The sudden drop in temperatures across 14 states in the US, including the country's energy capital, Texas, may have longer-term implications for energy transition in the world's largest fossil-fuel producer.
Severe storms blanketed the southern state under snow, with temperatures falling as low as -8 degrees Celsius (17.6 Fahrenheit), equivalent to the weather in the country's northern-most state of Alaska.
More than 4.3 million households and businesses faced an electricity blackout, while nearly 400,000 homes in states stretching from Louisiana in the south-east to Ohio in the mid-west were also cut off from power.
The disruption of natural gas exports to Mexico, which lies to the south of the US, took power stations offline, leaving more than 4.7 million homes without power.
Critical energy infrastructure including oil and gas, as well as wind, which accounts for 25 per cent of supply in the winter, failed to generate electricity as equipment froze in the Arctic-like temperatures.
Wind turbines stopped rotating as the equipment was not designed to withstand severe climatic conditions such as those witnessed across nearly a third of the US.
The severe weather event could throw a major spanner in the works of the US's ongoing energy transition, the world's largest producer of oil and gas, according to Stephen Innes, chief global market strategist at Axi.
"I think we're going to see more of a pivot back to shale from an investment perspective," he said.
Around 1 million barrels per day of US production has been taken offline, with the benchmark West Texas Intermediate surging above $60 per barrel for the first time in a year.
The production currently offline could return in "two weeks" with the energy industry likely to make upgrades to infrastructure and capitalise on the recent price rallies, Mr Innes said.
A resurgence of shale on the back of scepticism over the endurance of renewable energy in such conditions is likely to deter the US's ongoing transition plans.
President Joe Biden's administration plans to push for a $2 trillion clean energy investment agenda, nudged by the green elements of the Democratic caucus.
Mr Biden, who reversed major changes to the US energy policy such as rejoining the Paris Agreement upon inauguration and halting drilling across federal lands, is likely to face pushback from the energy industry as well as politicians from within his own Democratic party.
Climate deniers are unlikely to be shaken by the recent events, probably arguing that the world should be getting hotter, and not snowing outside
The deep freeze across the US is likely to energise the oil industry to lobby on the premise of the indispensability of fossil fuels in dire climatic conditions.
Apart from wind, the icy temperatures also shut down natural gas, coal and nuclear power plants, which together make up around two thirds of the energy mix in Texas.
Questions are being raised about the operability of wind and solar under such conditions, even as the scenario sheds light on the change in weather patterns due to climate change.
"Climate deniers are unlikely to be shaken by the recent events, probably arguing that the world should be getting hotter, and not snowing outside," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst, Asia Pacific at Oanda.
"That misses the point that climate change will mean parts of the world will get hotter, and some much colder. Meaningful acceptance of climate change will need to come from the top down, which starts in Washington DC," he added.
Mr Biden will have a long road ahead pushing for meaningful clean energy investments even as he tries to pass a contested $1.9tn stimulus package, Mr Halley said.
Mr Biden's presidential campaign pledge of a $2tn green agenda may not translate into reality, he added.
With 13 people dead across the US, the deep freeze may well be a reminder to the White House to push for much-needed upgrades in power generation systems.
"The blackouts in the central US and Mexico are not solely due to wind turbines freezing," Mr Halley said, adding, "[its] rather a cascading series of failures across the whole energy value chain."
Tank warfare
Lt Gen Erik Petersen, deputy chief of programs, US Army, has argued it took a “three decade holiday” on modernising tanks.
“There clearly remains a significant armoured heavy ground manoeuvre threat in this world and maintaining a world class armoured force is absolutely vital,” the general said in London last week.
“We are developing next generation capabilities to compete with and deter adversaries to prevent opportunism or miscalculation, and, if necessary, defeat any foe decisively.”
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
Classification of skills
A worker is categorised as skilled by the MOHRE based on nine levels given in the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) issued by the International Labour Organisation.
A skilled worker would be someone at a professional level (levels 1 – 5) which includes managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, clerical support workers, and service and sales workers.
The worker must also have an attested educational certificate higher than secondary or an equivalent certification, and earn a monthly salary of at least Dh4,000.
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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
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Our legal consultants
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
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How to register as a donor
1) Organ donors can register on the Hayat app, run by the Ministry of Health and Prevention
2) There are about 11,000 patients in the country in need of organ transplants
3) People must be over 21. Emiratis and residents can register.
4) The campaign uses the hashtag #donate_hope
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Power: 369hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 500Nm at 1,800rpm
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Tiger:independent, successful, volatile
Rat:witty, creative, charming
Ox:diligent, perseverent, conservative
Rabbit:gracious, considerate, sensitive
Dragon:prosperous, brave, rash
Snake:calm, thoughtful, stubborn
Horse:faithful, energetic, carefree
Sheep:easy-going, peacemaker, curious
Monkey:family-orientated, clever, playful
Rooster:honest, confident, pompous
Dog:loyal, kind, perfectionist
Boar:loving, tolerant, indulgent
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