Vitol chief executive Russell Hardy. Victor Besa/The National.
Vitol chief executive Russell Hardy. Victor Besa/The National.
Vitol chief executive Russell Hardy. Victor Besa/The National.
Vitol chief executive Russell Hardy. Victor Besa/The National.

Adipec 2024: Peak oil demand is 10 years away, Vitol CEO says


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Global oil demand may peak within the next 10 years, driven by increased consumption in developing nations offsetting declines in advanced economies, the chief executive of Vitol, the world’s largest energy trader, has said. Speaking during a panel session at the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (Adipec) on Tuesday, Russell Hardy highlighted the difficulty in accurately predicting peak oil demand, particularly due to uncertainties surrounding consumption growth rates in developing countries.

“What we're saying today is that peak oil demand is about 10 years away. The unfortunate thing is, we said five years ago that peak oil demand is 10 years away,” Mr Hardy said.

The pace of the shift from the combustion engine to other forms of transport in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries will be the “most important driver of all of this”, he said. “We're reasonably confident demand growth in the non-OECD area is going to outstrip the demand shrinkage in the OECD,” Mr Hardy added.

Torbjorn Tornqvist, chief of commodities trading firm Gunvor, said demand for transportation fuels, such as diesel and gasoline, is plateauing in some markets, particularly China. But, it doesn't mean oil demand is changing because we see more demand for chemical feed stocks,” he said during the same panel.

  • Delegates and visitors arrive for Adipec in Abu Dhabi, an event hosting more than 2,200 exhibitors and prominent speakers. Antonie Robertson / The National
    Delegates and visitors arrive for Adipec in Abu Dhabi, an event hosting more than 2,200 exhibitors and prominent speakers. Antonie Robertson / The National
  • Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump addresses supporters at a rally at Kinston Regional Jetport, in North Carolina, in the final days of the US election campaign. AP
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump addresses supporters at a rally at Kinston Regional Jetport, in North Carolina, in the final days of the US election campaign. AP
  • An Azerbaijani naval ship arrives at Iran's Anzali Port for joint exercises between the countries, in the Caspian Sea. AFP
    An Azerbaijani naval ship arrives at Iran's Anzali Port for joint exercises between the countries, in the Caspian Sea. AFP
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    People travel by boat on the Yamuna River, as smog blankets New Delhi, India. Reuters
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    Spain's King Felipe VI and Queen Letizia meet people affected by deadly flooding in Paiporta, near Valencia. AP
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    A Palestinian man rests in the ruins of his house, after Israeli strikes on Khan Younis, southern Gaza. Reuters
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    Lava flows down the slopes of Mount Merapi, after the Indonesian volcano erupted. AFP
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    Connor Bentley competes in the men's supertri event on the first day of the Neom Beach Games in Saudi Arabia. Getty Images

The International Energy Agency has predicted that demand for oil, coal and gas will peak by 2030 amid growing adoption of EVs and renewable energy. The debate surrounding the future of oil demand has heated up in recent years, with Opec, the oil producers’ group, taking an opposing view.

On Monday, Opec's secretary general Haitham Al Ghais said he was confident about crude demand in the long term. "Economic growth [is] doing well despite all the talk about negative economic growth. Yes, there are some challenges, but the picture is not as negative as some make it sound," Mr Al Ghais said. "Peak demand is not going to happen, we're not going to have that because the world keeps growing," he added.

Chinese demand

After importing record amounts of crude in 2023, China’s oil demand has significantly slowed this year amid an economic slowdown and rapid adoption of EVs. The IEA expects global oil demand to expand by roughly 900,000 barrels per day this year and close to one million bpd in 2025, marking a sharp slowdown on the two million bpd growth observed in the post-pandemic period.

China “underpins” the deceleration in growth, representing around 20 per cent of global gains both this year and next year, compared to almost 70 per cent in 2023, the agency said in its monthly oil market report. “The reality is [that] Europe has certainly peaked on oil. The US probably has peaked or is peaking,” said Nick Wayth, chief executive of the Energy Institute, which publishes the Statistical Review of World Energy report every year.

“The one to watch is China. China is right to peak on oil demand this decade, and that becomes a really significant inflection point globally. India will continue to grow,” he told The National on the sidelines of Adipec. “We will reach peak oil, and I think it will be sooner than later.”

The specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo

Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm

Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm

Transmission: 9-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km

On sale: Now

Price: From Dh117,059

Tax authority targets shisha levy evasion

The Federal Tax Authority will track shisha imports with electronic markers to protect customers and ensure levies have been paid.

Khalid Ali Al Bustani, director of the tax authority, on Sunday said the move is to "prevent tax evasion and support the authority’s tax collection efforts".

The scheme’s first phase, which came into effect on 1st January, 2019, covers all types of imported and domestically produced and distributed cigarettes. As of May 1, importing any type of cigarettes without the digital marks will be prohibited.

He said the latest phase will see imported and locally produced shisha tobacco tracked by the final quarter of this year.

"The FTA also maintains ongoing communication with concerned companies, to help them adapt their systems to meet our requirements and coordinate between all parties involved," he said.

As with cigarettes, shisha was hit with a 100 per cent tax in October 2017, though manufacturers and cafes absorbed some of the costs to prevent prices doubling.

Asia Cup 2018 Qualifier

Sunday's results:

  • UAE beat Malaysia by eight wickets
  • Nepal beat Singapore by four wickets
  • Oman v Hong Kong, no result

Tuesday fixtures:

  • Malaysia v Singapore
  • UAE v Oman
  • Nepal v Hong Kong
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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ICC men's cricketer of the year

2004 - Rahul Dravid (IND) ; 2005 - Jacques Kallis (SA) and Andrew Flintoff (ENG); 2006 - Ricky Ponting (AUS); 2007 - Ricky Ponting; 2008 - Shivnarine Chanderpaul (WI); 2009 - Mitchell Johnson (AUS); 2010 - Sachin Tendulkar (IND); 2011 - Jonathan Trott (ENG); 2012 - Kumar Sangakkara (SL); 2013 - Michael Clarke (AUS); 2014 - Mitchell Johnson; 2015 - Steve Smith (AUS); 2016 - Ravichandran Ashwin (IND); 2017 - Virat Kohli (IND); 2018 - Virat Kohli; 2019 - Ben Stokes (ENG); 2021 - Shaheen Afridi

Founders: Abdulmajeed Alsukhan, Turki Bin Zarah and Abdulmohsen Albabtain.

Based: Riyadh

Offices: UAE, Vietnam and Germany

Founded: September, 2020

Number of employees: 70

Sector: FinTech, online payment solutions

Funding to date: $116m in two funding rounds  

Investors: Checkout.com, Impact46, Vision Ventures, Wealth Well, Seedra, Khwarizmi, Hala Ventures, Nama Ventures and family offices

Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

How to avoid crypto fraud
  • Use unique usernames and passwords while enabling multi-factor authentication.
  • Use an offline private key, a physical device that requires manual activation, whenever you access your wallet.
  • Avoid suspicious social media ads promoting fraudulent schemes.
  • Only invest in crypto projects that you fully understand.
  • Critically assess whether a project’s promises or returns seem too good to be true.
  • Only use reputable platforms that have a track record of strong regulatory compliance.
  • Store funds in hardware wallets as opposed to online exchanges.
What%20is%20Dungeons%20%26%20Dragons%3F%20
%3Cp%3EDungeons%20%26amp%3B%20Dragons%20began%20as%20an%20interactive%20game%20which%20would%20be%20set%20up%20on%20a%20table%20in%201974.%20One%20player%20takes%20on%20the%20role%20of%20dungeon%20master%2C%20who%20directs%20the%20game%2C%20while%20the%20other%20players%20each%20portray%20a%20character%2C%20determining%20its%20species%2C%20occupation%20and%20moral%20and%20ethical%20outlook.%20They%20can%20choose%20the%20character%E2%80%99s%20abilities%2C%20such%20as%20strength%2C%20constitution%2C%20dexterity%2C%20intelligence%2C%20wisdom%20and%20charisma.%20In%20layman%E2%80%99s%20terms%2C%20the%20winner%20is%20the%20one%20who%20amasses%20the%20highest%20score.%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
When is VAR used?

Goals

Penalty decisions

Direct red-card incidents

Mistaken identity

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Gothia Cup 2025

4,872 matches 

1,942 teams

116 pitches

76 nations

26 UAE teams

15 Lebanese teams

2 Kuwaiti teams

RESULTS

Dubai Kahayla Classic – Group 1 (PA) $750,000 (Dirt) 2,000m
Winner: Deryan, Ioritz Mendizabal (jockey), Didier Guillemin (trainer).
Godolphin Mile – Group 2 (TB) $750,000 (D) 1,600m
Winner: Secret Ambition, Tadhg O’Shea, Satish Seemar
Dubai Gold Cup – Group 2 (TB) $750,000 (Turf) 3,200m
Winner: Subjectivist, Joe Fanning, Mark Johnston
Al Quoz Sprint – Group 1 (TB) $1million (T) 1,200m
Winner: Extravagant Kid, Ryan Moore, Brendan Walsh
UAE Derby – Group 2 (TB) $750,000 (D) 1,900m
Winner: Rebel’s Romance, William Buick, Charlie Appleby
Dubai Golden Shaheen – Group 1 (TB) $1.5million (D) 1,200m
Winner: Zenden, Antonio Fresu, Carlos David
Dubai Turf – Group 1 (TB) $4million (T) 1,800m
Winner: Lord North, Frankie Dettori, John Gosden
Dubai Sheema Classic – Group 1 (TB) $5million (T) 2,410m
Winner: Mishriff, John Egan, John Gosden

Classification of skills

A worker is categorised as skilled by the MOHRE based on nine levels given in the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) issued by the International Labour Organisation. 

A skilled worker would be someone at a professional level (levels 1 – 5) which includes managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, clerical support workers, and service and sales workers.

The worker must also have an attested educational certificate higher than secondary or an equivalent certification, and earn a monthly salary of at least Dh4,000. 

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Updated: November 06, 2024, 9:41 AM