Confidence takes a knock among UAE executives


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Business confidence is waning among senior executives at UAE companies, although optimism is still much higher in the Gulf than in other regions of the world.

A new survey shows more than half of top-level managers in the UAE - 53 per cent - say their view of current business conditions has improved compared with where they were a year ago.

That figure dropped from 57 per cent when last measured in May, and contrasts with 69 per cent in Qatar and a full 80 per cent in Saudi Arabia who see improved conditions now.

There is still more optimism within the Gulf than other regions, according to Oliver Wyman, the management consultancy that released the biannual study.

"It is remarkable that as the rest of the world is shaking from the European crisis and the slow recovery, Gulf business leaders remain confident," said John Turner, who leads the public sector consulting practice at Wyman.

Wyman, which relied on Zogby Research Services to conduct the study, analysed responses from 160 senior managers in the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, including chief executives and financial and operating officers.

The results show more executives within the Gulf now expect business conditions to improve in the next two years compared with when they were surveyed in May last year and December 2010.

But in a note of caution, business leaders in the Emirates are also more concerned than their counterparts in Saudi Arabia as well as Qatar about the impact of outside macroeconomic shocks.

In the UAE, 74 per cent saw these kinds of issues as the biggest threat to current business conditions. That contrasts with 55 per cent of surveyed individuals in Qatar and just 46 per cent in Saudi Arabia.

A separate study released yesterday found 35 per cent of professional accountants and senior executives surveyed in the UAE were less confident about the direction business was heading in compared with three months ago. A little more than 10 per cent reported feeling "much less confident", according to the joint study conducted between the Association of Chartered Certified Accountants and the Institute of Management Accountants.

Ongoing unrest within parts of the region is another growing concern. A quarter of executives in the Emirates said political unrest within the Middle East and North Africa was the biggest threat to business conditions in the Gulf, up from 18 per cent in May, according to Wyman's survey.

Slightly more individuals - 26 per cent - cited political unrest within the Gulf itself as the largest threat.

However, this is down from 31 per cent in May, and is lower than the number of executives in Saudi Arabia and Qatar who see disruption within the Gulf as the greatest cause for concern.

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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2. Schedule a time to use social media instead of consistently throughout the day. I recommend setting aside certain times of the day or week when you upload pictures or share information. 

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Dobromir Radichkov, chief data officer at dubizzle and Bayut, offers a few tips for UAE residents looking to earn some cash from pre-loved items.

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  2. It’s important to use clear and appealing photos, with catchy titles and detailed descriptions to capture the attention of prospective buyers.
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•   Invest early, invest often. It takes time to grow your wealth on the stock market. The sooner you begin, the better.

•   Choose the right level of risk. Don't gamble by investing in get-rich-quick schemes or high-risk plays. Don't play it too safe, either, by leaving long-term savings in cash.

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•   Forget timing the market. Nobody knows where share prices will go next, so don't try to second-guess them.

•   Stick with it. Do not sell up in a market crash. Use the opportunity to invest more at the lower price.

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