A much-feared economic recession failed to materialise this year, but there was no shortage of financial trouble for companies.
The amount of corporate debt trading at distressed levels hit a new cycle high in November, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. That $127 billion (Dh466bn) — the most since August of 2016 reflects a year of idiosyncratic blow-ups sparked by issues ranging from the opioid crisis in the US to the growing influence of collateralised loan obligations and climate change.
“Distressed funds are putting out fires everywhere,” says Jason Dillow, chief executive of Bardin Hill Investment
Partners, which manages about $9.4bn. “Heading into 2020 will be challenging for traditional distressed assets owned by managers now, but it will be a great opportunity for those who sit it out and buy after the drop.”
Here is a recap of the biggest blow-ups of the year that may have put a dent in bonuses and a look at what investors can expect for distressed debt in 2020.
Distressed funds are putting out fires everywhere.
McDermott International
Debt load: About $5bn
The damage: Its 2024 bonds plunged to as low as 6 cents on the dollar, from nearly 97 cents in July.
The engineering and construction company’s stock and bonds collapsed in September as news that it had hired turnaround advisers surprised investors.
McDermott, which provides services to energy companies, has secured a bridge loan while it tries to sell its Lummus Technology business. Lenders gave it additional capital in December, and some creditors agreed not to force payment on the interest they are owed, but that break runs out on January 15.
Bondholders have seen about 97 per cent of their value evapourate as bankruptcy remains a clear and present risk.
"A more meaningful restructuring of McDermott's liabilities, and potentially certain projects, is necessary to position the company for longer-term viability beyond just addressing its unsecured notes, in our view," Joel Levington, a Bloomberg Intelligence credit analyst, said in a note this month.
Frontier Communications
Debt load: $17.5bn
The damage: The company's bonds have dropped across the board, with its 8.5 per cent notes due 2020 plunging from nearly 100 cents on the dollar to as low as 50 cents.
With no meaningful debt maturities until 2022 and positive cash flow, the distressed telecoms company was frequently thought of as a melting iceberg.
But creditors in Frontier, which provides landline service in rural areas, started pushing for the company to address its debt load. After months of public and private pressure, Frontier started negotiations, replaced its chief executive and is said to be considering a restructuring in the first quarter.
“If you’re stressed for a number of years, or you’re operating with a stressed balance sheet, you just have to hit a bump in the road that sends you to court,” said Christian Hoffmann of Thornburg Investment Management, which oversees about $45bn in assets.
Intelsat
Debt load: $14bn
The damage: Some of the company's bonds hit their lowest level in more than a year, and are trading at levels that suggest bondholders may not be paid back in full.
One of the hottest hedge-fund trades of the past year came crashing down in November when it emerged that the struggling satellite company’s plan to cut debt with proceeds from a proposed spectrum auction may not go as hoped.
Investors had widely expected that the Federal Communications Commission would let Intelsat and its partners holding so-called “C-band” spectrum sell it through a private auction, which would net more proceeds for cutting Intelsat’s $14bn of debt. Instead, the FCC said it would run a public process, and investors have to wait until 2020 to get clarity on what happens next.
"With the control of the auction now in the hands of the federal government, the market is [rightly] questioning the extent to which Intelsat will be able to right-size its balance sheet and manage maturities in 2021," CreditSights analysts David Shnaps and Jay Mayers wrote in a November note.
“Intelsat remains a constructive participant in the complex C-Band proceeding,” Dianne VanBeber, a representative for Intelsat, said in an email. “As has been our practice, we will continue to proactively manage our capital structure.”
Mallinckrodt
Debt load: $5.8bn
The damage: Some of the company's bonds have lost about 50 per cent of their value this year.
The pharmaceutical company has been embroiled in legal battles brought by states and municipalities claiming that
Mallinckrodt and other opioid producers contributed to the deadly crisis.
Mallinckrodt is also awaiting a decision in its lawsuit against the US Department of Justice over reimbursement rates on its key product, Acthar Gel. In addition to the legal woes, Mallinckrodt operates under a debt-heavy capital structure, with impending maturities on its more than $5bn of borrowings beginning in 2020.
“How can they resolve their opioid liability, and will that require a filing?” said Eric Axon, a health care analyst at CreditSights. “We are in the camp that they will ultimately require a filing.”
A representative for Mallinckrodt pointed to previous comments made by the company’s chief executive that it has been trying to exit the opioid business.
PG&E
Debt load: $51.7bn, including $30bn in potential wildfire liabilities, as of the bankruptcy filing.
The damage: Its shares have declined about 50 per cent from a year ago and its bonds have been volatile.
The California utility’s bankruptcy filing has been called a climate-change restructuring given the $30bn of wildfire liabilities that pushed it into Chapter 11 in January.
Pacific Gas & Electric has grappled with twists and turns this year as it tries to get wildfire claimants, creditors, shareholders and politicians to agree on a plan by the June deadline to participate in a state wildfire fund set up to help settle future claims.
PG&E this week scored a victory by winning court approval for two multibillion-dollar wildfire settlements that will serve as the centrepiece of the utility’s restructuring plan, but it still needs the support of California governor Gavin Newsom.
“Ultimately, we expect that PG&E’s plan will win out, though modifications to address Newsom’s comments likely mean it will be less beneficial for equity holders than originally envisioned,” Height Securities analyst Clayton Allen said in a research note.
"We are committed to getting victims paid, continuing to implement changes across our business to improve our operations for the long term and emerging from Chapter 11 as a financially sound utility," a representative for PG&E said.
Deluxe Entertainment Services
Debt load: Over $1bn pre-bankruptcy filing, around $300 million of liabilities post-bankruptcy
The damage: The media company’s first-lien loan dropped as much as 77 cents to 12.5 cents in the three month period leading up to the bankruptcy — a loss of more than $600m.
A post-production media services company for the film industry, Deluxe had struggled with a changing digital landscape in Hollywood and an increasingly burdensome debt load.
When the company was looking for a loan to keep it afloat, its lenders, comprised mostly of CLOs, were prohibited from providing Deluxe more capital because of limitations on holding low-rated debt. Their hands were tied after the company was downgraded three notches to CCC- by S&P Global Ratings and Deluxe wound up in Chapter 11.
There’s a “large gap” between where the debt trades and the value of the company’s assets once it’s restructured, which the market will see more of, according to George Schultze of Schultze Asset Management.
Honourable Mentions
Windstream Holdings, California Resources, Murray Energy, Dean Foods and Party City deserve honourable mentions on this list due to the velocity of their declines, some all the way to bankruptcy court.
"Most of the biggest, publicised blow-ups for the year were pretty idiosyncratic in nature, and made that much worse because they were so large," said Carrie Benton, senior managing director and portfolio manager at CVC Credit Partners.
She forecast further distress next year, particularly in single B rated loans.
“We’re seeing the fruits of the underwriting boom that occurred over the last several years in leveraged credit and a lot of the weaker documentation, which has allowed for there to be substantial leakage in documents for more leeway for what sponsors can do.”
Representatives for McDermott, Frontier, Windstream, Deluxe, Murray Energy, California Resources and Dean Foods declined to comment. A representative for Party City did not respond to requests for comment.
England's all-time record goalscorers:
Wayne Rooney 53
Bobby Charlton 49
Gary Lineker 48
Jimmy Greaves 44
Michael Owen 40
Tom Finney 30
Nat Lofthouse 30
Alan Shearer 30
Viv Woodward 29
Frank Lampard 29
Infiniti QX80 specs
Engine: twin-turbocharged 3.5-liter V6
Power: 450hp
Torque: 700Nm
Price: From Dh450,000, Autograph model from Dh510,000
Available: Now
OTHER IPL BOWLING RECORDS
Best bowling figures: 6-14 – Sohail Tanvir (for Rajasthan Royals against Chennai Super Kings in 2008)
Best average: 16.36 – Andrew Tye
Best economy rate: 6.53 – Sunil Narine
Best strike-rate: 12.83 – Andrew Tye
Best strike-rate in an innings: 1.50 – Suresh Raina (for Chennai Super Kings against Rajasthan Royals in 2011)
Most runs conceded in an innings: 70 – Basil Thampi (for Sunrisers Hyderabad against Royal Challengers Bangalore in 2018)
Most hat-tricks: 3 – Amit Mishra
Most dot-balls: 1,128 – Harbhajan Singh
Most maiden overs bowled: 14 – Praveen Kumar
Most four-wicket hauls: 6 – Sunil Narine
Groom and Two Brides
Director: Elie Semaan
Starring: Abdullah Boushehri, Laila Abdallah, Lulwa Almulla
Rating: 3/5
The biog
Name: Fareed Lafta
Age: 40
From: Baghdad, Iraq
Mission: Promote world peace
Favourite poet: Al Mutanabbi
Role models: His parents
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
How to apply for a drone permit
- Individuals must register on UAE Drone app or website using their UAE Pass
- Add all their personal details, including name, nationality, passport number, Emiratis ID, email and phone number
- Upload the training certificate from a centre accredited by the GCAA
- Submit their request
What are the regulations?
- Fly it within visual line of sight
- Never over populated areas
- Ensure maximum flying height of 400 feet (122 metres) above ground level is not crossed
- Users must avoid flying over restricted areas listed on the UAE Drone app
- Only fly the drone during the day, and never at night
- Should have a live feed of the drone flight
- Drones must weigh 5 kg or less
COMPANY PROFILE
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Total funding: Self funded
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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RACE CARD
6.30pm Maiden Dh165,000 (Dirt) 1,200
7.05pm Handicap Dh165,000 (D) 1,600m
7.40pm Maiden Dh165,000 (D) 1,600m
8.15pm Handicap Dh190,000 (D) 1,600m
8.50pm Handicap Dh175,000 (D) 1,400m
9.25pm Handicap Dh175,000 (D) 2,000m
The National selections:
6.30pm Underwriter
7.05pm Rayig
7.40pm Torno Subito
8.15pm Talento Puma
8.50pm Etisalat
9.25pm Gundogdu
Huroob Ezterari
Director: Ahmed Moussa
Starring: Ahmed El Sakka, Amir Karara, Ghada Adel and Moustafa Mohammed
Three stars
Tamkeen's offering
- Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
- Option 2: 50% across three years
- Option 3: 30% across five years
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Other acts on the Jazz Garden bill
Sharrie Williams
The American singer is hugely respected in blues circles due to her passionate vocals and songwriting. Born and raised in Michigan, Williams began recording and touring as a teenage gospel singer. Her career took off with the blues band The Wiseguys. Such was the acclaim of their live shows that they toured throughout Europe and in Africa. As a solo artist, Williams has also collaborated with the likes of the late Dizzy Gillespie, Van Morrison and Mavis Staples.
Lin Rountree
An accomplished smooth jazz artist who blends his chilled approach with R‘n’B. Trained at the Duke Ellington School of the Arts in Washington, DC, Rountree formed his own band in 2004. He has also recorded with the likes of Kem, Dwele and Conya Doss. He comes to Dubai on the back of his new single Pass The Groove, from his forthcoming 2018 album Stronger Still, which may follow his five previous solo albums in cracking the top 10 of the US jazz charts.
Anita Williams
Dubai-based singer Anita Williams will open the night with a set of covers and swing, jazz and blues standards that made her an in-demand singer across the emirate. The Irish singer has been performing in Dubai since 2008 at venues such as MusicHall and Voda Bar. Her Jazz Garden appearance is career highlight as she will use the event to perform the original song Big Blue Eyes, the single from her debut solo album, due for release soon.
Lexus LX700h specs
Engine: 3.4-litre twin-turbo V6 plus supplementary electric motor
Power: 464hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 790Nm from 2,000-3,600rpm
Transmission: 10-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 11.7L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh590,000
Living in...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
The design
The protective shell is covered in solar panels to make use of light and produce energy. This will drastically reduce energy loss.
More than 80 per cent of the energy consumed by the French pavilion will be produced by the sun.
The architecture will control light sources to provide a highly insulated and airtight building.
The forecourt is protected from the sun and the plants will refresh the inner spaces.
A micro water treatment plant will recycle used water to supply the irrigation for the plants and to flush the toilets. This will reduce the pavilion’s need for fresh water by 30 per cent.
Energy-saving equipment will be used for all lighting and projections.
Beyond its use for the expo, the pavilion will be easy to dismantle and reuse the material.
Some elements of the metal frame can be prefabricated in a factory.
From architects to sound technicians and construction companies, a group of experts from 10 companies have created the pavilion.
Work will begin in May; the first stone will be laid in Dubai in the second quarter of 2019.
Construction of the pavilion will take 17 months from May 2019 to September 2020.
Results
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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hall of shame
SUNDERLAND 2002-03
No one has ended a Premier League season quite like Sunderland. They lost each of their final 15 games, taking no points after January. They ended up with 19 in total, sacking managers Peter Reid and Howard Wilkinson and losing 3-1 to Charlton when they scored three own goals in eight minutes.
SUNDERLAND 2005-06
Until Derby came along, Sunderland’s total of 15 points was the Premier League’s record low. They made it until May and their final home game before winning at the Stadium of Light while they lost a joint record 29 of their 38 league games.
HUDDERSFIELD 2018-19
Joined Derby as the only team to be relegated in March. No striker scored until January, while only two players got more assists than goalkeeper Jonas Lossl. The mid-season appointment Jan Siewert was to end his time as Huddersfield manager with a 5.3 per cent win rate.
ASTON VILLA 2015-16
Perhaps the most inexplicably bad season, considering they signed Idrissa Gueye and Adama Traore and still only got 17 points. Villa won their first league game, but none of the next 19. They ended an abominable campaign by taking one point from the last 39 available.
FULHAM 2018-19
Terrible in different ways. Fulham’s total of 26 points is not among the lowest ever but they contrived to get relegated after spending over £100 million (Dh457m) in the transfer market. Much of it went on defenders but they only kept two clean sheets in their first 33 games.
LA LIGA: Sporting Gijon, 13 points in 1997-98.
BUNDESLIGA: Tasmania Berlin, 10 points in 1965-66
Countries recognising Palestine
France, UK, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Belgium, Malta, Luxembourg, San Marino and Andorra
Gothia Cup 2025
4,872 matches
1,942 teams
116 pitches
76 nations
26 UAE teams
15 Lebanese teams
2 Kuwaiti teams
Understand What Black Is
The Last Poets
(Studio Rockers)
If you go...
Flying
There is no simple way to get to Punta Arenas from the UAE, with flights from Dubai and Abu Dhabi requiring at least two connections to reach this part of Patagonia. Flights start from about Dh6,250.
Touring
Chile Nativo offers the amended Los Dientes trek with expert guides and porters who are met in Puerto Williams on Isla Navarino. The trip starts and ends in Punta Arenas and lasts for six days in total. Prices start from Dh8,795.
At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
Tributes from the UAE's personal finance community
• Sebastien Aguilar, who heads SimplyFI.org, a non-profit community where people learn to invest Bogleheads’ style
“It is thanks to Jack Bogle’s work that this community exists and thanks to his work that many investors now get the full benefits of long term, buy and hold stock market investing.
Compared to the industry, investing using the common sense approach of a Boglehead saves a lot in costs and guarantees higher returns than the average actively managed fund over the long term.
From a personal perspective, learning how to invest using Bogle’s approach was a turning point in my life. I quickly realised there was no point chasing returns and paying expensive advisers or platforms. Once money is taken care off, you can work on what truly matters, such as family, relationships or other projects. I owe Jack Bogle for that.”
• Sam Instone, director of financial advisory firm AES International
"Thought to have saved investors over a trillion dollars, Jack Bogle’s ideas truly changed the way the world invests. Shaped by his own personal experiences, his philosophy and basic rules for investors challenged the status quo of a self-interested global industry and eventually prevailed. Loathed by many big companies and commission-driven salespeople, he has transformed the way well-informed investors and professional advisers make decisions."
• Demos Kyprianou, a board member of SimplyFI.org
"Jack Bogle for me was a rebel, a revolutionary who changed the industry and gave the little guy like me, a chance. He was also a mentor who inspired me to take the leap and take control of my own finances."
• Steve Cronin, founder of DeadSimpleSaving.com
"Obsessed with reducing fees, Jack Bogle structured Vanguard to be owned by its clients – that way the priority would be fee minimisation for clients rather than profit maximisation for the company.
His real gift to us has been the ability to invest in the stock market (buy and hold for the long term) rather than be forced to speculate (try to make profits in the shorter term) or even worse have others speculate on our behalf.
Bogle has given countless investors the ability to get on with their life while growing their wealth in the background as fast as possible. The Financial Independence movement would barely exist without this."
• Zach Holz, who blogs about financial independence at The Happiest Teacher
"Jack Bogle was one of the greatest forces for wealth democratisation the world has ever seen. He allowed people a way to be free from the parasitical "financial advisers" whose only real concern are the fat fees they get from selling you over-complicated "products" that have caused millions of people all around the world real harm.”
• Tuan Phan, a board member of SimplyFI.org
"In an industry that’s synonymous with greed, Jack Bogle was a lone wolf, swimming against the tide. When others were incentivised to enrich themselves, he stood by the ‘fiduciary’ standard – something that is badly needed in the financial industry of the UAE."
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
MATCH INFO
Arsenal 1 (Aubameyang 12’) Liverpool 1 (Minamino 73’)
Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties
Man of the Match: Ainsley Maitland-Niles (Arsenal)