Global wind turbine order intake surged by 27 per cent in the first three months of 2023, setting a record for the first quarter.
China, the world’s second-largest economy, accounted for nearly 65 per cent of the total order intake of 23.5 gigawatts, energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie said in a report.
In Latin America the level of activity increased to 1.7 gigawatts, while in the US order intake more than doubled to 1.8 gigawatts, surpassing the total for the first half of 2022.
In total, global orders hit an estimated $15.2 billion in the January to March period, up $3 billion from a year earlier, Wood Mackenzie said.
“China continues to be the overwhelming driver of global activity,” said Luke Lewandowski, research director at Wood Mackenzie.
“We do not see that slowing down anytime soon. What is encouraging is seeing certain areas outside of China start to build momentum.”
“Latin America had a record Q1, thanks to activity in Argentina and Brazil, and the US is seeing renewed confidence and order growth, partially in thanks to the Inflation Reduction Act.”
The IRA, enacted last year, offers a series of tax incentives on wind, solar, hydropower and other renewables, as well as a push towards electric vehicle ownership.
The move is expected to spur about $3 trillion of investment in renewable energy technology while doubling the amount of energy produced by the US shale revolution more than a decade ago, according to Goldman Sachs.
Wood Mackenzie said that while some areas outside China recorded growth, overall activity from western equipment manufacturers remained stagnant, with a 9 per cent year-on-year decline in first-quarter orders.
China is “pushing” growth strategies to meet local government renewable requirements, while western manufacturers are focusing on profitability, the consultancy said.
“Western OEMs [original equipment manufacturers] have remained very selective and disciplined in their activity, with the goal of improving their profitability,” said Mr Lewandowski.
“Pricing has remained relatively level in markets like the US, where strategies such as measured technology development and price indexing have been employed by western OEMs to expedite a return to profitability.”
Offshore wind orders fell by 12 per cent year-on-year, but Europe experienced growth, contributing three gigawatts of offshore activity, the report said.
In total, offshore wind represented 13 per cent of all orders in the first quarter.
Chinese green energy company Envision captured the largest share of new orders at 3.6 gigawatts, Wood Mackenzie said.
Danish wind turbine maker Vestas came in second with orders worth 3.3 gigawatts.
The global wind energy market will pass the one terawatt threshold for installed capacity by the end of 2023, Wood Mackenzie said in an April report.
Investment in clean energy is set to reach $1.7 trillion this year, outpacing spending on fossil fuels, as countries look to address potential energy shortages, the International Energy Agency said.
Global energy investments in 2023 are projected to reach $2.8 trillion, with more than 60 per cent allocated for clean technologies, including renewables, electric vehicles, nuclear power and heat pumps, the Paris-based agency said in its World Energy Investment report last week.
The remaining 40 per cent will be spent on coal, natural gas and crude oil, the report said.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Sri Lanka v England
First Test, at Galle
England won by 211
Second Test, at Kandy
England won by 57 runs
Third Test, at Colombo
From Nov 23-27
Day 3, Dubai Test: At a glance
Moment of the day Lahiru Gamage, the Sri Lanka pace bowler, has had to play a lot of cricket to earn a shot at the top level. The 29-year-old debutant first played a first-class game 11 years ago. His first Test wicket was one to savour, bowling Pakistan opener Shan Masood through the gate. It set the rot in motion for Pakistan’s batting.
Stat of the day – 73 Haris Sohail took 73 balls to hit a boundary. Which is a peculiar quirk, given the aggressive intent he showed from the off. Pakistan’s batsmen were implored to attack Rangana Herath after their implosion against his left-arm spin in Abu Dhabi. Haris did his best to oblige, smacking the second ball he faced for a huge straight six.
The verdict One year ago, when Pakistan played their first day-night Test at this ground, they held a 222-run lead over West Indies on first innings. The away side still pushed their hosts relatively close on the final night. With the opposite almost exactly the case this time around, Pakistan still have to hope they can salvage a win from somewhere.
Stree
Producer: Maddock Films, Jio Movies
Director: Amar Kaushik
Cast: Rajkummar Rao, Shraddha Kapoor, Pankaj Tripathi, Aparshakti Khurana, Abhishek Banerjee
Rating: 3.5