OMV turns towards upstream after Nabucco rejection


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A long-held pipeline dream last week came to an end for OMV, the Austrian oil and gas company that is part-owned by Abu Dhabi's International Petroleum Investment Company (Ipic).

The Nabucco pipeline project, and ambitious project to link the Shah Deniz gasfield in Azerbaijan to the European market, was rejected in favour of a rival pipeline.

The decision could have been expected to be a major blow for OMV, the leading company on the project. In fact, the pipeline had been subject to a decade of intense political wrangling and downsizing.

Its failure could hardly have surprised the company. Instead, it may give OMV more certainty on its future investment strategy.

"OMV's management has stated clearly that their upstream strategy depends on Nabucco," said Oleg Galbur, an analyst with Raiffeisen Centrobank.

"It won't change the weight of the [upstream] segment in terms of the capex [capital expenditure], but their regional focus will change. Turkey and the Caspian will not be the company's focus as much."

The company has for some time committed to a shift towards oil and gas production, at the expense of refining, a sector where tight margins leave little room for profit.

"The upstream is going to be the segment where the company will look to spend more in the future. It's a wise decision to invest there and move away from the downstream," said Attila Vago, an analyst for Concorde Securities.

This focus has driven OMV to expand its geographical reach from its core of Austria and Romania.

With Ipic owning a quarter of the company, a focus on Abu Dhabi comes naturally. OMV was in the news last week when it signed an exploration agreement with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for a field in the emirate's eastern region.

The company began its upstream quest in Abu Dhabi last year when it partnered with Germany's Wintershall to explore a gasfield near Shuwaihat.

Should the testing be successful the two companies will enter a concession with Adnoc to exploit the field.

OMV was already active in Abu Dhabi though the Borealis petrochemicals joint venture with Ipic.

Its regional exposure is complemented by a stake in the Bina Bawi-3 field in the Kurdish region of Iraq, where a test well has just struck oil. With the Kurdish Regional Government about to complete its own oil pipeline, payments to oil and gas companies that have been withheld by the central government in Baghdad are likely to be made soon.

Meanwhile the company has been busy divesting its refinery assets. But it has held on to its majority stake in the Central European Gas Hub, an Austria-based gas exchange based on a 2,000 kilometre pipeline network.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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