The Dubai skyline. Dubai's economy grew 3.1 per cent last year, driven by sectors like wholesale trade, transport and finance, supporting D33 goals. AFP
The Dubai skyline. Dubai's economy grew 3.1 per cent last year, driven by sectors like wholesale trade, transport and finance, supporting D33 goals. AFP
The Dubai skyline. Dubai's economy grew 3.1 per cent last year, driven by sectors like wholesale trade, transport and finance, supporting D33 goals. AFP
The Dubai skyline. Dubai's economy grew 3.1 per cent last year, driven by sectors like wholesale trade, transport and finance, supporting D33 goals. AFP

Dubai GDP grows by 3.1% in first nine months last year


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Dubai's economy grew by 3.1 per cent in the first nine months of last year, compared to the same period in 2023, reaching Dh339.4 billion, with growth largely driven by strides in several sectors.

The wholesale and retail trade sector reached Dh83.12 billion in the first three quarters of last year, a growth rate of 2.9 per cent. The transport and storage sector grew by 5.3 per cent to reach Dh42.135 billion, while the financial and insurance activities sector increased by 4.5 per cent to reach Dh39.439.

Among other sectors in Dubai's economy, information and communications rose by 4.1 per cent while accommodation and food services grew by 3.7 per cent. The manufacturing sector rose by 2.3 per cent.

“Dubai’s exceptional economic performance in the first nine months of 2024 reflects the city’s resilience and commitment to innovation-driven growth, and the strategic execution of the city’s bold vision embodied by the Dubai Economic Agenda D33,” said Helal Almarri, director general of the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism (DET).

As part of D33, which was launched in 2023, Dubai is looking to establish itself as one of the top three global cities over the next decade and double the size of its economy by 2033.

To achieve this, Dubai is aiming to create a globally competitive business environment and reduce business costs, while also strengthening its position as an attractive business hub.

“As the D33 Agenda enters its third year, it reinforces Dubai’s commitment to creating a future-ready economy through initiatives that advance innovation, prioritise sustainability, and leverage cutting-edge technologies,” Mr Almarri said. “As we look to the future, we invite global partners, innovators, and business leaders to join us in shaping this extraordinary journey.”

Among the other sectors contributing to the emirate's GDP was information and communications, which accounted for 4.7 per cent of Dubai's economy for the first nine months of last year, a 1 per cent increase from the same period in 2023. The sector achieved a growth of 4.1 per cent and reached a value of Dh15.863 billion.

Accommodation and food services grew by 3.7 per cent. Electricity, gas, water and waste management grew by 2.9 per cent.

Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector recorded a growth of 2.3 per cent and the real estate sector grew by 3.6 per cent during the first nine months of last year.

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Oman, UAE, Namibia

Al Amerat, Muscat

 

Results

Oman beat UAE by five wickets

UAE beat Namibia by eight runs

 

Fixtures

Wednesday January 8 –Oman v Namibia

Thursday January 9 – Oman v UAE

Saturday January 11 – UAE v Namibia

Sunday January 12 – Oman v Namibia

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