbox Series X/S
Rating: 3/5
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Timeline
2012-2015
The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East
May 2017
The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts
September 2021
Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act
October 2021
Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence
December 2024
Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group
May 2025
The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan
July 2025
The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan
August 2025
Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision
October 2025
Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange
November 2025
180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
Classification of skills
A worker is categorised as skilled by the MOHRE based on nine levels given in the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) issued by the International Labour Organisation.
A skilled worker would be someone at a professional level (levels 1 – 5) which includes managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, clerical support workers, and service and sales workers.
The worker must also have an attested educational certificate higher than secondary or an equivalent certification, and earn a monthly salary of at least Dh4,000.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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