Outlook for the Middle East's markets



Dubai

The Dubai Financial Market General Index has climbed more than any other exchange in the Gulf, rising 21.8 per cent so far this year, with property companies leading the charge. Emaar Properties trounced analysts' estimates for full-year earnings, sparking a 17.9 per cent rise in the bellwether stock. Arabtec, the Gulf's biggest contractor, more than doubled, at one point rising as much as 128.3 per cent compared with the year-end price. The shares sank rapidly after it emerged that Abu Dhabi's Aabar Investments had accumulated a 5.28 per cent stake in the company.

Abu Dhabi

The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange General Index rallied, gaining 6.2 per cent during the quarter. Large-cap stocks were a mixed bag, with the index's biggest component, Etisalat, falling 2.6 per cent during the first three months of the year. First Gulf Bank, by contrast, soared 25.9 per cent after a dividend payout of Dh1.5 billion (US$408 million). Aldar Properties and Sorouh Real Estate raised some eyebrows when their share prices converged and began moving in lockstep beginning on March 5. A week later the two announced they had begun merger talks with the "blessing" of the Government.

Saudi Arabia

The Saudi Tadawul All-Share Index rose 22 per cent as speculation brewed that the exchange would open to international investors. Daily traded values soared to US$5.75 billion (Dh21.21bn) - the highest level since 2007. The Gulf's largest stock market is accessible to world markets only through an unpopular regime of total return swaps that do not track the underlying securities. Investment banks in Dubai, including Russia's VTB Capital and Japan's Nomura, took steps towards capturing greater quantities of Tadawul trading ahead of the anticipated opening.

Bahrain

In January, the Bahrain All-Share Index fell to its lowest level since its launch in 2004 and has staged only an anaemic recovery. The market measure remains up for the year, registering a gain of 0.7 per cent but nevertheless is off 60.2 per cent from its 2008 peak. Even news of Arcapita's filing for bankruptcy protection did little to move the market, with the index falling only 0.4 per cent after the investment bank, which is unlisted, sought refuge under Chapter 11 of the US Bankruptcy Code.

Qatar

A poor start to 2012 for Qatar followed a year in which it rode out much of the storm afflicting global markets. The Qatar Exchange had a strong 2011 as investment flowed into the country and companies bid to take advantage of contracts related to preparations for the 2022 Fifa World Cup. The market was alone in the Gulf to end the year registering gains, rising 1.1 per cent. The first quarter of this year, by contrast, was rather more lacklustre, with a dip of 0.1 per cent as concerns grew that the country's banking sector lacked the liquidity to support the US$100bn burst of investment expected.

Oman

Oman's sleepy stock exchange ended the year flat. The sultanate's spending plans, estimated at about 5 per cent of GDP, soothed bubbling political discontent that surfaced during the Arab Spring. Markets were roused somewhat by talk of a merger between Oman International Bank and HSBC Oman, which the central bank approved last week. Meanwhile, the country's move to allow Islamic banks was met with excitement, with the central bank saying two initial public offerings of Sharia-compliant lenders under formation could be due in the second quarter.

Egypt

Egypt's stock market soared amid confidence that political progress was being made as parliamentary elections passed peacefully and the country's new democratically elected legislature sat for the first time. During a year of revolution in 2011, a dwindling away of the country's foreign reserves and flip-flopping over a deal with the IMF, the EGX 30 index lost almost half its value. But the 38.5 per cent rally in the index during the first quarter was the second-strongest in the world, trumped only by Venezuela, as Egypt returned to talks with the IMF.

Kuwait

The Kuwait Stock Exchange rose 6 per cent in the first quarter, performing better than half of the Gulf's bourses. The exchange became a little emptier after 10 companies were delisted in February, following lengthy suspensions from trading for failing to file annual reports. The Kuwait Stock Exchange planned its own listing to make up the numbers but is expected to be pipped to the post by Palestine Securities Exchange - which is expected to follow Dubai Financial Market Company to become the Arab world's second listed bourse.

Dust and sand storms compared

Sand storm

  • Particle size: Larger, heavier sand grains
  • Visibility: Often dramatic with thick "walls" of sand
  • Duration: Short-lived, typically localised
  • Travel distance: Limited 
  • Source: Open desert areas with strong winds

Dust storm

  • Particle size: Much finer, lightweight particles
  • Visibility: Hazy skies but less intense
  • Duration: Can linger for days
  • Travel distance: Long-range, up to thousands of kilometres
  • Source: Can be carried from distant regions
Countries offering golden visas

UK
Innovator Founder Visa is aimed at those who can demonstrate relevant experience in business and sufficient investment funds to set up and scale up a new business in the UK. It offers permanent residence after three years.

Germany
Investing or establishing a business in Germany offers you a residence permit, which eventually leads to citizenship. The investment must meet an economic need and you have to have lived in Germany for five years to become a citizen.

Italy
The scheme is designed for foreign investors committed to making a significant contribution to the economy. Requires a minimum investment of €250,000 which can rise to €2 million.

Switzerland
Residence Programme offers residence to applicants and their families through economic contributions. The applicant must agree to pay an annual lump sum in tax.

Canada
Start-Up Visa Programme allows foreign entrepreneurs the opportunity to create a business in Canada and apply for permanent residence. 

Hamilton’s 2017

Australia - 2nd; China - 1st; Bahrain - 2nd; Russia - 4th; Spain - 1st; Monaco - 7th; Canada - 1st; Azerbaijan - 5th; Austria - 4th; Britain - 1st; Hungary - 4th; Belgium - 1st; Italy - 1st; Singapore - 1st; Malaysia - 2nd; Japan - 1st; United States - 1st; Mexico - 9th

Test

Director: S Sashikanth

Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan

Star rating: 2/5

Why seagrass matters
  • Carbon sink: Seagrass sequesters carbon up to 35X faster than tropical rainforests
  • Marine nursery: Crucial habitat for juvenile fish, crustations, and invertebrates
  • Biodiversity: Support species like sea turtles, dugongs, and seabirds
  • Coastal protection: Reduce erosion and improve water quality
Short-term let permits explained

Homeowners and tenants are allowed to list their properties for rental by registering through the Dubai Tourism website to obtain a permit.

Tenants also require a letter of no objection from their landlord before being allowed to list the property.

There is a cost of Dh1,590 before starting the process, with an additional licence fee of Dh300 per bedroom being rented in your home for the duration of the rental, which ranges from three months to a year.

Anyone hoping to list a property for rental must also provide a copy of their title deeds and Ejari, as well as their Emirates ID.

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Results:

First Test: New Zealand 30 British & Irish Lions 15

Second Test: New Zealand 21 British & Irish Lions 24

Third Test: New Zealand 15 British & Irish Lions 15

ENGLAND WORLD CUP SQUAD

Eoin Morgan (captain), Moeen Ali, Jonny Bairstow, Jos Buttler (wicketkeeper), Tom Curran, Joe Denly, Alex Hales, Liam Plunkett, Adil Rashid, Joe Root, Jason Roy, Ben Stokes, David Willey, Chris Woakes, Mark Wood

What is Reform?

Reform is a right-wing, populist party led by Nigel Farage, a former MEP who won a seat in the House of Commons last year at his eighth attempt and a prominent figure in the campaign for the UK to leave the European Union.

It was founded in 2018 and originally called the Brexit Party.

Many of its members previously belonged to UKIP or the mainstream Conservatives.

After Brexit took place, the party focused on the reformation of British democracy.

Former Tory deputy chairman Lee Anderson became its first MP after defecting in March 2024.

The party gained support from Elon Musk, and had hoped the tech billionaire would make a £100m donation. However, Mr Musk changed his mind and called for Mr Farage to step down as leader in a row involving the US tycoon's support for far-right figurehead Tommy Robinson who is in prison for contempt of court.

Super Bowl LIII schedule

What Super Bowl LIII

Who is playing New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams

Where Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, United States

When Sunday (start time is 3.30am on Monday UAE time)

 

THE SPECS

Engine: 1.5-litre turbocharged four-cylinder

Transmission: Constant Variable (CVT)

Power: 141bhp 

Torque: 250Nm 

Price: Dh64,500

On sale: Now

Day 1, Abu Dhabi Test: At a glance

Moment of the day Dimuth Karunaratne had batted with plenty of pluck, and no little skill, in getting to within seven runs of a first-day century. Then, while he ran what he thought was a comfortable single to mid-on, his batting partner Dinesh Chandimal opted to stay at home. The opener was run out by the length of the pitch.

Stat of the day - 1 One six was hit on Day 1. The boundary was only breached 18 times in total over the course of the 90 overs. When it did arrive, the lone six was a thing of beauty, as Niroshan Dickwella effortlessly clipped Mohammed Amir over the square-leg boundary.

The verdict Three wickets down at lunch, on a featherbed wicket having won the toss, and Sri Lanka’s fragile confidence must have been waning. Then Karunaratne and Chandimal's alliance of precisely 100 gave them a foothold in the match. Dickwella’s free-spirited strokeplay meant the Sri Lankans were handily placed at 227 for four at the close.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
Sugary teas and iced coffees

The tax authority is yet to release a list of the taxed products, but it appears likely that sugary iced teas and cold coffees will be hit.

For instance, the non-fizzy drink AriZona Iced Tea contains 65 grams of sugar – about 16 teaspoons – per 680ml can. The average can costs about Dh6, which would rise to Dh9.

Cold coffee brands are likely to be hit too. Drinks such as Starbucks Bottled Mocha Frappuccino contain 31g of sugar in 270ml, while Nescafe Mocha in a can contains 15.6g of sugar in a 240ml can.

The 12 Syrian entities delisted by UK 

Ministry of Interior
Ministry of Defence
General Intelligence Directorate
Air Force Intelligence Agency
Political Security Directorate
Syrian National Security Bureau
Military Intelligence Directorate
Army Supply Bureau
General Organisation of Radio and TV
Al Watan newspaper
Cham Press TV
Sama TV

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The Outsider

Stephen King, Penguin