The $TRUMP memecoin. The memecoin launch by US President Donald Trump was an experiment that ended with an 83 per cent collapse in value from a brief high. Getty Images
The $TRUMP memecoin. The memecoin launch by US President Donald Trump was an experiment that ended with an 83 per cent collapse in value from a brief high. Getty Images
The $TRUMP memecoin. The memecoin launch by US President Donald Trump was an experiment that ended with an 83 per cent collapse in value from a brief high. Getty Images
The $TRUMP memecoin. The memecoin launch by US President Donald Trump was an experiment that ended with an 83 per cent collapse in value from a brief high. Getty Images


Is a US crypto reserve the next Fort Knox or a financial time bomb?


José Parra Moyano
  • English
  • Arabic

March 07, 2025

US President Donald Trump’s full embrace of digital assets has sent shock waves through the cryptocurrency market, driving a price surge while creating both new opportunities and heightened risks for investors and corporations.

Last week, Mr Trump said on his Truth Social network that the US was looking into creating a strategic reserve of digital assets, naming Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP and Cardano as its potential core holdings.

The move rippled through financial markets, pushing Bitcoin up as much as 11 per cent to $95,000 on March 2, before retreating slightly to $88,000 on March 6, as traders scrambled to reposition their bets.

US President Donald Trump posted this message on Truth Social about cryptocurrencies on March 2. Photo: Screengrab
US President Donald Trump posted this message on Truth Social about cryptocurrencies on March 2. Photo: Screengrab

A crypto reserve, akin to Fort Knox for gold, would legitimise the asset class by establishing government-backed holdings. The US could use the stockpile to support its policy goals, potentially as a hedge against inflation.

But does this signal true mainstream adoption of digital assets, or are we witnessing yet another speculative frenzy? And should investors and corporations bet on crypto, or will a national reserve turn into a taxpayer-funded gamble?

The announcement comes on the heels of a tumultuous period for digital assets in which $800 billion was wiped from crypto markets in recent weeks, as the industry reeled from a series of scandals, including a record-breaking $1.5 billion Ethereum hack.

Investors, initially euphoric after Mr Trump’s November election victory, had been growing impatient with the new administration’s slow pace on crypto reforms. Many had expected immediate legislative changes to favour digital assets.

Instead, they got a so-called “memecoin” launch by Mr Trump himself – an experiment that ended with an 83 per cent collapse in value from a brief high, with the president encountering major criticism over the move.

Yet, the moment the US President name-checked crypto as a possible strategic reserve, sentiment reversed quickly. While the rally extended, many traders took the opportunity to lock in profits, causing Bitcoin to slip a bit from its recent highs.

One question no one seems to be asking is: if crypto collapses, who foots the bill in a US reserve?

The idea of a national crypto reserve is odd. Traditionally, reserve assets like gold serve as a hedge against inflation and economic downturns. Bitcoin, despite its growing acceptance in mainstream finance, remains a highly volatile asset – one that has seen multiple cycles of meteoric rise and catastrophic decline.

Last year’s all-time high of $109,225 was driven by two primary factors: the scheduled “halving” event – where Bitcoin’s issuance rate was cut in half, reducing supply – and Mr Trump’s election victory.

US law makers remain divided. Proponents argue that an official crypto reserve would force global recognition of the asset and accelerate institutional adoption. However, sceptics warn that taxpayer dollars could end up underwriting severe losses if the price crashes.

Yet, the fundamental case for Bitcoin remains unchanged. First, there is limited supply – capped at 21 million coins, a limit hardcoded into its protocol by its pseudonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

Second, there’s rising institutional investment. The approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the US last year, following a decade of rejections, attracted new investors to the asset and supported its price. The funds from big-name asset managers like BlackRock, Franklin Templeton and Invesco pulled in more than $110 billion from investors by the start of this year.

However, the volatility of Mr Trump’s influence means Bitcoin is now even more of a short-term casino than ever before. Traders hang on every word, and markets swing wildly based on his statements.

There are big implications for traditional finance. If the US reserve goes ahead, the days of dismissing crypto as a fringe asset are over. Hedge funds, wealth managers and even corporate treasuries will be forced to consider holding digital assets, if they do not already.

Companies like MicroStrategy, Tesla and Block (then called Square) have already allocated portions of their cash reserves to Bitcoin. This strategy is often employed as a hedge against inflation and potential devaluation of fiat currencies – government-issued money.

But with wider adoption comes the potential for systemic risk. If pension funds, endowments and sovereign wealth funds start holding digital coins in significant quantities, what happens if prices plunge?

Could a major downturn spill over into traditional financial markets? Could the Federal Reserve or US Treasury be forced into interventions to stabilise prices?

For investors and corporations holding crypto, the message is clear: Bitcoin is here to stay, but its price volatility is likely to remain extreme. They must ask themselves a fundamental question: what is Bitcoin’s real value?

If they believe in its long-term potential as a hedge against inflation and a decentralised alternative to fiat currency, then allocating a portion of investment portfolios or treasury reserves to Bitcoin makes sense.

But if they see it as a speculative mania driven by political theatrics, they may be better off staying on the sidelines.

For now, one thing is certain: Bitcoin has never been more entwined with US policy, and with Mr Trump at the helm, it is more volatile than ever. Every statement, every policy shift and every regulatory move is likely to trigger rapid market reactions. Investors who understand this new reality will either thrive or find themselves on the wrong side of yet another brutal crypto cycle.

Bitcoin’s fundamental mechanics remain unchanged: limited supply, increasing adoption and a maturing market structure. However, Mr Trump’s full-throated endorsement has introduced a new wild card, turning crypto into a political asset as much as a financial one.

Ultimately, Bitcoin’s fate as a reserve asset will depend on whether governments can stomach its unpredictability. If the US does follow through on large-scale crypto purchases, it could usher in a new era of financial legitimacy for these assets.

The real question now is: what will outlast Mr Trump’s presidency? In other words, what remains unchanged? Will Bitcoin still hold its place? If so, will adoption have grown?

In the midst of market turbulence, taking a long-term perspective is the key to seeing beyond the noise.

José Parra Moyano is the professor of digital strategy at IMD

RESULTS

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Ibrahem Bilal bt Emad Arafa
Middleweight
Ahmed Abdolaziz bt Imad Essassi
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Ilham Bourakkadi bt Milena Martinou
Welterweight
Mohamed Mardi bt Noureddine El Agouti
Middleweight
Nabil Ouach bt Ymad Atrous
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Nouredine Samir bt Marlon Ribeiro
Super welterweight
Brad Stanton bt Mohamed El Boukhari

UAE%20v%20West%20Indies
%3Cp%3EFirst%20ODI%20-%20Sunday%2C%20June%204%20%0D%3Cbr%3ESecond%20ODI%20-%20Tuesday%2C%20June%206%20%0D%3Cbr%3EThird%20ODI%20-%20Friday%2C%20June%209%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EMatches%20at%20Sharjah%20Cricket%20Stadium.%20All%20games%20start%20at%204.30pm%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EUAE%20squad%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EMuhammad%20Waseem%20(captain)%2C%20Aayan%20Khan%2C%20Adithya%20Shetty%2C%20Ali%20Naseer%2C%20Ansh%20Tandon%2C%20Aryansh%20Sharma%2C%20Asif%20Khan%2C%20Basil%20Hameed%2C%20Ethan%20D%E2%80%99Souza%2C%20Fahad%20Nawaz%2C%20Jonathan%20Figy%2C%20Junaid%20Siddique%2C%20Karthik%20Meiyappan%2C%20Lovepreet%20Singh%2C%20Matiullah%2C%20Mohammed%20Faraazuddin%2C%20Muhammad%20Jawadullah%2C%20Rameez%20Shahzad%2C%20Rohan%20Mustafa%2C%20Sanchit%20Sharma%2C%20Vriitya%20Aravind%2C%20Zahoor%20Khan%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
What are the influencer academy modules?
  1. Mastery of audio-visual content creation. 
  2. Cinematography, shots and movement.
  3. All aspects of post-production.
  4. Emerging technologies and VFX with AI and CGI.
  5. Understanding of marketing objectives and audience engagement.
  6. Tourism industry knowledge.
  7. Professional ethics.
TRAP

Starring: Josh Hartnett, Saleka Shyamalan, Ariel Donaghue

Director: M Night Shyamalan

Rating: 3/5

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: ARDH Collective
Based: Dubai
Founders: Alhaan Ahmed, Alyina Ahmed and Maximo Tettamanzi
Sector: Sustainability
Total funding: Self funded
Number of employees: 4
A State of Passion

Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi

Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah

Rating: 4/5

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League quarter-final, second leg (first-leg score)

Porto (0) v Liverpool (2), Wednesday, 11pm UAE

Match is on BeIN Sports

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

F1 The Movie

Starring: Brad Pitt, Damson Idris, Kerry Condon, Javier Bardem

Director: Joseph Kosinski

Rating: 4/5

Sanju

Produced: Vidhu Vinod Chopra, Rajkumar Hirani

Director: Rajkumar Hirani

Cast: Ranbir Kapoor, Vicky Kaushal, Paresh Rawal, Anushka Sharma, Manish’s Koirala, Dia Mirza, Sonam Kapoor, Jim Sarbh, Boman Irani

Rating: 3.5 stars

Why it pays to compare

A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.

Route 1: bank transfer

The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.

Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount

Total received: €4,670.30 

Route 2: online platform

The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.

Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction

Total received: €4,756

The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League semi-final, second leg
Real Madrid (2) v Bayern Munich (1)

Where: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid
When: 10.45pm, Tuesday
Watch Live: beIN Sports HD

Updated: March 07, 2025, 7:09 AM