Emirates National Oil Company (Enoc) may extend its buyout offer for Dragon Oil, which is set to expire on Thursday, after having failed to garner sufficient support from minority shareholders, sources say.
Enoc more than six weeks ago made its offer of 750 pence a share for about 46 per cent of Dragon Oil it does not already own. The offer expires on Thursday at 3pm (Ireland time) in Dublin, where the shares have their primary listing.
Under Irish Stock Exchange takeover rules, a majority of Dragon Oil’s minority shareholders – or slightly more than 23 per cent of voting shares – must vote to accept Enoc’s offer to be able to proceed with plans to delist Dragon Oil and privatise it.
“At this point, it looks like the offer will be extended,” said a person familiar with the deal.
If Enoc extends its takeover offer, it then has 39 days to revise the offer and a total of 60 days until the final offer expires, subject to Irish regulators’ approval.
Several of Dragon Oil’s largest minority shareholders – representing a total equity of about 16 per cent – have said the 750 pence offer was inadequate.
The Edinburgh-based fund manager Baillie Gifford was first to voice its concerns soon after the offer was made in the middle of last month. It had previously led the effort in 2009 that blocked an earlier Enoc offer to acquire Dragon Oil.
Baillie Gifford was joined by Setanta Asset Management in publicly opposing the offer, and later by Elliott Advisors, part of the New York-based hedge fund billionaire Paul Singer’s group, which built up a stake of more than 5 per cent this month.
The investors argue that Enoc is deliberately understating the potential of Dragon Oil’s main asset – the Cheleken oil and gasfield off the shores of Turkmenistan – as well as other prospects.
Baillie Gifford has suggested that Enoc add a contingency payment to reflect Cheleken’s upside potential.
“Regarding the prospect of a sweetener, I think that depends on the level of acceptances received,” said Gerry Hennigan, an analyst who follows Dragon Oil for Goodbody Stockbrokers in Dublin.
“If it falls short, probably it will be in everyone’s interests to tease out [a higher offer],” said Mr Hennigan, who recently valued Dragon Oil shares at 807 pence a share.
Dragon Oil shares were trading at 720.50 pence on Wednesday, down 1.5 pence.
amcauley@thenational.ae
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THE BIO
Ms Davison came to Dubai from Kerala after her marriage in 1996 when she was 21-years-old
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There are two kinds of dialysis — haemodialysis and peritoneal.
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It isn’t an option for everyone but if eligible, can be done at home by the patient or caregiver. This, as opposed to home haemodialysis, is covered by insurance in the UAE.
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Indoor cricket in a nutshell
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16 Indoor cricket matches are 16 overs per side
8 There are eight players per team
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5 Five runs are deducted from the score when a wickets falls
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Zones
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Chancellor Rachel Reeves set markets on edge as she appeared visibly distraught in parliament on Wednesday.
Legislative setbacks for the government have blown a new hole in the budgetary calculations at a time when the deficit is stubbornly large and the economy is struggling to grow.
She appeared with Keir Starmer on Thursday and the pair embraced, but he had failed to give her his backing as she cried a day earlier.
A spokesman said her upset demeanour was due to a personal matter.