Sharp rises in deposits from Egypt and Libya were reported by international banks during the upheaval. Mohamed Messara / EPA
Sharp rises in deposits from Egypt and Libya were reported by international banks during the upheaval. Mohamed Messara / EPA
Sharp rises in deposits from Egypt and Libya were reported by international banks during the upheaval. Mohamed Messara / EPA
Sharp rises in deposits from Egypt and Libya were reported by international banks during the upheaval. Mohamed Messara / EPA

Capital flight from Egypt and Libya hit $8 billion during Arab Spring


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The Arab Spring drained more than US$8.6 billion (Dh31.58bn) in bank deposits from Egypt and Libya in the first three months of the year, according to the Bank for International Settlements.

Video:Investors pull $8.6 billion from 'Arab Spring' countries

Gregor Hunter looks at the capital flight from countries such as Egypt.

International banks reported sharp rises in deposits from the two countries during the period, a trend that the international banking organisation attributed to political upheaval diverting funds away from Egypt and Libya.

"These developments most likely reflected domestic funds being moved out of the two countries as a result of the elevated levels of political and economic uncertainty," the report said.

Capital flight occurs when investors withdraw large amounts of money from a country.

Egypt, the most developed banking market in North Africa, lost $6.4bn to the outflow during the period.

Deposits by Libyans in international banks increased by $2.2bn during the period, while Tunisia, where the government of Zine El Abidine Ben Ali was toppled in early January, suffered capital flight of $29m during the quarter. During the same period, international bank deposits from UAE residents increased by 23 per cent to $17bn. The report attributed this to a surge in local wealth created by soaring oil prices.

Oil prices rose sharply after high-grade Libyan crude was removed from world markets as a result of the country's revolution. Brent crude futures rose 24.3 per cent to finish the first quarter at $117.25.

The increase in deposits among international banks in the UAE could reflect capital flight from countries where revolutions have taken place to the safety of the Emirates, which has not witnessed political unrest, said Jaap Meijer, a financial analyst at AlembicHC.

"It may be that people have more money in the UAE," he said. "Or they might be having some hot money from other markets."

However, bank deposits in the UAE have sunk since their peak in April, decreasing 1.3 per cent to Dh1.11 trillion, according to the latest data from the Central Bank.

"It could be monthly noise, but it could be that when stability returned in other markets, the UAE loses a little bit its safe haven position," Mr Meijer said.

However, the reduction since April could reflect people withdrawing money from bank accounts to go on holiday, Mr Meijer added.

Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

Squad

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UAE SQUAD

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The biog

Favourite films: Casablanca and Lawrence of Arabia

Favourite books: Start with Why by Simon Sinek and Good to be Great by Jim Collins

Favourite dish: Grilled fish

Inspiration: Sheikh Zayed's visionary leadership taught me to embrace new challenges.

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China

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Japan

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Canada

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Singapore

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  • Then came the international super rich, including the last king of Greece, Constantine II, the Sultan of Brunei and Indian steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal who was at one point ranked the third richest person in the world.
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1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

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7. Limited time periods for audits

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8. Pillar 2 implementation 

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9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

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Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Our legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

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