A business in Miami, Florida, looks for staff, as employers across the US hired more workers in April. AFP
A business in Miami, Florida, looks for staff, as employers across the US hired more workers in April. AFP
A business in Miami, Florida, looks for staff, as employers across the US hired more workers in April. AFP
A business in Miami, Florida, looks for staff, as employers across the US hired more workers in April. AFP

Global stock markets rise as US jobs data eases recession concerns


Alvin R Cabral
  • English
  • Arabic

Global stock markets posted gains at the close of trade on Friday, as US jobs data eased concerns about the danger of recession in the world's biggest economy.

Wall Street, in particular, had a double dose of confidence as technology bellwether Apple beat revenue estimates thanks to healthy sales of its flagship iPhone, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its best single-day percentage gain in four months.

Employers in the US hired more workers in April, with non-farm payrolls rising by 253,000 last month, the Labour Department's employment report showed on Friday.

That was well above the 180,000 consensus forecast from a survey of analysts conducted by Reuters.

The US unemployment rate inched down to 3.4 per cent in April, from 3.5 per cent the month before. March data was also revised lower to 165,000 jobs, from a previous figure of 236,000.

Apple, meanwhile, said this week that revenue hit $94.8 billion in its fiscal second quarter. Although that was down 2.5 per cent annually, it still beat analyst estimates of $92.6 billion and the company's projection of a 5 per cent decline.

That sent the California-based company's stock surging, closing up nearly 4.7 per cent on Friday.

April's jobs data suggests a resilient labour market despite the Federal Reserve's consecutive interest rate rises. However, this could also lead the US central bank to keep high interest rates for longer.

“Non-farm payrolls rising over March’s figures — and beating estimates for a 13th consecutive month — shows that the US job market continues to resist the tightened fiscal policy from the Federal Reserve,” said Srijan Katyal, global head of strategy and trading services at Abu Dhabi-based brokerage ADSS.

“Although a cut to interest rates is almost completely off the table at the Fed’s next FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting, this stronger-than-expected data may give cause to push forward with another limited 25-basis-point rise before pausing interest rate raises.”

On Wall Street, the Dow rose 1.65 per cent, its biggest daily rise since January 6, at the close of trading. The S&P 500 added 1.85 per cent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.25 per cent.

The Fed this week raised interest rates for the 10th time since 2022. The resilient US jobs market, however, does not mean another rate rise is a certainty when the Fed meets again in July, said Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee.

“We know that credit conditions like the ones we are seeing now in the past have been correlated with recessions, credit crunches. It's way too premature to know what to do with monetary policy,” he told Fox News on Friday.

In Europe, London's FTSE 100 settled 1 per cent higher, Frankfurt's DAX rose 1.4 per cent, and Paris's CAC-40 added 1.3 per cent.

Earlier in Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index closed 0.5 per cent higher, boosted by technology and property stocks. The Tokyo bourse was closed for a holiday.

The Shanghai Composite, meanwhile, retreated 0.5 per cent, as investors were concerned about the uneven economic recovery in China, which is still emerging from its strict Covid lockdowns.

In commodities, oil prices closed sharply higher on Friday but still posted a third consecutive week of losses on signs of weakening global crude demand.

Brent surged 3.86 per cent, or $2.80, to settle at $75.30 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate jumped up 4.05 per cent, or $2.78, to close at $71.34 a barrel.

For the week, however, Brent lost 5.3 per cent, while WTI slipped 7.1 per cent.

Gold, meanwhile, added about 1.6 per cent, or $30.90, to settle at $2,024.80 an ounce.

Demand for the precious metal, used as a hedge against inflation, rose by 18 per cent in 2022 to an 11-year high of 4,741 tonnes, driven by retail investors and central banks shoring up their bullion reserves, the World Gold Council previously reported.

COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EName%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EKinetic%207%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202018%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounder%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Rick%20Parish%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Abu%20Dhabi%2C%20UAE%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Clean%20cooking%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFunding%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%2410%20million%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Self-funded%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
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World Series

Game 1: Red Sox 8, Dodgers 4
Game 2: Red Sox 4, Dodgers 2
Game 3: Saturday (UAE)

* if needed

Game 4: Sunday
Game 5: Monday
Game 6: Wednesday
Game 7: Thursday

The rules on fostering in the UAE

A foster couple or family must:

  • be Muslim, Emirati and be residing in the UAE
  • not be younger than 25 years old
  • not have been convicted of offences or crimes involving moral turpitude
  • be free of infectious diseases or psychological and mental disorders
  • have the ability to support its members and the foster child financially
  • undertake to treat and raise the child in a proper manner and take care of his or her health and well-being
  • A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially
World record transfers

1. Kylian Mbappe - to Real Madrid in 2017/18 - €180 million (Dh770.4m - if a deal goes through)
2. Paul Pogba - to Manchester United in 2016/17 - €105m
3. Gareth Bale - to Real Madrid in 2013/14 - €101m
4. Cristiano Ronaldo - to Real Madrid in 2009/10 - €94m
5. Gonzalo Higuain - to Juventus in 2016/17 - €90m
6. Neymar - to Barcelona in 2013/14 - €88.2m
7. Romelu Lukaku - to Manchester United in 2017/18 - €84.7m
8. Luis Suarez - to Barcelona in 2014/15 - €81.72m
9. Angel di Maria - to Manchester United in 2014/15 - €75m
10. James Rodriguez - to Real Madrid in 2014/15 - €75m

Why it pays to compare

A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.

Route 1: bank transfer

The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.

Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount

Total received: €4,670.30 

Route 2: online platform

The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.

Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction

Total received: €4,756

The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.

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Ferrari 12Cilindri specs

Engine: naturally aspirated 6.5-liter V12

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UK-EU trade at a glance

EU fishing vessels guaranteed access to UK waters for 12 years

Co-operation on security initiatives and procurement of defence products

Youth experience scheme to work, study or volunteer in UK and EU countries

Smoother border management with use of e-gates

Cutting red tape on import and export of food

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Richard Flanagan
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Updated: May 06, 2023, 8:28 AM