S&P may cut credit ratings on Kuwaiti banks


  • English
  • Arabic

Standard & Poor's has announced it may lower its credit ratings on five Kuwaiti banks linked to local financial companies that have been hard hit by the global financial crisis. In the past few months, Kuwaiti investment companies have suffered more than others in the region, due to their reliance on international funding and investments in local property and stock markets that have withered.

Although large Kuwaiti banks are more protected from the effects of the crisis, some ratings agencies have been concerned that trouble among the investment companies could trigger losses. Global Investment House, one of the companies, recently defaulted on its debt. "The various rating actions reflect our expectation that the exposure of these five banks to the distressed local investment companies sector is likely to materially affect their stand-alone credit profile, in the context of an already weakening operating environment," said Emmanuel Volland, a credit analyst at S&P.

The agency put Kuwait Finance House, Commercial Bank of Kuwait, Al Ahli Bank of Kuwait and Burgan Bank "on CreditWatch with negative implications". Gulf Bank was placed on review for a possible downgrade in October, when it disclosed a US$1bn loss (Dh3.67bn) loss caused by soured foreign-exchange bets. "We believe that a large number of investment companies in Kuwait, largely active in the real estate and stock markets, are facing major liquidity and perhaps solvency problems, and have started discussions with some of their creditors to restructure their debt obligations," Mr Volland said.

The Kuwaiti government has indicated it is reviewing ways to support ailing investment companies. S&P said such support would benefit the banks' ratings. It said it would reassess the status of the banks in the coming weeks. @Email:tpantin@thenational.ae

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Where to buy

Limited-edition art prints of The Sofa Series: Sultani can be acquired from Reem El Mutwalli at www.reemelmutwalli.com