The Dubai Creek. The UAE's economy is forecast to expand 3.3 per cent this year. AFP
The Dubai Creek. The UAE's economy is forecast to expand 3.3 per cent this year. AFP
The Dubai Creek. The UAE's economy is forecast to expand 3.3 per cent this year. AFP
The Dubai Creek. The UAE's economy is forecast to expand 3.3 per cent this year. AFP

UAE economic outlook is 'positive', supported by strong domestic activity, IMF says


Massoud A Derhally
  • English
  • Arabic

The UAE's economic outlook is positive and is supported by strong domestic activity after it expanded at its fastest pace in more than a decade last year, the International Monetary Fund has said.

“UAE economic growth strengthened in 2022, benefitting from a rapid and effective Covid response, supportive fiscal measures and the benefits of earlier social and business-friendly reforms,” the Washington-based lender said on Monday at the conclusion of a consultation with Emirati officials.

On Sunday, the UAE's Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre said the economy grew by 7.9 per cent last year, after expanding by 3.9 per cent in 2021, supported by its non-oil sector, as the country continues with its diversification strategy.

The economy is forecast to expand by 3.3 per cent this year, reflecting oil production cuts agreed upon by Opec+ members, the UAE Central Bank said in its latest Quarterly Economic Review.

Strong reform efforts under the UAE 2050 strategies and advanced progress in comprehensive economic partnership agreements (Cepa) talks will boost trade and integration in global value chains and further attract foreign direct investment, the IMF said.

The UAE aims to boost trade and economic relations with countries around the globe and is working towards signing 26 Cepas as it seeks to attract more investment and diversify its economy.

The country has already signed Cepas with India, Cambodia, Georgia, Israel, Indonesia and Turkey. It is close to finalising a similar agreements with Kenya and has started talks with Costa Rica.

Through the agreements, the Emirates aims to eliminate unnecessary trade barriers, increase market access and set up investment and trade ventures with its partners.

It aims to deepen trade and investment ties with fast-growing economies in Asia, Africa and the Middle East, as well as attract $150 billion in foreign investment to its domestic non-oil industries and diversify its export profile.

The country aims to double the size of its economy to Dh3 trillion by 2031, with a focus on boosting non-oil exports and the tourism sector.

  • President Sheikh Mohamed delivers a speech remotely, to mark the signing of the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement between the UAE and Turkey. Photo: Ryan Carter / UAE Presidential Court
    President Sheikh Mohamed delivers a speech remotely, to mark the signing of the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement between the UAE and Turkey. Photo: Ryan Carter / UAE Presidential Court
  • Sheikh Mohamed follows proceedings during the signing of the agreement. Photo: Ryan Carter / UAE Presidential Court
    Sheikh Mohamed follows proceedings during the signing of the agreement. Photo: Ryan Carter / UAE Presidential Court
  • Sheikh Mohamed and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey virtually attend the ceremony as Abdulla Bin Touq, UAE Minister of the Economy, right, Mehmet Muş, Minister of Trade of Turkey, centre, and Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of State for Foreign Trade complete formalities. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
    Sheikh Mohamed and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey virtually attend the ceremony as Abdulla Bin Touq, UAE Minister of the Economy, right, Mehmet Muş, Minister of Trade of Turkey, centre, and Dr Thani Al Zeyoudi, UAE Minister of State for Foreign Trade complete formalities. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
  • The signing ceremony was held on Yas Island. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
    The signing ceremony was held on Yas Island. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
  • Mr Bin Touq, Mr Mus and Dr Al Zeyoudi, Saeed Thani Hareb Al Dhaheri, the UAE's ambassador to Turkey, and other dignitaries during the signing ceremony. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
    Mr Bin Touq, Mr Mus and Dr Al Zeyoudi, Saeed Thani Hareb Al Dhaheri, the UAE's ambassador to Turkey, and other dignitaries during the signing ceremony. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
  • The agreement is aimed at boosting trade between the two nations. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
    The agreement is aimed at boosting trade between the two nations. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
  • Dr Al Zeyoudi told journalists in Abu Dhabi that the agreement was a also milestone for the region. Victor Besa / The National
    Dr Al Zeyoudi told journalists in Abu Dhabi that the agreement was a also milestone for the region. Victor Besa / The National
  • Mr Bin Touq, Mr Mus and Dr Al Zeyoudi, Saeed Thani Hareb Al Dhaheri, the UAE's ambassador to Turkey, and other dignitaries during the signing ceremony. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
    Mr Bin Touq, Mr Mus and Dr Al Zeyoudi, Saeed Thani Hareb Al Dhaheri, the UAE's ambassador to Turkey, and other dignitaries during the signing ceremony. Photo: Hamad Al Kaabi / UAE Presidential Court
  • Mr Bin Touq, Mr Mus and Dr Al Zeyoudi, during the signing ceremony. Victor Besa / The National
    Mr Bin Touq, Mr Mus and Dr Al Zeyoudi, during the signing ceremony. Victor Besa / The National

The UAE's goods trade with the rest of the world hit $1.02 trillion in 2022, with exports and imports increasing due to higher crude oil prices, according to the World Trade Organisation's Global Trade Outlook and Statistics report released in April.

In addition to the trade partnerships, the IMF said the “benefits of artificial intelligence and digitalisation and investments in enabling infrastructure will further support economic diversification, foster a smooth energy transition and help address vulnerabilities from global decarbonisation efforts”.

It cited the UAE's “commitments to climate initiatives and a balanced approach to energy transition”.

Looking ahead, the fund said fiscal and external surpluses are expected to remain high on the back of elevated oil prices.

Banks in the Arab world's second-largest economy are adequately capitalised and liquid, while property prices have risen sharply in some segments, it said.

The fund also commended the Emirates on its “major efforts” to further strengthen its financial regulatory regime.

THE BIO:

Sabri Razouk, 74

Athlete and fitness trainer 

Married, father of six

Favourite exercise: Bench press

Must-eat weekly meal: Steak with beans, carrots, broccoli, crust and corn

Power drink: A glass of yoghurt

Role model: Any good man

ESSENTIALS

The flights

Emirates flies direct from Dubai to Rio de Janeiro from Dh7,000 return including taxes. Avianca fliles from Rio to Cusco via Lima from $399 (Dhxx) return including taxes. 

The trip

From US$1,830 per deluxe cabin, twin share, for the one-night Spirit of the Water itinerary and US$4,630 per deluxe cabin for the Peruvian Highlands itinerary, inclusive of meals, and beverages. Surcharges apply for some excursions.

The biog

Hobby: Playing piano and drawing patterns

Best book: Awaken the Giant Within by Tony Robbins

Food of choice: Sushi  

Favourite colour: Orange

How to watch Ireland v Pakistan in UAE

When: The one-off Test starts on Friday, May 11
What time: Each day’s play is scheduled to start at 2pm UAE time.
TV: The match will be broadcast on OSN Sports Cricket HD. Subscribers to the channel can also stream the action live on OSN Play.

How it works

Booklava works on a subscription model. On signing up you receive a free book as part of a 30-day-trial period, after which you pay US$9.99 (Dh36.70) per month to gain access to a library of books and discounts of up to 30 per cent on selected titles. You can cancel your subscription at any time. For more details go to www.booklava.com

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE

Quick facts on cancer
  • Cancer is the second-leading cause of death worldwide, after cardiovascular diseases 
  •  About one in five men and one in six women will develop cancer in their lifetime 
  • By 2040, global cancer cases are on track to reach 30 million 
  • 70 per cent of cancer deaths occur in low and middle-income countries 
  • This rate is expected to increase to 75 per cent by 2030 
  • At least one third of common cancers are preventable 
  • Genetic mutations play a role in 5 per cent to 10 per cent of cancers 
  • Up to 3.7 million lives could be saved annually by implementing the right health
    strategies 
  • The total annual economic cost of cancer is $1.16 trillion

   

6.30pm: Al Maktoum Challenge Round-3 Group 1 (PA) | US$95,000 | (Dirt) 2,000m
7.05pm: Meydan Classic Listed (TB) ) | $175,000) | (Turf) 1,600m
7.40pm: Handicap (TB) ) | $135,000 ) | (D) 1,600m
8.15pm: Nad Al Sheba Trophy Group 3 (TB) ) | $300,000) | (T) 2,810m
8.50pm: Curlin Handicap Listed (TB)) | $160,000) | (D) 2,000m
9.25pm: Handicap (TB)) | $175,000) | (T) 1,400m
10pm: Handicap (TB) ) | $135,000 ) | (T) 2,000m

Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Sweet%20Tooth
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECreator%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EJim%20Mickle%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EChristian%20Convery%2C%20Nonso%20Anozie%2C%20Adeel%20Akhtar%2C%20Stefania%20LaVie%20Owen%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Inside%20Out%202
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%C2%A0%3C%2Fstrong%3EKelsey%20Mann%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%C2%A0Amy%20Poehler%2C%20Maya%20Hawke%2C%20Ayo%20Edebiri%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E4.5%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Sanju

Produced: Vidhu Vinod Chopra, Rajkumar Hirani

Director: Rajkumar Hirani

Cast: Ranbir Kapoor, Vicky Kaushal, Paresh Rawal, Anushka Sharma, Manish’s Koirala, Dia Mirza, Sonam Kapoor, Jim Sarbh, Boman Irani

Rating: 3.5 stars

Four%20scenarios%20for%20Ukraine%20war
%3Cp%3E1.%20Protracted%20but%20less%20intense%20war%20(60%25%20likelihood)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E2.%20Negotiated%20end%20to%20the%20conflict%20(30%25)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E3.%20Russia%20seizes%20more%20territory%20(20%25)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E4.%20Ukraine%20pushes%20Russia%20back%20(10%25)%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cem%3EForecast%20by%20Economist%20Intelligence%20Unit%3C%2Fem%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

It's Monty Python's Crashing Rocket Circus

To the theme tune of the famous zany British comedy TV show, SpaceX has shown exactly what can go wrong when you try to land a rocket.

The two minute video posted on YouTube is a compilation of crashes and explosion as the company, created by billionaire Elon Musk, refined the technique of reusable space flight.

SpaceX is able to land its rockets on land  once they have completed the first stage of their mission, and is able to resuse them multiple times - a first for space flight.

But as the video, How Not to Land an Orbital Rocket Booster, demonstrates, it was a case if you fail, try and try again.

UAE%20v%20West%20Indies
%3Cp%3EFirst%20ODI%20-%20Sunday%2C%20June%204%20%0D%3Cbr%3ESecond%20ODI%20-%20Tuesday%2C%20June%206%20%0D%3Cbr%3EThird%20ODI%20-%20Friday%2C%20June%209%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EMatches%20at%20Sharjah%20Cricket%20Stadium.%20All%20games%20start%20at%204.30pm%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EUAE%20squad%3C%2Fstrong%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EMuhammad%20Waseem%20(captain)%2C%20Aayan%20Khan%2C%20Adithya%20Shetty%2C%20Ali%20Naseer%2C%20Ansh%20Tandon%2C%20Aryansh%20Sharma%2C%20Asif%20Khan%2C%20Basil%20Hameed%2C%20Ethan%20D%E2%80%99Souza%2C%20Fahad%20Nawaz%2C%20Jonathan%20Figy%2C%20Junaid%20Siddique%2C%20Karthik%20Meiyappan%2C%20Lovepreet%20Singh%2C%20Matiullah%2C%20Mohammed%20Faraazuddin%2C%20Muhammad%20Jawadullah%2C%20Rameez%20Shahzad%2C%20Rohan%20Mustafa%2C%20Sanchit%20Sharma%2C%20Vriitya%20Aravind%2C%20Zahoor%20Khan%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Updated: June 27, 2023, 6:56 AM