The Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-low interest rates but taken steps to make its yield curve control policy more flexible, underscoring growing concerns over the rising side-effects of prolonged monetary easing.
At the two-day meeting that ended on Friday, the central bank kept unchanged its short-term interest rate target at minus 0.1 per cent and that for the 10-year government bond yield around zero per cent.
It also maintained guidance allowing the 10-year yield to move 0.5 per cent around the zero per cent target, but said those would be “references” rather than “rigid limits”.
The BoJ will offer to buy 10-year Japanese government bonds at 1 per cent in fixed-rate operations, instead of the previous rate of 0.5 per cent.
“Sustainable and stable achievement of 2 per cent inflation target, accompanied by wage increases, has not yet come into sight,” the central bank said, adding that it will patiently maintain an ultra-loose policy.
“Taking into account extremely high uncertainty on the economic and price outlook, it is appropriate to enhance the sustainability of monetary easing under the current framework by conducting yield curve control with greater flexibility and nimbly responding to upside and downside risks.”
While inflation has held above the BoJ's 2 per cent target for more than a year, Governor Kazuo Ueda has vowed to keep ultra-loose policy until he is convinced the economy can weather global headwinds and allow companies to keep raising wages next year.
But sources told Reuters the board may discuss making minor tweaks to the policy if the BoJ feels the cost of yield curve control is beginning to outweigh the benefits.
The Nikkei newspaper reported earlier on Friday that the central bank will maintain its 0.5 per cent cap for the 10-year government bond yield, but discuss allowing long-term interest rates to rise above that level by a certain degree.
The BoJ's meeting comes after the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to raise interest rates, a move that further widens the interest rate gap between the US and Japan.
Sustainable and stable achievement of 2 per cent inflation target, accompanied by wage increases, has not yet come into sight
Bank of Japan
Since introducing yield curve control in 2016, the Bank of Japan had little trouble controlling bond yields when inflation remained well below its target.
That changed last year, when soaring commodity prices pushed inflation above the 2 per cent target and gave investors reason to attack the yield cap.
After buying huge amounts of bonds to defend ceiling of 0.25 per cent at the time, the BoJ last December widened the yield band and now allows the 10-year yield to rise by up to 0.5 per cent.
With wages and inflation rising, markets have been simmering with speculation of an early tweak to yield curve control.
Data released on Friday showed core consumer inflation in Japan's capital slowed in July but remained well above the central bank's 2 per cent target, underscoring rising price pressure.
The Uefa Awards winners
Uefa Men's Player of the Year: Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)
Uefa Women's Player of the Year: Lucy Bronze (Lyon)
Best players of the 2018/19 Uefa Champions League
Goalkeeper: Alisson (Liverpool)
Defender: Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool)
Midfielder: Frenkie de Jong (Ajax)
Forward: Lionel Messi (Barcelona)
Uefa President's Award: Eric Cantona
The schedule
December 5 - 23: Shooting competition, Al Dhafra Shooting Club
December 9 - 24: Handicrafts competition, from 4pm until 10pm, Heritage Souq
December 11 - 20: Dates competition, from 4pm
December 12 - 20: Sour milk competition
December 13: Falcon beauty competition
December 14 and 20: Saluki races
December 15: Arabian horse races, from 4pm
December 16 - 19: Falconry competition
December 18: Camel milk competition, from 7.30 - 9.30 am
December 20 and 21: Sheep beauty competition, from 10am
December 22: The best herd of 30 camels
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
TV: World Cup Qualifier 2018 matches will be aired on on OSN Sports HD Cricket channel
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