The global financial crisis forced corporations to cut spending on items including business-class flights and corporate entertaining. But signs are emerging that regional companies and their employees are flashing their cards again.
American Express Middle East recorded a surge in corporate and retail spending last year across the region, said William Keliehor, the regional chief executive.
Mr Keliehor said new card issuances had increased by 16 per cent and customer spending had jumped 13 per cent.
Meanwhile, corporate spending had soared by 30 per cent since 2009. The return of business travel, which had declined sharply during the global financial crisis, was a major component of the rebound, Mr Keliehor said.
He added that the value of some individual purchases was lower during the period, however, suggesting a new corporate frugality forged in the financial crisis could be the new norm.
"Instead of taking a Mercedes, they'd take a Lexus - a cheaper ride. Instead of taking a NetJet, they'd take business-class seats," Mr Keliehor said.
New forms of purchases had also opened up to allow customers to use American Express cards for bill payments, including Salik road tolls and utilities payments to the Dubai Electricity and Water Authority, boosting the overall revenue.
Mr Keliehor added that American Express was also pinning its hopes on a revival of the high-net-worth market and the so-called mass affluent market, which includes customers who earn more than US$50,000 (Dh183,650) a year.
"Over the next three years, we'll see more people coming into the American Express target market, from managers up to chairmen," he said.
His optimism contrasts with recent surveys of wealth in the region.
The Capgemini/Merrill Lynch World Wealth Report 2010 found that the UAE had seen a dramatic decline in numbers of super-rich residents during the global financial crisis. "The UAE lost around 19 per cent of its [high-net-worth individual] population in 2009, mainly due to the crisis in Dubai and the significant fall - 48 per cent - in real estate prices," the report said.
The wider region saw wealth increase by 5.1 per cent. However, Mr Keliehor said that Dubai had nevertheless been able to see a significant increase in consumer spending. "The UAE continues to be one of the top spending markets globally," he said.
However, Dr Giyas Gokkent, the chief economist at National Bank of Abu Dhabi, said that such optimism did not necessarily reflect an economy that was bouncing back after the downturn, but rather a change in the services that American Express was able to provide.
"What's happened is probably that type of services which are being used are creating a larger number in terms of total value outstanding for Amex cards.
"That need not necessarily reflect on to the rest of the economy," he said, adding that such high levels of growth might be difficult to sustain over time once governments have overhauled their systems.
However, Mr Keliehor said that American Express had seen an opportunity in the launch of credit bureaus around the Gulf, such as the UAE's Federal credit bureau, which was approved late last year.
"What that does for us as a lender is to better enable us to assess the companies' wherewithal to pay."
ghunter@thenational.ae
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Dubai Rugby Sevens
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Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes II
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